Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Companies exude confidence and unanimously explain that AI is the fastest growing revenue segment ever.  AI leads to revenue growth, increase in volume, higher pricing, higher engagement. </li>
<li>Companies also explain that AI today only reflects a small part of long-term planning. AI is a decade long transformation of how we work, search for information or buy products.  </li>
<li>Meta and Microsoft see equipment delays and are capacity constrained in 2024. Capex will increase in 2025. </li>
</ul>


Companies exude confidence and unanimously explain that AI is the fastest growing revenue segment ever.  AI leads to revenue growth, increase in volume, higher pricing, higher engagement. 
Companies also explain that AI today only reflects a small part of long-term planning. AI is a decade long transformation of how we work, search for information or buy products.  
Meta and Microsoft see equipment delays and are capacity constrained in 2024. Capex will increase in 2025. 


Google, Meta, Microsoft: What Did They Say About AI, Capex and Revenues?

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

<ul>
<li>Rising D9400 demand will offset lower-end SP demand weakness in 4Q24. </li>
<li>MTK has over 30% market share of flagship SPs in China, so flagship sales growth in 2025 will be below 70%. </li>
<li>For China demand, it is better than expected compared to one year ago for SPs, TVs, modems, and connectivity.</li>
</ul>


Rising D9400 demand will offset lower-end SP demand weakness in 4Q24. 
MTK has over 30% market share of flagship SPs in China, so flagship sales growth in 2025 will be below 70%. 
For China demand, it is better than expected compared to one year ago for SPs, TVs, modems, and connectivity.


MediaTek (2454.TT): Weakness in the 4Q24 Is Offset by the Demand for D9400.

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Advanced Micro Devices / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Q324 revenues of $6.8 billion, $100 million above the guided midpoint, up 17% QoQ and up18% YoY.</li>
<li>Q424 forecast $7.5 billion, plus or minus $300 million. At the midpoint of the revenue range, this represents YoY growth of ~22% and sequential growth of ~10%.</li>
<li>AMD's share price is now roughly the same as it was at the start of 2022.</li>
</ul>


Q324 revenues of $6.8 billion, $100 million above the guided midpoint, up 17% QoQ and up18% YoY.
Q424 forecast $7.5 billion, plus or minus $300 million. At the midpoint of the revenue range, this represents YoY growth of ~22% and sequential growth of ~10%.
AMD's share price is now roughly the same as it was at the start of 2022.


Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

<ul>
<li>We identify key Taiwan-based Apple suppliers that have underperformed recently, and highlight which suppliers' revenue growth will outpace Apple in 2025E.</li>
<li>Rise of India -- Latest Apple data shows massive iPhone production growth in the country.</li>
<li>Apple's next-generation M5 chip will continue using TSMC's 3nm node, launching 2H25E; Supports that TSMC's 3nm process is expected to maintain strong demand even with the arrival of 2nm.</li>
</ul>


We identify key Taiwan-based Apple suppliers that have underperformed recently, and highlight which suppliers' revenue growth will outpace Apple in 2025E.
Rise of India -- Latest Apple data shows massive iPhone production growth in the country.
Apple's next-generation M5 chip will continue using TSMC's 3nm node, launching 2H25E; Supports that TSMC's 3nm process is expected to maintain strong demand even with the arrival of 2nm.


Apple Supply Chain Monitor: Laggards to Outgrow Apple in 2025E; India's IPhone Surge; New IMacs W/AI

Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors, The Circuit

The Circuit

Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors

A Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors. With Jay Goldberg and Ben Bajarin

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul><li>Quarter results not good, guidance for next quarter negative, stock down</li><li>Intel and Samsung causing order push outs for ASML</li><li>ASML facing cyclical challenges in semiconductor industry, potential impact on future manufacturing partnerships with TSMC and Intel</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

Quarter results not good, guidance for next quarter negative, stock downIntel and Samsung causing order push outs for ASMLASML facing cyclical challenges in semiconductor industry, potential impact on future manufacturing partnerships with TSMC and IntelThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Episode 90: TSMC/ASML Earnings Signals, X86 Consortium, Nuclear Trending

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

Google, Meta, Microsoft: What Did They Say About AI, Capex and Revenues?

Is AI really increasing revenues, profitability? There is still considerable doubt within the investors community on the "reality" of AI, or its...

Nicolas Baratte

MediaTek (2454.TT): Weakness in the 4Q24 Is Offset by the Demand for D9400.

Strong demand for D9400 will help balance out the weaker demand for lower-end SPs in the 4Q24, with MTK holding a significant market share in...

Patrick Liao

AMD Q324 Earnings Review

Q324 revenue $6.8 billion, +17% QoQ, +18% YoY. Q424 forecast $7.5 billion, +10% QoQ, +22% YoY. Share fall 8% after hours, now trading back at early...

William Keating

Apple Supply Chain Monitor: Laggards to Outgrow Apple in 2025E; India's IPhone Surge; New IMacs W/AI

Underperforming suppliers expect revenue growth surpassing Apple in 2025E; India sees massive iPhone production growth; Apple's M5 chip...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Google, Meta, Microsoft: What Did They Say About AI, Capex and Revenues?

Is AI really increasing revenues, profitability? There is still considerable doubt within the investors community on the "reality" of AI, or its...

Nicolas Baratte

MediaTek (2454.TT): Weakness in the 4Q24 Is Offset by the Demand for D9400.

​Strong demand for D9400 will help balance out the weaker demand for lower-end SPs in the 4Q24, with MTK holding a significant market share in...

Patrick Liao

AMD Q324 Earnings Review

Q324 revenue $6.8 billion, +17% QoQ, +18% YoY. Q424 forecast $7.5 billion, +10% QoQ, +22% YoY. Share fall 8% after hours, now trading back at early...

William Keating

Apple Supply Chain Monitor: Laggards to Outgrow Apple in 2025E; India's IPhone Surge; New IMacs W/AI

​Underperforming suppliers expect revenue growth surpassing Apple in 2025E; India sees massive iPhone production growth; Apple's M5 chip...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Episode 90: TSMC/ASML Earnings Signals, X86 Consortium, Nuclear Trending

ASML's stock price dropped due to poor quarter results attributed to delayed orders from Intel and Samsung, as well as soft orders from China,...

The Circuit

Strong demand for D9400 will help balance out the weaker demand for lower-end SPs in the 4Q24, with MTK holding a significant market share in...

Underperforming suppliers expect revenue growth surpassing Apple in 2025E; India sees massive iPhone production growth; Apple's M5 chip...