Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/terumo-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6708:1" rel="noopener">Terumo Corp (4543 JP)</a> posted highest ever quarterly and YTD revenue and operating profit in Q3FY24. Double-digit growth in C&amp;V and TBCT businesses are the main revenue growth driver.</li>
<li>During 9MFY24, gross profit margin expanded 50bps YoY to 52%, while operating profit margin improved 40bps to 15.5%. Profitability improvement through price increases and cost reduction is on track.</li>
<li>Terumo has revised both FY24 revenue and profit upward to reflect continuing positive impacts from yen depreciation. The company is aiming for record high revenue and profit in FY24.</li>
</ul>



Terumo Corp (4543 JP) posted highest ever quarterly and YTD revenue and operating profit in Q3FY24. Double-digit growth in C&amp;V and TBCT businesses are the main revenue growth driver.
During 9MFY24, gross profit margin expanded 50bps YoY to 52%, while operating profit margin improved 40bps to 15.5%. Profitability improvement through price increases and cost reduction is on track.
Terumo has revised both FY24 revenue and profit upward to reflect continuing positive impacts from yen depreciation. The company is aiming for record high revenue and profit in FY24.


Terumo Corp (4543 JP): 3Q Result Beat Estimate; Currency Depreciation Led Full-Year Guidance Raise

<ul>
<li>On December 26, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nihon-kohden-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7668:1" rel="noopener">Nihon Kohden (6849 JP)</a> shares jumped ~15% as the company was a beneficiary of the ban on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple (AAPL US)</a>’s latest smartwatch models.</li>
<li>Nihon Kohden reported better-than-expected result in H1FY24. The company raised FY24 revenue forecast to ¥221.5B (+7% YoY) from ¥215.0B. The company has also raised FY24 operating and net profit guidance.</li>
<li>Currently consensus expects 2% YoY revenue growth for the company in FY25. With strong demand for existing products and new launches, the expectation seems to be conservative.  </li>
</ul>


On December 26, Nihon Kohden (6849 JP) shares jumped ~15% as the company was a beneficiary of the ban on Apple (AAPL US)’s latest smartwatch models.
Nihon Kohden reported better-than-expected result in H1FY24. The company raised FY24 revenue forecast to ¥221.5B (+7% YoY) from ¥215.0B. The company has also raised FY24 operating and net profit guidance.
Currently consensus expects 2% YoY revenue growth for the company in FY25. With strong demand for existing products and new launches, the expectation seems to be conservative.  


Nihon Kohden (6849 JP): Apart from Apple Smartwatch Ban, Three More Reasons to Buy Shares

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/olympus-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:356:1" rel="noopener">Olympus Corp (7733 JP)</a> announced muted Q1FY24 result. Revenue increased 8% YoY to ¥208B, while operating profit declined 50% YoY to ¥22B. A one-time gain has inflated the net profit.</li>
<li>Revenue missed about 3% compared to the plan. Product shipment hold and parts supply shortages represented about 1.5% points out of the total miss of 3%.</li>
<li>Olympus has reiterated FY24 guidance and expects FY24 revenue of ¥914B (+4% YoY) and operating profit of ¥163B (-13% YoY). In FY23, the company missed operating profit guidance.</li>
</ul>



Olympus Corp (7733 JP) announced muted Q1FY24 result. Revenue increased 8% YoY to ¥208B, while operating profit declined 50% YoY to ¥22B. A one-time gain has inflated the net profit.
Revenue missed about 3% compared to the plan. Product shipment hold and parts supply shortages represented about 1.5% points out of the total miss of 3%.
Olympus has reiterated FY24 guidance and expects FY24 revenue of ¥914B (+4% YoY) and operating profit of ¥163B (-13% YoY). In FY23, the company missed operating profit guidance.


Olympus Corp (7733 JP): Slow Start of FY24; Unfavorable Macro Backdrop Continues to Hurt Business

Executive Director, Metrical Inc

Aki Matsumoto

Executive Director

Independent Leading Corporate Governance Research

Metrical Inc

METRICAL INC. is an independent leading Corporate Governance research firm in Japan where Corporate Governance is increasingly recognized as an important element on corporate management in these days. Thus, CG research and solutions would become an essential component of global capital markets and play important to contribute to transparency of the markets and maximize shareholders’ value in Japan. 

METRICAL INC. provides Corporate Governance research and analysis including rating services, and  also offers investment research and IR services with solutions and customized profound research on CG and IR issues.

