Leading Independent Investment Research, Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar

Leading Independent Investment Research

Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. We offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors. 

Morningstar provides data on more than 500,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 16 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries, with more than $180 billion in assets under advisement or management as of June 30, 2015. We have operations in 27 countries.

Download the Morningstar Fact Sheet : http://corporate.morningstar.com/US/documents/MarketingFactSheets/AboutMorningstarFactsheet.pdf

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>After an initial tantrum, the market is now upbeat at the prospect of a Trump presidency, particularly for commodities and commodity producers. Trump says he will boost U.S. economic growth to 3.5% per annum, cut taxes and regulation, lift restrictions on energy investment--particularly for fossil fuels--and end offshoring. There are some left-field ideas too, particularly around trade and protectionism. The most important policy for commodity producers is the promise to invest $1 trillion on infrastructure in the next 10 years.</p><p>U.S.-based steelmakers are likely to benefit. Trump says he wants the steel for backbone of the infrastructure to be American. We expect U.S. steel makers to benefit from both higher volumes and margins, with unit costs to benefit from increased plant utilisation. Some of the benefit is likely to be passed on to the price of raw materials-- scrap and U.S. domestically produced iron ore and coking coal.</p><p>We do not expect a meaningful change to global demand for commodities given the small role that the U.S. plays in a China-dominated market. As such, we do not plan any changes to our price forecasts for iron ore, met coal, thermal coal, or uranium. We maintain our fair value estimates for almost all our global mining coverage (BHP, Rio Tinto, Fortescue, Vale, Anglo American, Glencore, Teck Resources, and Cameco).</p><p><em>Analyst: Mathew Hodge &amp; David Wang</em></p>

After an initial tantrum, the market is now upbeat at the prospect of a Trump presidency, particularly for commodities and commodity producers. Trump says he will boost U.S. economic growth to 3.5% per annum, cut taxes and regulation, lift restrictions on energy investment--particularly for fossil fuels--and end offshoring. There are some left-field ideas too, particularly around trade and protectionism. The most important policy for commodity producers is the promise to invest $1 trillion on infrastructure in the next 10 years.U.S.-based steelmakers are likely to benefit. Trump says he wants the steel for backbone of the infrastructure to be American. We expect U.S. steel makers to benefit from both higher volumes and margins, with unit costs to benefit from increased plant utilisation. Some of the benefit is likely to be passed on to the price of raw materials-- scrap and U.S. domestically produced iron ore and coking coal.We do not expect a meaningful change to global demand for commodities given the small role that the U.S. plays in a China-dominated market. As such, we do not plan any changes to our price forecasts for iron ore, met coal, thermal coal, or uranium. We maintain our fair value estimates for almost all our global mining coverage (BHP, Rio Tinto, Fortescue, Vale, Anglo American, Glencore, Teck Resources, and Cameco).Analyst: Mathew Hodge &amp; David Wang

U.S. Steel Makers to Benefit From Trump Stimulus but Market Draws Long Bow With Optimism for Miners

APAC Investment Strategy, Animal Spirits Report

Paul M. Kitney, PhD

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<h2><strong>Executive Summary</strong></h2><ol>
<li>OPEC production cut plan supports our macro thesis of an oil-led, inflation expectations uplift.</li>
<li>Our original WTI peak base effect was +20 percent YOY. Now based on end-September oil it is +40 percent.</li>
<li>Our bullish case for EM is in large part based on improved pricing power in energy and material sectors.</li>
<li>OPEC action assists supply rebalance and steepens the path for inflation expectations and Fed action.</li>
<li>Strong oil supports our yield-based bullish view on banks and insurers.</li>
</ol><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/013/995/original/animal_spirits3.png?1475197603" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="13995"></figure><h2>Oil</h2>…

