Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

The Shanghai Commerical & Sa / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The T50 index represents the top 50 largest stocks by market capitalization in the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE). The T100 index represents the next 100 largest names (51-150 ranks).</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs for the December 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We currently see three changes for T50 and three other changes for T100 in December 2025.</li>
</ul>


The T50 index represents the top 50 largest stocks by market capitalization in the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE). The T100 index represents the next 100 largest names (51-150 ranks).
In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs for the December 2025 index rebal event.
We currently see three changes for T50 and three other changes for T100 in December 2025.


Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Dec25: High-Impact Passive Sell-Off for Shanghai Commercial (5876)

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook</li>
<li>Regime change comes to Asia, making sector selection key to performance</li>
<li>Some key recession watch indicators  continue to ring alarm bells</li>
</ul>


A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook
Regime change comes to Asia, making sector selection key to performance
Some key recession watch indicators  continue to ring alarm bells


Overview #25 Implications of Stronger Asian Currencies

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the December 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>I currently see 5 ADDs and 4 DELs but some of these names are different from what we had last time (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-leaderboard-tdiv-dec-24-5-adds-4-dels-likely-us-1-38bn-one-way" target="_blank" rel="noopener">link</a>).</li>
<li>The current estimate for one-way flow in December 2024 is US$1.54bn.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the December 2024 index rebal event.
I currently see 5 ADDs and 4 DELs but some of these names are different from what we had last time (link).
The current estimate for one-way flow in December 2024 is US$1.54bn.


Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec 24: Trade Successful; +9.5% in Three Weeks; More Upside Possible.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Using data from the close on 15 November, there could be 6 adds and 5 deletes for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in December.</li>
<li>There will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to a one-way turnover of 16.9% and a one-way trade of TWD 57.5bn (US$1.77bn).</li>
<li>Short interest is at the highs in most forecast deletes, while the trend is mixed among the potential inclusions.</li>
</ul>


Using data from the close on 15 November, there could be 6 adds and 5 deletes for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in December.
There will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to a one-way turnover of 16.9% and a one-way trade of TWD 57.5bn (US$1.77bn).
Short interest is at the highs in most forecast deletes, while the trend is mixed among the potential inclusions.


Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 6 Adds, 5 Deletes, Capping, US$3.5bn Trade

<ul>
<li>Using data from the close on 11 October, there could be 6 adds and 5 deletes for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in December.</li>
<li>There will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to a one-way turnover of 15% and a one-way trade of TWD 49bn (US$1.52bn)</li>
<li>Shorts have been building up in some of the forecast deletes and in a couple of the forecast adds as well.</li>
</ul>


Using data from the close on 11 October, there could be 6 adds and 5 deletes for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in December.
There will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to a one-way turnover of 15% and a one-way trade of TWD 49bn (US$1.52bn)
Shorts have been building up in some of the forecast deletes and in a couple of the forecast adds as well.


Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: Big Impact and US$3bn Round-Trip Trade

Taiwan

Taiwan Fertilizer Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets chemical fertilizers.  The Company predominately sells its products in Taiwan.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Taiwan Fertilizer (1722 TT)

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Dec25: High-Impact Passive Sell-Off for Shanghai Commercial (5876)

There could be ~19x ADV of net passive selling for Shanghai Commerical (5876 TT). Separately, Tung Ho Steel (2006 TT) could get deleted from T100...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Overview #25 Implications of Stronger Asian Currencies

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. Implications of Asian currency strength in sector selection

Rikki Malik

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec 24: Trade Successful; +9.5% in Three Weeks; More Upside Possible.

The base date for the TDIV Dec24 rebal is 25th December 2024 (next Monday). The trade suggested in this insight has been performing very well and...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 6 Adds, 5 Deletes, Capping, US$3.5bn Trade

There could be 6 adds, 5 deletes, capping and funding changes, leading to a one-way turnover of 16.9% and a round-trip trade of US$3.55bn. There...

Brian Freitas

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: Big Impact and US$3bn Round-Trip Trade

The ETF could have 6 adds and 5 deletes in Dec. There will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to a one-way turnover of 15% and a...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Dec25: High-Impact Passive Sell-Off for Shanghai Commercial (5876)

There could be ~19x ADV of net passive selling for Shanghai Commerical (5876 TT). Separately, Tung Ho Steel (2006 TT) could get deleted from T100...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Overview #25 Implications of Stronger Asian Currencies

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. Implications of Asian currency strength in sector selection

Rikki Malik

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec 24: Trade Successful; +9.5% in Three Weeks; More Upside Possible.

The base date for the TDIV Dec24 rebal is 25th December 2024 (next Monday). The trade suggested in this insight has been performing very well and...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 6 Adds, 5 Deletes, Capping, US$3.5bn Trade

There could be 6 adds, 5 deletes, capping and funding changes, leading to a one-way turnover of 16.9% and a round-trip trade of US$3.55bn. There...

Brian Freitas

Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: Big Impact and US$3bn Round-Trip Trade

The ETF could have 6 adds and 5 deletes in Dec. There will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to a one-way turnover of 15% and a...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Dec25: High-Impact Passive Sell-Off for Shanghai Commercial (5876)

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 6 Adds, 5 Deletes, Capping, US$3.5bn Trade

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: Big Impact and US$3bn Round-Trip Trade