Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Sree Capital

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Fundamental Research on Listed Indian Companies

Sree Capital

Sree Capital is a platform to share fundamental research on listed Indian companies. We do this research for our own investment

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We compile our selection of companies across Japan, China and India based on bottom-up triggers in each company. </li>
<li>Top-Picks in China are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)</a>,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43993:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group (300 HK)</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yadea-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22706:1" rel="noopener">Yadea Group Holdings (1585 HK)</a>. In Japan its <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suzuki-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:732:1" rel="noopener">Suzuki Motor (7269 JP)</a>,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rohm-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2953:1" rel="noopener">ROHM Co Ltd (6963 JP)</a>&amp;<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aisin-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11809:1" rel="noopener">Aisin (7259 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>In Indian auto it is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mahindra-mahindra-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16441:1" rel="noopener">Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN)</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ashok-leyland-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20104:1" rel="noopener">Ashok Leyland (AL IN)</a>.We also like the recently listed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/icici-prudential-amc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45499:1" rel="noopener">ICICI Prudential AMC (570643Z IN)</a>.</li>
</ul>


We compile our selection of companies across Japan, China and India based on bottom-up triggers in each company. 
Top-Picks in China are Haier Smart Home (6690 HK),Midea Group (300 HK) &amp; Yadea Group Holdings (1585 HK). In Japan its Suzuki Motor (7269 JP),ROHM Co Ltd (6963 JP)&amp;Aisin (7259 JP).
In Indian auto it is Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN) &amp; Ashok Leyland (AL IN).We also like the recently listed ICICI Prudential AMC (570643Z IN).


Shortlist Of High Conviction Ideas Across China, Japan, India - December 2025

<ul>
<li>This insight details about <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suzuki-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:732:1" rel="noopener">Suzuki Motor (7269 JP)</a> 's 1H performance and outlook for 2H</li>
<li>We detail why 2H outlook is fluid and similar to “a cat on the wall” situation. Reasons mentioned in this insight.</li>
<li>While company's valuation is not cheap compared to peers but there is a possibility to perform better than estimates in 2H FY2025</li>
</ul>


This insight details about Suzuki Motor (7269 JP) 's 1H performance and outlook for 2H
We detail why 2H outlook is fluid and similar to “a cat on the wall” situation. Reasons mentioned in this insight.
While company's valuation is not cheap compared to peers but there is a possibility to perform better than estimates in 2H FY2025


Suzuki Motor (7269 JP): 2H Outlook — A Cat-On-The-Wall Situation

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suzuki-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:732:1" rel="noopener">Suzuki Motor (7269 JP)</a> had a disappointing Q1FY2025 driven by lower sales in India &amp; Europe and impact of raw material cost and foreign exchange rates.</li>
<li>However, we expect business performance should revive in H2FY2025 driven by booster shot from India.</li>
<li>We remain positive on long term prospects of the company driven by its maiden EV launch and long term growth plans though near term valuation appears to be full.</li>
</ul>



Suzuki Motor (7269 JP) had a disappointing Q1FY2025 driven by lower sales in India &amp; Europe and impact of raw material cost and foreign exchange rates.
However, we expect business performance should revive in H2FY2025 driven by booster shot from India.
We remain positive on long term prospects of the company driven by its maiden EV launch and long term growth plans though near term valuation appears to be full.


Suzuki Motor (7269 JP) - Booster Shot, Maiden EV Launch, Long-Term Growth Ahead

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/duality-biotherapeutics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43878:1" rel="noopener">Duality Biotherapeutics </a>delivered a strong listing, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-zenergy-battery-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43855:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Zenergy Battery Technologies</a> was still holding on to its deal price.</li>
<li>On the placements front, we looked at number of upcoming lockup expiries.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, Duality Biotherapeutics delivered a strong listing, while Jiangsu Zenergy Battery Technologies was still holding on to its deal price.
On the placements front, we looked at number of upcoming lockup expiries.


ECM Weekly (22 Apr 2025) - Suzuki, Zenergy, Chagee, Duality, Manycore, Horizon, Giant Bio, TV Asahi

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Tokio Marine &amp; Nichido Fire Insurance and Sompo Japan Insurance are looking to raise US$1.2bn by offloading their entire stakes in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suzuki-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:732:1" rel="noopener">Suzuki Motor</a> by way of a secondary offering.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suzuki-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:732:1" rel="noopener">Suzuki Motor (7269 JP)</a> stock is flat since the announcement of the placement but has underperformed its peers and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-stock-exchange-tokyo-price-index-topix" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22910:1" rel="noopener">TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX (TPX INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>With the placement being less than 5% of the number of shares outstanding, there is unlikely to be any immediate passive inflow which could pressure the stock.</li>
</ul>


Tokio Marine &amp; Nichido Fire Insurance and Sompo Japan Insurance are looking to raise US$1.2bn by offloading their entire stakes in Suzuki Motor by way of a secondary offering.

Suzuki Motor (7269 JP) stock is flat since the announcement of the placement but has underperformed its peers and the TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX (TPX INDEX). 
With the placement being less than 5% of the number of shares outstanding, there is unlikely to be any immediate passive inflow which could pressure the stock.


Suzuki Motor (7269 JP) Placement: Likely to Price Today; 7-8% Underperformance Vs Peers/TOPIX

Japan

Suzuki Motor Corporation manufactures automobiles, motorcycles, and their related parts. The Company has production facilities in USA, Japan, Taiwan, India, Pakistan, Indonesia, Thailand, and Hungary.

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Suzuki Motor (7269 JP)

Shortlist Of High Conviction Ideas Across China, Japan, India - December 2025

The calendar year 2025 ended on a positive note for the companies mentioned in our insight. Maruti Suzuki India reported robust sales volume in...

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA