Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The US has maintained the reciprocal tariff rate on Thailand at 36%, while allowing room for negotiations before the new tariff takes effect on August 1, 2025.</li><li>If the US ultimately imposes this 36% tariff on Thai exports (with KTX estimating a 30% probability), it would undermine the competitiveness of Thai products — particularly electronics and rubber — posing downside risk that could push the SET Index down to 1,037 points over the next 12 months.</li><li>However, we believe the Thai government will make strong efforts to negotiate the rate down closer to 18% (55% probability). </li></ul>

The US has maintained the reciprocal tariff rate on Thailand at 36%, while allowing room for negotiations before the new tariff takes effect on August 1, 2025.If the US ultimately imposes this 36% tariff on Thai exports (with KTX estimating a 30% probability), it would undermine the competitiveness of Thai products — particularly electronics and rubber — posing downside risk that could push the SET Index down to 1,037 points over the next 12 months.However, we believe the Thai government will make strong efforts to negotiate the rate down closer to 18% (55% probability). 

Special Report: Reciprocal Tariff - JULY 9, 2025

<ul><li>Trade negotiations between the US and Thailand showed no progress ahead of next week's deadline.</li><li>Combined with the absence of new market catalysts, this prompted investors to reduce risk or take profit following a four-day rebound.</li><li>As a result, blue-chip stocks declined, putting pressure on the SET Index. </li></ul>

Trade negotiations between the US and Thailand showed no progress ahead of next week's deadline.Combined with the absence of new market catalysts, this prompted investors to reduce risk or take profit following a four-day rebound.As a result, blue-chip stocks declined, putting pressure on the SET Index. 

<ul><li>The US has announced the implementation of reciprocal tariffs on its global trade partners. In the worst-case scenario, Thailand may face a tariff rate of 36%.</li><li>The initial estimate indicates that this could cause Thailand's exports and overall economy in 2025E to grow at a lower rate, by -4.93 ppt and -3.16 ppt, respectively.</li><li>This poses downside risk to the 12-month SET Index target, potentially decreasing it by approximately 16.67% to 1,111 points. </li></ul>

The US has announced the implementation of reciprocal tariffs on its global trade partners. In the worst-case scenario, Thailand may face a tariff rate of 36%.The initial estimate indicates that this could cause Thailand's exports and overall economy in 2025E to grow at a lower rate, by -4.93 ppt and -3.16 ppt, respectively.This poses downside risk to the 12-month SET Index target, potentially decreasing it by approximately 16.67% to 1,111 points. 

Special Report: Impact of Reciprocal Tariffs - APRIL 11, 2025

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>The SET rose in line with Asian bourses, driven by expectations surrounding LTFs and the strong performance of ADVANC, GULF, INTUCH, and DELTA, pushing the index to 1,298.72 points.</li><li>However, it quickly retreated in the afternoon as the market lacked new supportive factors and uncertainty lingered over the 4Q24 performances.</li><li>The index initially bounced up but then quickly swung back down, reflecting an unstable price pattern, with buying momentum concentrated in a few stocks. </li></ul>

The SET rose in line with Asian bourses, driven by expectations surrounding LTFs and the strong performance of ADVANC, GULF, INTUCH, and DELTA, pushing the index to 1,298.72 points.However, it quickly retreated in the afternoon as the market lacked new supportive factors and uncertainty lingered over the 4Q24 performances.The index initially bounced up but then quickly swung back down, reflecting an unstable price pattern, with buying momentum concentrated in a few stocks. 

CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Seven stocks remain, seven new join the fray</li>
<li>Since inception, it has gained 126% versus the SET 100 Index’s return of 34%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology
Portfolio changes: Seven stocks remain, seven new join the fray
Since inception, it has gained 126% versus the SET 100 Index’s return of 34%


The Stocks to Own in Thailand – Vol. 47

Thailand

SVI Public Company Limited provides printed circuit board contract manufacturing services.  Most of its customers are original equipment manufacturers of computer peripheral products, telecommunication equipment, and industrial equipment and instruments.

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SVI Pcl (SVI TB)

Special Report: Reciprocal Tariff - JULY 9, 2025

We recommend speculative buying of stocks affected by concerns over the 36% tariff, namely DELTA, HANA, CCET, SVI, STA, NER, WHA, and AMATA.

Krungthai XSpring

Technical Analysis - JULY 7, 2025

Trade negotiations between the US and Thailand showed no progress ahead of next week's deadline. Combined with the absence of new market catalysts,...

Krungthai XSpring

Special Report: Impact of Reciprocal Tariffs - APRIL 11, 2025

The US has announced the implementation of reciprocal tariffs on its global trade partners. In the worst-case scenario, Thailand may face a tariff...

Krungthai XSpring

Technical Analysis FEBRUARY 14, 2025

The SET rose in line with Asian bourses, driven by expectations surrounding LTFs and the strong performance of ADVANC, GULF, INTUCH, and DELTA,...

Krungthai XSpring

The Stocks to Own in Thailand – Vol. 47

We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology. Portfolio changes: Seven stocks remain, seven new...

A. Stotz Investment Research

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