Leading International Investment Research, Edison Investment Research

Edison Investment Research

Leading International Investment Research

Edison is an investment research and advisory company, with offices in North America, Europe, the Middle East and AsiaPac. The heart of Edison is our world renowned equity research platform and deep multi-sector expertise. At Edison Investment Research, our research is widely read by international investors, advisors and stakeholders. Edison Advisors leverages our core research platform to provide differentiated services including investor relations and strategic consulting.

Equity Bottom-Up

Symbio Pharmaceuticals / Equity Bottom-Up

SymBio is approaching a major transition as it prepares to begin internal marketing of its lead product Treakisym (bendamustine), launch new liquid formulations of the drug and expand the market with new indications. At the same time, the company is moving past the recent clinical results from the Phase III study where rigosertib did not meet its primary endpoint and is determining the future direction of its pipeline product brincidofovir. We are taking this time to provide our clinical and commercial outlook.

SymBio is approaching a major transition as it prepares to begin internal marketing of its lead product Treakisym (bendamustine), launch new liquid formulations of the drug and expand the market with new indications. At the same time, the company is moving past the recent clinical results from the Phase III study where rigosertib did not meet its primary endpoint and is determining the future direction of its pipeline product brincidofovir. We are taking this time to provide our clinical and commercial outlook.

SymBio Pharmaceuticals - At the turning point

'Quantamental' Japan Specialist, LightStream Research

Campbell Gunn

'Quantamental' Japan Specialist

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div>
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/139/997/original/2020-06-15_11-08-56.png?1592186965" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="139997"></figure><div class="content-caption">Source: Japan Analytics</div>
STRESS TESTS - This Insight is the second in our Japan Stress Test series in which we endeavour to assess where business risk is concentrated among larger Japanese companies. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/japan-stress-tests-part-1-altman-z-scores" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:40180" rel="noopener">Part 1</a> looked at the time-worn Altman-Z Score for both manufacturing and non-manufacturing companies. In Part 2 will we turn our attention to the cash flow statement starting with the 'lifeblood' of all businesses - Operating Cash Flow.
ACCRUAL ACCOUNTING - Despite the sacrosanctity in some quarters of discounted cash flow analysis, for valuation purposes, our preference is to use accrual accounting. As Professor Stephen Penman states, "Accrual accounting brings the future forward in time and anticipates future cash flows."  Nevertheless, cash flow accounting, and the level of accounting accruals, can provide early insights into periodic stress. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nissan-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:72:1" rel="noopener">Nissan Motor (7201 JP)'s</a> Accruals (Operating Income less Operating Cash Flow) as a percentage of period-end market capitalisation correlate with the company's Relative Price Score over the last thirty years. Further Insights in this series will continue to 'mine'  the Cash Flow statement by exploring Financing Cash Flows and the Working Capital Cycle.
REFORMULATED CASH FLOWSTATEMENTS - Our Operating Cash Flow calculation is derived from each company's Balance Sheet and Income Statement for periods of up to twenty-eight years. Cash Flow items relating to operating activities are divided into Operating Cash Flow and Investing Cash Flow, which includes Fixed Asset and Inventory Cash Flows.  Cash flows relating to financing activities are divided into Financing Cash Flow and Shareholder Cash Flow. The reformulated Balance Sheets, Income and Cash Flow Statements follow a clean-surplus relationship. All three Statements are fully articulated to include items of Other Comprehensive Income which are added to or subtracted from Shareholders' Equity. 
</div>UNIVERSE - The universe for this Insight comprises the 614 Japanese companies with a market capitalisation excluding Treasury Stock over ¥100 million and for which we have at least two years of cash flow data.  Five non-financial companies, which have significant financial subsidiaries (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten (4755 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/z-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19603:1" rel="noopener">Z Holdings (4689 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:359:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post (6178 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sony-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:563:1" rel="noopener">Sony (6758 JP)</a>), have been excluded from this analysis.