Executive Summary
OPEC production cut plan supports our macro thesis of an oil-led, inflation expectations uplift.
Our original WTI peak base effect was +20 percent YOY. Now based on end-September oil it is +40 percent.
Our bullish case for EM is in large part based on improved pricing power in energy and material sectors.
OPEC action assists supply rebalance and steepens the path for inflation expectations and Fed action.
Strong oil supports our yield-based bullish view on banks and insurers.
Oil…

ANIMAL SPIRITS Update: OPEC Fuels Base Effect - Oil, Inflation & The Fed, Yields, Financials and EM

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/syngenta-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39907:1" rel="noopener">Syngenta Group (1844795D CH)</a> is looking to raise around US$9.2bn in its upcoming China A-share IPO.</li>
<li>Syngenta Group (Syngenta) is one of the largest agricultural firms globally, developing, producing and commercializing a portfolio of crop protection, seeds, crop nutrition products.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Syngenta Group (1844795D CH) is looking to raise around US$9.2bn in its upcoming China A-share IPO.
Syngenta Group (Syngenta) is one of the largest agricultural firms globally, developing, producing and commercializing a portfolio of crop protection, seeds, crop nutrition products.
In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.


Syngenta Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Margins Remain Razor Thin and Parent on Sanction List

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/syngenta-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39907:1" rel="noopener">Syngenta Group (1844795D CH)</a> is looking to raise around US$9.2bn in its upcoming China A-share IPO.</li>
<li>Syngenta Group (Syngenta) is one of the largest agricultural firms globally, developing, producing and commercializing a portfolio of crop protection, seeds, crop nutrition products.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Syngenta Group (1844795D CH) is looking to raise around US$9.2bn in its upcoming China A-share IPO.
Syngenta Group (Syngenta) is one of the largest agricultural firms globally, developing, producing and commercializing a portfolio of crop protection, seeds, crop nutrition products.
In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Syngenta Pre-IPO - The Positives - Giant in the Agriculture Industry Set to Benefit from Policies

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There were a couple of ad hoc rebalances in Korea last week for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX EQUITY)</a>. </li>
<li>Coming Friday will mark the end of the review period for the next rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a>, HSCI, LQ45, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">PCOMP</a> as well as the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">SET50</a> June implementation.</li>
<li>With Japan indices moving higher, the largest inflows went into ETFs tracking the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> and other local/global indices.</li>
</ul>


There were a couple of ad hoc rebalances in Korea last week for the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY) and KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX EQUITY). 
Coming Friday will mark the end of the review period for the next rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSCI, LQ45, PCOMP as well as the SET50 June implementation.
With Japan indices moving higher, the largest inflows went into ETFs tracking the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) and other local/global indices.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, KOSPI2, New Deal, SET50, MOG Digitech, Syngenta IPO

Switzerland

Syngenta AG produces crop produces agrochemical products. The Company produces herbicides, insecticides, fungicides, and seeds for field crops, vegetables, and flowers. Syngenta serves customers worldwide.

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Syngenta (SYNN SW)

U.S. Steel Makers to Benefit From Trump Stimulus but Market Draws Long Bow With Optimism for Miners

After an initial tantrum, the market is now upbeat at the prospect of a Trump presidency, particularly for commodities and commodity producers....

Morningstar, Inc.

ANIMAL SPIRITS Update: OPEC Fuels Base Effect - Oil, Inflation & The Fed, Yields, Financials and EM

Executive Summary OPEC production cut plan supports our macro thesis of an oil-led, inflation expectations uplift. Our original WTI peak base...

Paul M. Kitney, PhD

Syngenta Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Margins Remain Razor Thin and Parent on Sanction List

Syngenta Group (1844795D CH) is looking to raise around US$9.2bn in its upcoming China A-share IPO. In this note, we will talk about the not so...

Clarence Chu

Syngenta Pre-IPO - The Positives - Giant in the Agriculture Industry Set to Benefit from Policies

Syngenta Group (1844795D CH) is looking to raise around US$9.2bn in its upcoming China A-share IPO. In this note, we will talk about the positive...

Clarence Chu

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, KOSPI2, New Deal, SET50, MOG Digitech, Syngenta IPO

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

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