<ul>
<li>Few companies disclose human capital quantitatively, and most do so in text without numbers. Rarely do companies like Sysmex show how much added value their human capital investments have generated.</li>
<li>To ensure that information necessary to understand how much value investment in human capital creates is disclosed, investors should scrutinize annual securities reports to identify areas for improvement in disclosure.</li>
<li>Human capital and diversity disclosures are not available in a database. Allowing comparisons over time in the same company and comparative analysis with other companies will advance companies' efforts.</li>
</ul>


Few companies disclose human capital quantitatively, and most do so in text without numbers. Rarely do companies like Sysmex show how much added value their human capital investments have generated.
To ensure that information necessary to understand how much value investment in human capital creates is disclosed, investors should scrutinize annual securities reports to identify areas for improvement in disclosure.
Human capital and diversity disclosures are not available in a database. Allowing comparisons over time in the same company and comparative analysis with other companies will advance companies' efforts.


Investors Should Continue to Demand that Comparable and Necessary Human Capital Disclosures Are Made

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We continue to recommend a tactical overweight to defensives (Staples, Health Care, and Utilities) as the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) tests the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range at $93.</li>
<li>We also remain overweight Europe, Japan, and India, where a lot more than just defensives continue to outperform.</li>
<li>Actionable Themes: Consumer Discretionary and Defensives, Mainly in Japan and Europe</li>
</ul>


We continue to recommend a tactical overweight to defensives (Staples, Health Care, and Utilities) as the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) tests the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range at $93.
We also remain overweight Europe, Japan, and India, where a lot more than just defensives continue to outperform.
Actionable Themes: Consumer Discretionary and Defensives, Mainly in Japan and Europe


Remain Overweight Japan, Europe, & India; Buys in Discretionary and Defensives W/ Japan/Europe Focus

Japan

SYSMEX CORPORATION manufactures reagents and equipment for clinical tests including hematologic (blood) and immune tests. The Company also develops, manufactures, and trades particle analyzers such as blood coagulation analyzer and related software. Manufacturing and sales outside Japan include the United States, EMEA, China and Asia Pacific regions.

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Sysmex Corp (6869 JP)

Terumo Corp (4543 JP): 3Q Result Beat Estimate; Currency Depreciation Led Full-Year Guidance Raise

Terumo reports record high quarterly revenue and operating profit in Q3FY24. Double-digit growth in C&V and blood center business and continued...

Tina Banerjee

Nihon Kohden (6849 JP): Apart from Apple Smartwatch Ban, Three More Reasons to Buy Shares

Nihon Kohden reported strong H1FY24 results and raised its revenue and profit forecasts for FY24. The company has strong product line-up for the...

Tina Banerjee

Olympus Corp (7733 JP): Slow Start of FY24; Unfavorable Macro Backdrop Continues to Hurt Business

Q1FY24 revenue, operating profit, and profit from continuing operations represented 23%, 14%, and 12% of FY24 guidance, which calls for...

Tina Banerjee

Investors Should Continue to Demand that Comparable and Necessary Human Capital Disclosures Are Made

I would like to discuss the issues on the June 20 Nikkei article, "50% Disclose 'Investment in Human Capital,' Diversity Indicators Becoming More...

Metrical Inc

Remain Overweight Japan, Europe, & India; Buys in Discretionary and Defensives W/ Japan/Europe Focus

We continue to recommend a tactical overweight to defensives as $ACWI tests the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range at $93. Remain...

Vermilion Research

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Terumo Corp (4543 JP): 3Q Result Beat Estimate; Currency Depreciation Led Full-Year Guidance Raise

Terumo reports record high quarterly revenue and operating profit in Q3FY24. Double-digit growth in C&V and blood center business and continued...

Tina Banerjee

Nihon Kohden (6849 JP): Apart from Apple Smartwatch Ban, Three More Reasons to Buy Shares

​Nihon Kohden reported strong H1FY24 results and raised its revenue and profit forecasts for FY24. The company has strong product line-up for the...

Tina Banerjee

Olympus Corp (7733 JP): Slow Start of FY24; Unfavorable Macro Backdrop Continues to Hurt Business

Q1FY24 revenue, operating profit, and profit from continuing operations represented 23%, 14%, and 12% of FY24 guidance, which calls for...

Tina Banerjee

Investors Should Continue to Demand that Comparable and Necessary Human Capital Disclosures Are Made

I would like to discuss the issues on the June 20 Nikkei article, "50% Disclose 'Investment in Human Capital,' Diversity Indicators Becoming More...

Metrical Inc

Remain Overweight Japan, Europe, & India; Buys in Discretionary and Defensives W/ Japan/Europe Focus

We continue to recommend a tactical overweight to defensives as $ACWI tests the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range at $93. Remain...

Vermilion Research

Nihon Kohden reported strong H1FY24 results and raised its revenue and profit forecasts for FY24. The company has strong product line-up for the...