Source: Japan Analytics
STRESS TESTS - This Insight is the second in our Japan Stress Test series in which we endeavour to assess where business risk is concentrated among larger Japanese companies. Part 1 looked at the time-worn Altman-Z Score for both manufacturing and non-manufacturing companies. In Part 2 will we turn our attention to the cash flow statement starting with the 'lifeblood' of all businesses - Operating Cash Flow.
ACCRUAL ACCOUNTING - Despite the sacrosanctity in some quarters of discounted cash flow analysis, for valuation purposes, our preference is to use accrual accounting. As Professor Stephen Penman states, "Accrual accounting brings the future forward in time and anticipates future cash flows."  Nevertheless, cash flow accounting, and the level of accounting accruals, can provide early insights into periodic stress. Nissan Motor (7201 JP)'s Accruals (Operating Income less Operating Cash Flow) as a percentage of period-end market capitalisation correlate with the company's Relative Price Score over the last thirty years. Further Insights in this series will continue to 'mine'  the Cash Flow statement by exploring Financing Cash Flows and the Working Capital Cycle.
REFORMULATED CASH FLOWSTATEMENTS - Our Operating Cash Flow calculation is derived from each company's Balance Sheet and Income Statement for periods of up to twenty-eight years. Cash Flow items relating to operating activities are divided into Operating Cash Flow and Investing Cash Flow, which includes Fixed Asset and Inventory Cash Flows.  Cash flows relating to financing activities are divided into Financing Cash Flow and Shareholder Cash Flow. The reformulated Balance Sheets, Income and Cash Flow Statements follow a clean-surplus relationship. All three Statements are fully articulated to include items of Other Comprehensive Income which are added to or subtracted from Shareholders' Equity. 
UNIVERSE - The universe for this Insight comprises the 614 Japanese companies with a market capitalisation excluding Treasury Stock over ¥100 million and for which we have at least two years of cash flow data.  Five non-financial companies, which have significant financial subsidiaries (Rakuten (4755 JP), Z Holdings (4689 JP), Japan Post (6178 JP), Softbank Group (9984 JP) and Sony (6758 JP)), have been excluded from this analysis. 

🇯🇵 JAPAN - Stress Tests Part 2 - Operating Cash Flow & Accruals

SymBio will be presenting data at the European Society of Hematology (EHA) meeting from its pivotal study in Japan of Treakisym (bendamustine) in combination with rituximab for the treatment of diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL). The 38-patient, single-arm study showed a 76% overall response rate (ORR), with 47% of patients achieving a complete response (CR). This gives us a high degree of confidence in the label expansion for this population submitted in May 2020.

SymBio will be presenting data at the European Society of Hematology (EHA) meeting from its pivotal study in Japan of Treakisym (bendamustine) in combination with rituximab for the treatment of diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL). The 38-patient, single-arm study showed a 76% overall response rate (ORR), with 47% of patients achieving a complete response (CR). This gives us a high degree of confidence in the label expansion for this population submitted in May 2020.


SymBio Pharmaceuticals - Top-line data from registrational DLBCL study

SymBio will be presenting data at the European Society of Hematology (EHA) meeting from its pivotal study in Japan of Treakisym (bendamustine) in combination with rituximab for the treatment of diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL). The 38-patient, single-arm study showed a 76% overall response rate (ORR), with 47% of patients achieving a complete response (CR). This gives us a high degree of confidence in the label expansion for this population submitted in May 2020.

SymBio will be presenting data at the European Society of Hematology (EHA) meeting from its pivotal study in Japan of Treakisym (bendamustine) in combination with rituximab for the treatment of diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL). The 38-patient, single-arm study showed a 76% overall response rate (ORR), with 47% of patients achieving a complete response (CR). This gives us a high degree of confidence in the label expansion for this population submitted in May 2020.

SymBio announced on 11 May 2020 that it submitted an application to expand the label for Treakisym in Japan to include the treatment of relapsed and refractory diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) in combination with rituximab. This follows the positive results seen in the Phase III study for the combination reported in November 2019. We expect this label expansion to more than double the sales potential for the drug.

SymBio announced on 11 May 2020 that it submitted an application to expand the label for Treakisym in Japan to include the treatment of relapsed and refractory diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) in combination with rituximab. This follows the positive results seen in the Phase III study for the combination reported in November 2019. We expect this label expansion to more than double the sales potential for the drug.

SymBio Pharmaceuticals - Treakisym label expansion submitted

Japan

Symbio Pharmaceuticals Limited develops and commercializes prescription drugs n oncology, hematology and auto-immune disease for Japan and other Asia Pacific markets.

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Symbio Pharmaceuticals (4582 JP)

SymBio Pharmaceuticals - At the turning point

SymBio is approaching a major transition as it prepares to begin internal marketing of its lead product Treakisym (bendamustine), launch new liquid...

Edison Investment Research

🇯🇵 JAPAN - Stress Tests Part 2 - Operating Cash Flow & Accruals

STRESS TESTS - This Insight is the second in our Japan Stress Test series in which we endeavour to assess where business risk is concentrated...

Campbell Gunn

SymBio Pharmaceuticals - Top-line data from registrational DLBCL study

SymBio will be presenting data at the European Society of Hematology (EHA) meeting from its pivotal study in Japan of Treakisym (bendamustine) in...

Edison Investment Research

SymBio Pharmaceuticals - Top-line data from registrational DLBCL study

SymBio will be presenting data at the European Society of Hematology (EHA) meeting from its pivotal study in Japan of Treakisym (bendamustine) in...

Edison Investment Research

SymBio Pharmaceuticals - Treakisym label expansion submitted

SymBio announced on 11 May 2020 that it submitted an application to expand the label for Treakisym in Japan to include the treatment of relapsed...

Edison Investment Research

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