Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +19% Premium; Good Level to Close Out for Those Short the ADR Spread</li>
<li>UMC: -3.9% Discount; Rare Deep Discount Good Level to Long the ADR Spread</li>
<li>ASE: -5.5% Discount; Any Spread Below Parity a Good Level to Long the ADR Spread</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +19% Premium; Good Level to Close Out for Those Short the ADR Spread
UMC: -3.9% Discount; Rare Deep Discount Good Level to Long the ADR Spread
ASE: -5.5% Discount; Any Spread Below Parity a Good Level to Long the ADR Spread


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: Weak US Friday Session Opens Up Wide Opportunities Across the Board

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>TSMC and UMC 3Q revenues are slightly above Guidance / Consensus. In US$, TSMC revenues growing at 40% YoY. Legacy Fab UMC growing at 4%. </li>
<li>This will continue, even if AI / HPC growth is slowing into 2026, the gap will remain wide between AI / HPC (say 35% growth) and Legacy (5%). </li>
<li>Ongoing concerns of AI investment bubble reflect “a lack of imagination” (Lisa Su). Stick with the category winners Nvidia - SK Hynix - TSMC , followed by AMD - Micron.</li>
</ul>


TSMC and UMC 3Q revenues are slightly above Guidance / Consensus. In US$, TSMC revenues growing at 40% YoY. Legacy Fab UMC growing at 4%. 
This will continue, even if AI / HPC growth is slowing into 2026, the gap will remain wide between AI / HPC (say 35% growth) and Legacy (5%). 
Ongoing concerns of AI investment bubble reflect “a lack of imagination” (Lisa Su). Stick with the category winners Nvidia - SK Hynix - TSMC , followed by AMD - Micron.


Semi Revenues Divergence Continues. AI, HPC Growing at ~45%, Everything Legacy in the Slumps.

<ul>
<li>As Chips Move to 3nm and 2nm Designs, Tech Companies Could See a Sharp Increase in Their Chip Manufacturing Cost</li>
<li>Intel (INTC.US): AMD to Submit Foundry Orders to Intel? We Think It’s Highly Unlikely. </li>
<li>HBM Stocks Will Keep Running (Micron, SK Hynix), It’s Just the Beginning </li>
</ul>


As Chips Move to 3nm and 2nm Designs, Tech Companies Could See a Sharp Increase in Their Chip Manufacturing Cost
Intel (INTC.US): AMD to Submit Foundry Orders to Intel? We Think It’s Highly Unlikely. 
HBM Stocks Will Keep Running (Micron, SK Hynix), It’s Just the Beginning 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Why Many Tech Companies Could Soon See Their Chip Costs Rise Substantially

<ul>
<li>Last week at SEMICON, TSMC unveiled COUPE, moving silicon photonics from lab demos into industrial-scale advanced packaging.</li>
<li>Himax, ASE, Zhen Ding, GlobalWafers, ACON, and Accton form Taiwan’s listed ecosystem for silicon photonics adoption.</li>
<li>As NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)-driven AI clusters proliferate, the power and cost of moving data between chips have become as constraining as compute itself.</li>
</ul>


Last week at SEMICON, TSMC unveiled COUPE, moving silicon photonics from lab demos into industrial-scale advanced packaging.
Himax, ASE, Zhen Ding, GlobalWafers, ACON, and Accton form Taiwan’s listed ecosystem for silicon photonics adoption.
As NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)-driven AI clusters proliferate, the power and cost of moving data between chips have become as constraining as compute itself.


TSMC’s COUPE Signals Silicon Photonics Go-Time — Early Winners in Taiwan’s Listed Supply Chain

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +26.8% Premium; Remains at Historical Extreme; Earnings Release Ahead</li>
<li>ChipMOS: +1.3% Premium; Wait for Higher Level Before Shorting the Spread</li>
<li>CHT: -1.0% Discount; Good Level to Go Long the ADR Spread</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +26.8% Premium; Remains at Historical Extreme; Earnings Release Ahead
ChipMOS: +1.3% Premium; Wait for Higher Level Before Shorting the Spread
CHT: -1.0% Discount; Good Level to Go Long the ADR Spread


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Remains High Ahead of 3Q Results; CHT Rare ADR Discount

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

Price Gauge
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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: Weak US Friday Session Opens Up Wide Opportunities Across the Board

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Semi Revenues Divergence Continues. AI, HPC Growing at ~45%, Everything Legacy in the Slumps.

TSMC and UMC beat revenue expectations in 3Q, with TSMC growing at 40% YoY. The gap between AI/HPC and Legacy Fab growth is expected to widen,...

Nicolas Baratte

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Why Many Tech Companies Could Soon See Their Chip Costs Rise Substantially

Tech companies face rising chip manufacturing costs as they transition to 3nm and 2nm designs. Additionally, the HBM memory rally could have legs.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC’s COUPE Signals Silicon Photonics Go-Time — Early Winners in Taiwan’s Listed Supply Chain

TSMC's COUPE at SEMICON advances silicon photonics for industrial-scale packaging, with Taiwan's ecosystem poised for adoption in AI networking...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Remains High Ahead of 3Q Results; CHT Rare ADR Discount

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: Weak US Friday Session Opens Up Wide Opportunities Across the Board

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Semi Revenues Divergence Continues. AI, HPC Growing at ~45%, Everything Legacy in the Slumps.

​TSMC and UMC beat revenue expectations in 3Q, with TSMC growing at 40% YoY. The gap between AI/HPC and Legacy Fab growth is expected to widen,...

Nicolas Baratte

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Why Many Tech Companies Could Soon See Their Chip Costs Rise Substantially

​Tech companies face rising chip manufacturing costs as they transition to 3nm and 2nm designs. Additionally, the HBM memory rally could have legs.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC’s COUPE Signals Silicon Photonics Go-Time — Early Winners in Taiwan’s Listed Supply Chain

​TSMC's COUPE at SEMICON advances silicon photonics for industrial-scale packaging, with Taiwan's ecosystem poised for adoption in AI networking...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Remains High Ahead of 3Q Results; CHT Rare ADR Discount

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC and UMC beat revenue expectations in 3Q, with TSMC growing at 40% YoY. The gap between AI/HPC and Legacy Fab growth is expected to widen,...

Tech companies face rising chip manufacturing costs as they transition to 3nm and 2nm designs. Additionally, the HBM memory rally could have legs.

TSMC's COUPE at SEMICON advances silicon photonics for industrial-scale packaging, with Taiwan's ecosystem poised for adoption in AI networking...