Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the review period nearing completion, there could be 4 changes (including 1 migration) for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> in September.</li>
<li>There is one stock close to inclusion zone and one stock close to deletion zone and price movements over the rest of the month will determine the final changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 7.8% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 30.06bn (US$350m). Six of the eight potential changes will have over 2x ADV to trade from passive trackers.</li>
</ul>


With the review period nearing completion, there could be 4 changes (including 1 migration) for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) in September.
There is one stock close to inclusion zone and one stock close to deletion zone and price movements over the rest of the month will determine the final changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 7.8% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 30.06bn (US$350m). Six of the eight potential changes will have over 2x ADV to trade from passive trackers.


NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes & Close Names

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Harindarpal Singh Banga, one of Nykaa’s early investors, aims to raise around US$140m via selling a 2% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fsn-e-commerce-ventures-nykaa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33796:1" rel="noopener">FSN E-Commerce Ventures (NYKAA IN)</a>.</li>
<li>He has been gradually reducing his holding, currently owns about 4.97% of Nykaa. Prior to Nykaa’s IPO in Nov 2021, he held a stake of 8.7% in the company.</li>
<li>In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>


Harindarpal Singh Banga, one of Nykaa’s early investors, aims to raise around US$140m via selling a 2% stake in FSN E-Commerce Ventures (NYKAA IN).
He has been gradually reducing his holding, currently owns about 4.97% of Nykaa. Prior to Nykaa’s IPO in Nov 2021, he held a stake of 8.7% in the company.
In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.


Nykaa Block - US$140m Selldown by Banga Family

<ul>
<li>We forecast 10 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 11 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 10 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 13 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>From the new listings, 1 stock is expected to be added to Large cap, 2 stocks are expected to be added to Mid Cap, and multiple stocks to Small Cap.</li>
<li>There are multiple stocks among the AMFI changes that will be changes for global indices, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index</a> and/or Nifty Midcap 150 Index in September.</li>
</ul>


We forecast 10 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 11 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 10 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 13 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.
From the new listings, 1 stock is expected to be added to Large cap, 2 stocks are expected to be added to Mid Cap, and multiple stocks to Small Cap.
There are multiple stocks among the AMFI changes that will be changes for global indices, NIFTY Index, NSE Nifty Next 50 Index and/or Nifty Midcap 150 Index in September.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Jun 2025): Active Flows Lead to Passive Flows

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Max Healthcare Institute / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for these indices during the September 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We see two changes for NIFTY 50 and five changes for NIFTY 100 in the September 2025 rebal.</li>
</ul>


NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.
In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for these indices during the September 2025 index rebal event.
We see two changes for NIFTY 50 and five changes for NIFTY 100 in the September 2025 rebal.


Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep25: Multiple Changes to Expected ADDs/DELs; New Pair Trade Ideas

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

HDB Financial Services Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdb-financial-services-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44072:1" rel="noopener">HDB Financial Services</a> is looking to raise around US$1.5bn in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>HDBFS is a leading retail-focused non-banking financial company (NBFC) in India, in terms of total gross loan book size, according to the CRISIL Report.</li>
<li>We have looked at the past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing.</li>
</ul>



HDB Financial Services is looking to raise around US$1.5bn in its upcoming India IPO.
HDBFS is a leading retail-focused non-banking financial company (NBFC) in India, in terms of total gross loan book size, according to the CRISIL Report.
We have looked at the past performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing.


HDB Financial Services IPO - Parent Brand and Easing Macros Should See It Through

India

Swiggy is an Indian online food ordering and delivery company. It also operates quick-commerce services under Instamart for grocery and household items, and offers restaurant reservation services through Dineout. The company is headquartered in Bengaluru, India, and was founded in 2013.

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Swiggy (SWIGGY IN)

NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes & Close Names

There should be 5 NIFTY100 changes leading to 4 NEXT50 changes. There are two other stocks close to add/delete ranks. Estimated one-way turnover is...

Brian Freitas

Nykaa Block - US$140m Selldown by Banga Family

Harindarpal Singh Banga, one of Nykaa’s early investors, aims to raise around US$140m via selling a stake of around 2.1% at a floor price of around...

Akshat Shah

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Jun 2025): Active Flows Lead to Passive Flows

We currently forecast 44 migrations for the AMFI July reclassification. Some IPOs could be added to Large/Mid cap. The forecast upward migrations...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep25: Multiple Changes to Expected ADDs/DELs; New Pair Trade Ideas

There are multiple changes to our expected ADDs and expected DELs lists for NIFTY 50 and NIFTY Next 50 since the last time we published an insight...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

HDB Financial Services IPO - Parent Brand and Easing Macros Should See It Through

HDB Financial Services is looking to raise around US$1.5bn in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing.

Sumeet Singh

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