Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>On July 24, chip giant Intel announced that its latest 18A advanced process is progressing smoothly. However, the next-generation 14A process will be developed “based on confirmed customer commitments.”</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple (AAPL US)</a> adopt Intel’s 14A process for its future M-series chips, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)</a> is expected to use the same process for its entry-level gaming GPUs.</li>
<li>U.S. President Trump is imposing tariffs on countries around the world, which is indirectly pressuring some manufacturers to accelerate the establishment of U.S.-based production facilities.</li>
</ul>


On July 24, chip giant Intel announced that its latest 18A advanced process is progressing smoothly. However, the next-generation 14A process will be developed “based on confirmed customer commitments.”

Apple (AAPL US) adopt Intel’s 14A process for its future M-series chips, while NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) is expected to use the same process for its entry-level gaming GPUs.
U.S. President Trump is imposing tariffs on countries around the world, which is indirectly pressuring some manufacturers to accelerate the establishment of U.S.-based production facilities.


Intel (INTC.US): 18A May Have Been Too Rushed; Now All Hopes Rest on 14A.

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

<ul>
<li>Intel reported Q225 revenues of $12.9 billion, up $200 million QoQ, flat YoY but $1.1 billion above the guided midpoint. After that revenue beat, things went downhill from there.</li>
<li>CEO Lip Bu Tan said he will review and approve all future company product designs prior to tape out. Sounds like a vote of no confidence in the design team.</li>
<li>Intel's 10 Q now lists the possibility of pausing or abandoning 14A as a risk factor with doomsday details about the implications for the company</li>
</ul>


Intel reported Q225 revenues of $12.9 billion, up $200 million QoQ, flat YoY but $1.1 billion above the guided midpoint. After that revenue beat, things went downhill from there.
CEO Lip Bu Tan said he will review and approve all future company product designs prior to tape out. Sounds like a vote of no confidence in the design team.
Intel's 10 Q now lists the possibility of pausing or abandoning 14A as a risk factor with doomsday details about the implications for the company


Intel Q225. GM Obfuscation, Red Flags & 14A Now Officially A Risk Factor

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 25th. The aggregated holding was USD1,172.5bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD3,804mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Taishin Financial, Hon Hai Precision, TSMC, MediaTek, CTBC Financial, Taishin Financial, Hon Hai Precision, TSMC, Mediatek, Ctbc Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 25th. The aggregated holding was USD1,172.5bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD3,804mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Taishin Financial, Hon Hai Precision, TSMC, MediaTek, CTBC Financial, Taishin Financial, Hon Hai Precision, TSMC, Mediatek, Ctbc Financial.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 25th): Taishin Financial, Hon Hai Precision, TSMC, MediaTek

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 25th. The aggregated short interest was USD25.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Jinan Acetate Chemical, LARGAN Precision, MiTAC, CTBC Financial, Taishin Financial, Jinan Acetate Chemical, LARGAN Precision, MiTAC, CTBC Financial, Taishin Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 25th. The aggregated short interest was USD25.5bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Jinan Acetate Chemical, LARGAN Precision, MiTAC, CTBC Financial, Taishin Financial, Jinan Acetate Chemical, LARGAN Precision, MiTAC, CTBC Financial, Taishin Financial.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jul 25th): Jinan Acetate Chemical, LARGAN Precision, MiTAC

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +26.3% Premium; Opportunity to Go Short the ADR Premium</li>
<li>UMC: -1.2% Discount; ADR Headroom Falls Yet Again by a Significant Amount</li>
<li>ASE: +0.7% Premium; Opportunity to Go Long the ADR Premium -- ADR Headroom Has First Change in a Long Time</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +26.3% Premium; Opportunity to Go Short the ADR Premium
UMC: -1.2% Discount; ADR Headroom Falls Yet Again by a Significant Amount
ASE: +0.7% Premium; Opportunity to Go Long the ADR Premium -- ADR Headroom Has First Change in a Long Time


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC ADR Premium Remaining Unusually High; UMC & ASE Headroom Changes

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

Intel (INTC.US): 18A May Have Been Too Rushed; Now All Hopes Rest on 14A.

Intel's 14A process development relies on customer commitments, with Apple and NVIDIA expected to adopt it for future chips amid global tariff...

Patrick Liao

Intel Q225. GM Obfuscation, Red Flags & 14A Now Officially A Risk Factor

Intel's 10 Q now lists the possibility of pausing or abandoning 14A as a risk factor with doomsday details about the implications for the company

William Keating

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 25th): Taishin Financial, Hon Hai Precision, TSMC, MediaTek

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Taishin Financial (2887 TT), Hon Hai Precision...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jul 25th): Jinan Acetate Chemical, LARGAN Precision, MiTAC

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Jinan Acetate Chemical (4763 TT), LARGAN...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC ADR Premium Remaining Unusually High; UMC & ASE Headroom Changes

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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Intel (INTC.US): 18A May Have Been Too Rushed; Now All Hopes Rest on 14A.

​Intel's 14A process development relies on customer commitments, with Apple and NVIDIA expected to adopt it for future chips amid global tariff...

Patrick Liao

Intel Q225. GM Obfuscation, Red Flags & 14A Now Officially A Risk Factor

Intel's 10 Q now lists the possibility of pausing or abandoning 14A as a risk factor with doomsday details about the implications for the company

William Keating

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 25th): Taishin Financial, Hon Hai Precision, TSMC, MediaTek

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Taishin Financial (2887 TT), Hon Hai Precision...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jul 25th): Jinan Acetate Chemical, LARGAN Precision, MiTAC

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Jinan Acetate Chemical (4763 TT), LARGAN...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC ADR Premium Remaining Unusually High; UMC & ASE Headroom Changes

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Intel's 14A process development relies on customer commitments, with Apple and NVIDIA expected to adopt it for future chips amid global tariff...