Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Malaysia Airports Holdings / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Back on the 15th May, Khazanah Nasional, the EPF, the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, and GIP, offered to buy shares not already owned in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/malaysia-airports-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:117:1" rel="noopener">Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK)</a> at RM11.00/share.</li>
<li>The premium to undisturbed appears reasonable. The price is a life-time high. The 90% acceptance hurdle was not insurmountable, and the consortium had the flexibility to lower the %. </li>
<li>But the Offer is now facing unexpected political pushback, amid protests against the Israel-linked bid.</li>
</ul>


Back on the 15th May, Khazanah Nasional, the EPF, the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, and GIP, offered to buy shares not already owned in Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK) at RM11.00/share.
The premium to undisturbed appears reasonable. The price is a life-time high. The 90% acceptance hurdle was not insurmountable, and the consortium had the flexibility to lower the %. 
But the Offer is now facing unexpected political pushback, amid protests against the Israel-linked bid.


Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK)'s Offer: Buckle Up!

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guzman-y-gomez" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43656:1" rel="noopener">Guzman Y Gomez</a> plans to raise around US$160m in its Australian IPO.</li>
<li>GYG is a quick service restaurant business with more than 200 restaurants globally. It mainly focuses on fresh, made-to-order, Mexican-inspired food.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the company’s prior performance and future prospects.</li>
</ul>



Guzman Y Gomez plans to raise around US$160m in its Australian IPO.
GYG is a quick service restaurant business with more than 200 restaurants globally. It mainly focuses on fresh, made-to-order, Mexican-inspired food.
In this note, we look at the company’s prior performance and future prospects.


Guzman Y Gomez IPO - The Positives - Network Growing, Sales Have Outpaced Network Growth

AUB Group Limited / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aub-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11179:1" rel="noopener">AUB Group Limited (AUB AU)</a> is looking to raise up to AUD200m (US$133m) to fund the acquisition of Pacific Indemnity.</li>
<li>The company has a good track record and the deal will be accretive to EPS.</li>
<li>In this note, we'll run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



AUB Group Limited (AUB AU) is looking to raise up to AUD200m (US$133m) to fund the acquisition of Pacific Indemnity.
The company has a good track record and the deal will be accretive to EPS.
In this note, we'll run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.


AUB Group Placement - Good Track Record, Accretive Acquisition

<ul>
<li>Khazanah Nasional, the EPF,  the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, and Global Infrastructure Partners, are offering to buy all shares not already owned in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/malaysia-airports-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:117:1" rel="noopener">Malaysia Airports Holdings (MAHB MK)</a> at RM11.00/share.</li>
<li>The pre-conditional voluntary Offer price is a 5.77% premium to last close; but a life-time high. The Offeror consortium collectively holds 41.22% of shares out.</li>
<li>The pre-cons include regulatory approvals (in Malaysia, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and Egypt). The Offer is subject to a 90% acceptance condition; which may be reduced. </li>
</ul>


Khazanah Nasional, the EPF,  the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, and Global Infrastructure Partners, are offering to buy all shares not already owned in Malaysia Airports Holdings (MAHB MK) at RM11.00/share.
The pre-conditional voluntary Offer price is a 5.77% premium to last close; but a life-time high. The Offeror consortium collectively holds 41.22% of shares out.
The pre-cons include regulatory approvals (in Malaysia, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and Egypt). The Offer is subject to a 90% acceptance condition; which may be reduced. 


Business On The Fly: Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK)'s RM11.00/Share Offer

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Back in June 2022, US/Europe toll-road play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/atlas-arteria-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14430:1" rel="noopener">Atlas Arteria (ALX AU)</a> (ATLIX) <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02530630-2A1378680?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">rejected</a> IFM Global Infrastructure's request for limited company information, before deciding whether to submit a non-binding indicative proposal. </li>
<li>Undeterred, IFM, which held 15% of shares out at the time, bumped its stake to<a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02549751-2A1388878?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> 19%</a> two months later; and has continued to capitalise on Australia's creep provisions ever since. </li>
<li>This morning, IFM is understood to have lifted its stake to ~26.5%, in an apparent attempt to gain additional board representation. Another tilt cannot be ruled out. </li>
</ul>


Back in June 2022, US/Europe toll-road play Atlas Arteria (ALX AU) (ATLIX) rejected IFM Global Infrastructure's request for limited company information, before deciding whether to submit a non-binding indicative proposal. 
Undeterred, IFM, which held 15% of shares out at the time, bumped its stake to 19% two months later; and has continued to capitalise on Australia's creep provisions ever since. 
This morning, IFM is understood to have lifted its stake to ~26.5%, in an apparent attempt to gain additional board representation. Another tilt cannot be ruled out. 


Atlas Arteria (ALX AU): IFM Ups Stake As Shares Waver

Australia

Sydney Airport operates the Sydney, Australia airport. The Company develops and maintains the airport infrastructure and leases terminal space to airlines and retailers.

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Sydney Airport (SYD AU)

Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK)'s Offer: Buckle Up!

Trading at a 13% gross spread. A 90% acceptance condition is often a challenge. In this current atmosphere, that challenge has been amplified. And...

David Blennerhassett

Guzman Y Gomez IPO - The Positives - Network Growing, Sales Have Outpaced Network Growth

Guzman Y Gomez plans to raise around US$160m in its Australian IPO. In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

AUB Group Placement - Good Track Record, Accretive Acquisition

AUB Group Limited (AUB AU) is looking to raise up to AUD200m (US$133m) to fund the acquisition of Pacific Indemnity. In this note we talk about the...

Sumeet Singh

Atlas Arteria (ALX AU): IFM Ups Stake As Shares Waver

Trading mostly below its five-year forward averages; together with an attractive yield; IFM's latest share grab has been labeled opportunistic....

David Blennerhassett

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK)'s Offer: Buckle Up!

Trading at a 13% gross spread. A 90% acceptance condition is often a challenge. In this current atmosphere, that challenge has been amplified. And...

David Blennerhassett

Guzman Y Gomez IPO - The Positives - Network Growing, Sales Have Outpaced Network Growth

Guzman Y Gomez plans to raise around US$160m in its Australian IPO. In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

AUB Group Placement - Good Track Record, Accretive Acquisition

AUB Group Limited (AUB AU) is looking to raise up to AUD200m (US$133m) to fund the acquisition of Pacific Indemnity. In this note we talk about the...

Sumeet Singh

Business On The Fly: Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK)'s RM11.00/Share Offer

Trading at a 8% gross spread to terms. With the Offeror consortium having the flexibility to reduce the acceptance condition; or bump terms, I'd be...

David Blennerhassett

Atlas Arteria (ALX AU): IFM Ups Stake As Shares Waver

Trading mostly below its five-year forward averages; together with an attractive yield; IFM's latest share grab has been labeled opportunistic....

David Blennerhassett