Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Laser focus, transparency and adoption of a "say do" approach to measuring success are now the order of the day at Intel</li>
<li>Data Center roadmap not in good shape and if IFS can't deliver, MJ won't hesitate to outsource DC products to TSMC alongside existing Client products.</li>
<li>Gaudi is not a mass market product, Falcon Shores won't be great either but we will listen, learn, iterate and fail quickly. Watch out NVIDIA !</li>
</ul>


Laser focus, transparency and adoption of a "say do" approach to measuring success are now the order of the day at Intel
Data Center roadmap not in good shape and if IFS can't deliver, MJ won't hesitate to outsource DC products to TSMC alongside existing Client products.
Gaudi is not a mass market product, Falcon Shores won't be great either but we will listen, learn, iterate and fail quickly. Watch out NVIDIA !


Intel. Laser Focus & No More Meaningless Life-Time Value Foundry Deal Updates

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>Lots of Jobs eliminated by Large Tech firms. Stable Mediatek-Qualcomm market share in Mobile. Foundry Top-10: 5-4-3nm still booming, Mature nodes still lagging.</li>
<li>Samsung multiple troubles. HBM3e still not qualified, losing iPhone OLED share, US CHIPS Act subsidies gone, Exynos 2500 delayed, Smartphone forecasts lower  </li>
<li>Intel new CEOs admit they don’t have an AI roadmap – Gaudi 3 failed, next-gen Falcon Shores is a learning opportunity… but 18A process on track (for 2027?).</li>
</ul>


Lots of Jobs eliminated by Large Tech firms. Stable Mediatek-Qualcomm market share in Mobile. Foundry Top-10: 5-4-3nm still booming, Mature nodes still lagging.
Samsung multiple troubles. HBM3e still not qualified, losing iPhone OLED share, US CHIPS Act subsidies gone, Exynos 2500 delayed, Smartphone forecasts lower  
Intel new CEOs admit they don’t have an AI roadmap – Gaudi 3 failed, next-gen Falcon Shores is a learning opportunity… but 18A process on track (for 2027?).


Tech News This Week: Samsung Multiple Negatives. Intel Facing Reality. TSMC, Mediatek.

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 index represents the performance of the biggest US-listed companies in the semiconductor industry.</li>
<li>There will be no index changes for the December 2024 rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect a one-way flow of US$1.3bn for December 2024, which translates to a turnover of 5.4%.</li>
</ul>


The MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 index represents the performance of the biggest US-listed companies in the semiconductor industry.
There will be no index changes for the December 2024 rebal event.
We expect a one-way flow of US$1.3bn for December 2024, which translates to a turnover of 5.4%.


[Quiddity Index] MarketVector US Semiconductor Index Dec24 Rebal Results: Flow Expectations

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

<ul>
<li>Although the outlook for 1Q25 might be somewhat negative, we believe that it is a reasonably typical result.</li>
<li>We understand that MediaTek did not succeed in qualifying its Apple iPad and iWatch CPUs originally, but we believe it is now preparing for a re-qualification process.</li>
<li>Looking ahead to 2025, we anticipate a more favorable outlook for MediaTek.</li>
</ul>


Although the outlook for 1Q25 might be somewhat negative, we believe that it is a reasonably typical result.
We understand that MediaTek did not succeed in qualifying its Apple iPad and iWatch CPUs originally, but we believe it is now preparing for a re-qualification process.
Looking ahead to 2025, we anticipate a more favorable outlook for MediaTek.


MediaTek (2454.TT): D9400 Success Will Extend into 2025. Prepare to Re-Qualify IPad and IWatch.

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

<ul><li>Samsung Display appoints new VP to lead strategic product realignment, driving focus on key areas.</li><li>BYD expands EV production in Europe, while Gotion aims for battery growth in Morocco and Slovakia.</li><li>Google unveils Gemini 2.0 and next-gen TPU Trillium, ushering in the era of AI agents; Morris Chang shares insights on Intel's leadership crisis. Samsung shifts 2,000 engineers to Pyeongtaek to tackle HBM hurdles.</li></ul>

Samsung Display appoints new VP to lead strategic product realignment, driving focus on key areas.BYD expands EV production in Europe, while Gotion aims for battery growth in Morocco and Slovakia.Google unveils Gemini 2.0 and next-gen TPU Trillium, ushering in the era of AI agents; Morris Chang shares insights on Intel's leadership crisis. Samsung shifts 2,000 engineers to Pyeongtaek to tackle HBM hurdles.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (14-Dec-2024): Samsung: VP leads key unit, strategic realignment.

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

Intel. Laser Focus & No More Meaningless Life-Time Value Foundry Deal Updates

Laser focus, transparency & adopting a "say do" approach to measuring success will be the new Intel. No more meaningless LDV updates on IFS. DC...

William Keating

Tech News This Week: Samsung Multiple Negatives. Intel Facing Reality. TSMC, Mediatek.

Tech industry facing job cuts. stable market share for Mediatek-Qualcomm in mobile, foundry top-10 sees growth in 5-4-3nm but struggles with...

Nicolas Baratte

[Quiddity Index] MarketVector US Semiconductor Index Dec24 Rebal Results: Flow Expectations

The MarketVectors US Semiconductor Index rebal was announced last Friday. There are no changes but capping leads to US$1.3bn of one-way flow on 20...

Travis Lundy

MediaTek (2454.TT): D9400 Success Will Extend into 2025. Prepare to Re-Qualify IPad and IWatch.

Despite setbacks with Apple products, MediaTek is expected to see a more positive outlook in 2025 after a typical 1Q25 dip.

Patrick Liao

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (14-Dec-2024): Samsung: VP leads key unit, strategic realignment.

Samsung Display appoints new VP for strategic realignment, BYD and Gotion expand EV and battery production, Google reveals Gemini 2.0 and TPU...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Intel. Laser Focus & No More Meaningless Life-Time Value Foundry Deal Updates

Laser focus, transparency & adopting a "say do" approach to measuring success will be the new Intel. No more meaningless LDV updates on IFS. DC...

William Keating

Tech News This Week: Samsung Multiple Negatives. Intel Facing Reality. TSMC, Mediatek.

​Tech industry facing job cuts. stable market share for Mediatek-Qualcomm in mobile, foundry top-10 sees growth in 5-4-3nm but struggles with...

Nicolas Baratte

[Quiddity Index] MarketVector US Semiconductor Index Dec24 Rebal Results: Flow Expectations

The MarketVectors US Semiconductor Index rebal was announced last Friday. There are no changes but capping leads to US$1.3bn of one-way flow on 20...

Travis Lundy

MediaTek (2454.TT): D9400 Success Will Extend into 2025. Prepare to Re-Qualify IPad and IWatch.

​Despite setbacks with Apple products, MediaTek is expected to see a more positive outlook in 2025 after a typical 1Q25 dip.

Patrick Liao

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (14-Dec-2024): Samsung: VP leads key unit, strategic realignment.

Samsung Display appoints new VP for strategic realignment, BYD and Gotion expand EV and battery production, Google reveals Gemini 2.0 and TPU...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech industry facing job cuts. stable market share for Mediatek-Qualcomm in mobile, foundry top-10 sees growth in 5-4-3nm but struggles with...

Despite setbacks with Apple products, MediaTek is expected to see a more positive outlook in 2025 after a typical 1Q25 dip.