Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

The Shanghai Commerical & Sa / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The T50 index represents the top 50 largest stocks by market capitalization in the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE). The T100 index represents the next 100 largest names (51-150 ranks).</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs for the December 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We currently see three changes for T50 and three other changes for T100 in December 2025.</li>
</ul>


The T50 index represents the top 50 largest stocks by market capitalization in the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE). The T100 index represents the next 100 largest names (51-150 ranks).
In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs for the December 2025 index rebal event.
We currently see three changes for T50 and three other changes for T100 in December 2025.


Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Dec25: High-Impact Passive Sell-Off for Shanghai Commercial (5876)

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

The Shanghai Commerical & Sa / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Wildly improving credit metrics, with NPL coverage now at 1,144% in 1Q23</li>
<li>Core net interest income is strong for past 3 quarters, now at +31% YoY</li>
<li>Key line item deltas can continue, suggesting ROA to surpass 1.0% soon</li>
</ul>


Wildly improving credit metrics, with NPL coverage now at 1,144% in 1Q23
Core net interest income is strong for past 3 quarters, now at +31% YoY
Key line item deltas can continue, suggesting ROA to surpass 1.0% soon


The Shanghai Commercial & Savings Bank - Far Stronger Credit Metrics, 31% Net Interest Income Growth

<ul>
<li>The TDIV index tracks the top 50 names in the Taiwan Stock Exchange with the highest dividend yields. It is a yield-weighted index with unique capping rules.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the June 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect five changes for the TDIV index. On top of that, there will be capping flows too.</li>
</ul>


The TDIV index tracks the top 50 names in the Taiwan Stock Exchange with the highest dividend yields. It is a yield-weighted index with unique capping rules.
In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the June 2025 index rebal event.
We expect five changes for the TDIV index. On top of that, there will be capping flows too.


Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun25: US$2.1bn One-Way; 17% Turnover; Sector-Neutral Trade Ideas

Tung Ho Steel Enterprise / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The T50 index represents the top 50 largest stocks by market capitalization in the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE). The T100 index represents the next 100 largest names (51-150 ranks).</li>
<li>Today is the base date for the December 2025 index rebal event and the expected ADDs/DELs discussed in this insight are our final index change expectations.</li>
<li>We expect four changes for T50 and three <em>additional</em> changes for the T100 index for the December 2025 rebal.</li>
</ul>


The T50 index represents the top 50 largest stocks by market capitalization in the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE). The T100 index represents the next 100 largest names (51-150 ranks).
Today is the base date for the December 2025 index rebal event and the expected ADDs/DELs discussed in this insight are our final index change expectations.
We expect four changes for T50 and three additional changes for the T100 index for the December 2025 rebal.


Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Dec25: Final Ranks; Tung Ho Escapes TDIV Deletion!

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There could be 4 constituent changes for the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF in December as positioning for buying by one set of index trackers pushes stocks into other indices.</li>
<li>There will be passive inflows in some of the forecast adds week after next and the flows from these index trackers will come a few weeks later.</li>
<li>With large AUMs tracking the dividend indices, stocks that have moved up a lot now have low dividend yields and there could be opposite flows from those index trackers.</li>
</ul>


There could be 4 constituent changes for the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF in December as positioning for buying by one set of index trackers pushes stocks into other indices.
There will be passive inflows in some of the forecast adds week after next and the flows from these index trackers will come a few weeks later.
With large AUMs tracking the dividend indices, stocks that have moved up a lot now have low dividend yields and there could be opposite flows from those index trackers.


Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance Preview: Plenty of Big Overlapping Flows Coming Up

Taiwan

The Shanghai Commercial & Savings Bank, Ltd. provides commercial banking services with a global presence. The Bank attracts deposits from the general public and uses those funds to originate a variety of loans. SCSB supports businesses by providing trade financing and foreign exchange services.

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The Shanghai Commerical & Sa (5876 TT)

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Dec25: High-Impact Passive Sell-Off for Shanghai Commercial (5876)

There could be ~19x ADV of net passive selling for Shanghai Commerical (5876 TT). Separately, Tung Ho Steel (2006 TT) could get deleted from T100...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

The Shanghai Commercial & Savings Bank - Far Stronger Credit Metrics, 31% Net Interest Income Growth

Shanghai Commercial & Savings Bank shows 31% net interest income growth YoY in 1Q23 and dramatically lower credit costs. It is likely to see ROA...

Daniel Tabbush

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun25: US$2.1bn One-Way; 17% Turnover; Sector-Neutral Trade Ideas

We expect one-way flows of 2.1bn which translates to a turnover of 17%. There are multiple names with 10x ADV or more to trade. Some of the outflow...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Dec25: Final Ranks; Tung Ho Escapes TDIV Deletion!

After the sharp jump in share price, Tung Ho Steel Enterprise (2006 TT) is unlikely to be deleted from T100 or TDIV in December 2025.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance Preview: Plenty of Big Overlapping Flows Coming Up

We currently forecast 4 changes for the ETF in Dec. That could increase to 5. Multiple stocks will have same-way flow from other index trackers...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Dec25: High-Impact Passive Sell-Off for Shanghai Commercial (5876)

There could be ~19x ADV of net passive selling for Shanghai Commerical (5876 TT). Separately, Tung Ho Steel (2006 TT) could get deleted from T100...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

The Shanghai Commercial & Savings Bank - Far Stronger Credit Metrics, 31% Net Interest Income Growth

Shanghai Commercial & Savings Bank shows 31% net interest income growth YoY in 1Q23 and dramatically lower credit costs. It is likely to see ROA...

Daniel Tabbush

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun25: US$2.1bn One-Way; 17% Turnover; Sector-Neutral Trade Ideas

We expect one-way flows of 2.1bn which translates to a turnover of 17%. There are multiple names with 10x ADV or more to trade. Some of the outflow...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Dec25: Final Ranks; Tung Ho Escapes TDIV Deletion!

After the sharp jump in share price, Tung Ho Steel Enterprise (2006 TT) is unlikely to be deleted from T100 or TDIV in December 2025.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance Preview: Plenty of Big Overlapping Flows Coming Up

We currently forecast 4 changes for the ETF in Dec. That could increase to 5. Multiple stocks will have same-way flow from other index trackers...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Dec25: High-Impact Passive Sell-Off for Shanghai Commercial (5876)

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Dec25: Final Ranks; Tung Ho Escapes TDIV Deletion!