Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Pockets of strength in US Tech Friday with Coreweave, SMCI, Micron up with semi-caps generally lower after ASML nos.</li>
<li>Potential replacements for a NTT Data NKY deletion should continue to find a bid.</li>
<li>JP retailers J-Front and Matsuya squeezed sharply Friday after social media post highlights activist involvement.</li>
</ul>


Pockets of strength in US Tech Friday with Coreweave, SMCI, Micron up with semi-caps generally lower after ASML nos.
Potential replacements for a NTT Data NKY deletion should continue to find a bid.
JP retailers J-Front and Matsuya squeezed sharply Friday after social media post highlights activist involvement.


Japan Morning Connection: Markets Uncertain to Start the Week After Moody's US Downgrade

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Until quite recently, Nagoya had seven department stores but will soon have just four. </li>
<li>This follows Meitetsu’s decision to close its flagship store to clear the way for a major redevelopment of the station area.</li>
<li>The new development will include retail and so bring some competition to Takashimaya, which now dominates department store retailing in the city, but not before 2033.</li>
</ul>


Until quite recently, Nagoya had seven department stores but will soon have just four. 
This follows Meitetsu’s decision to close its flagship store to clear the way for a major redevelopment of the station area.
The new development will include retail and so bring some competition to Takashimaya, which now dominates department store retailing in the city, but not before 2033.


Meitetsu Transport (9077JP) Confirms Closure of Last Department Store

<ul>
<li>J Front has been pushing ahead with new ways to get younger (and richer) customers into its stores. </li>
<li>It recently opened a high end art floor at Matsuzakaya Nagoya, continues to expand its fashion subscription business, and will shortly open the first joint store with Komehyo.</li>
<li>It is also investing heavily in real estate in key cities as a third major platform to its business.</li>
</ul>


J Front has been pushing ahead with new ways to get younger (and richer) customers into its stores. 
It recently opened a high end art floor at Matsuzakaya Nagoya, continues to expand its fashion subscription business, and will shortly open the first joint store with Komehyo.
It is also investing heavily in real estate in key cities as a third major platform to its business.


J Front Diversifies to Generate More Income

<ul>
<li>That department stores in city centres did well in 2024 won’t be a surprise to anyone given the support from inbound tourists buying luxury goods on a cheap Yen.</li>
<li>But that the sector overall managed to exceed 2019 sales is an achievement given the ongoing contraction in the regions.</li>
<li>The gap is widening further between the best and the rest but the top firms look set to continue increasing profits as they work to add value to existing buildings.</li>
</ul>


That department stores in city centres did well in 2024 won’t be a surprise to anyone given the support from inbound tourists buying luxury goods on a cheap Yen.
But that the sector overall managed to exceed 2019 sales is an achievement given the ongoing contraction in the regions.
The gap is widening further between the best and the rest but the top firms look set to continue increasing profits as they work to add value to existing buildings.


Department Store Sales Higher than Pre-Covid

<ul>
<li>What is the current consumer environment for brands and retailers? Households are increasingly worried about inflation and have already begun to cut back on spending significantly. </li>
<li>With further international turmoil, inflation caused by a weak Yen and high import costs, depressed sentiment may not be going away soon.</li>
<li>One counter to this is bonuses which rose in December. Many companies say they need to pay more to keep staff from taking jobs elsewhere as the labour shortage worsens.</li>
</ul>


What is the current consumer environment for brands and retailers? Households are increasingly worried about inflation and have already begun to cut back on spending significantly. 
With further international turmoil, inflation caused by a weak Yen and high import costs, depressed sentiment may not be going away soon.
One counter to this is bonuses which rose in December. Many companies say they need to pay more to keep staff from taking jobs elsewhere as the labour shortage worsens.


Japanese Consumers Update: Price Pressure Reducing Spending but Bonuses Up

Japan

Takashimaya Company, Limited., founded in Kyoto in 1831, operates department stores.  The Company's main stores are located in Tokyo, Osaka, and Kyoto. Takashimaya also operates department stores in Paris, France, Singapore, China, Australia, and New York, USA.  The Company retails clothing, foods, art objects, sundry goods, and household utensils.  The Company also operates restaurants.

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Takashimaya (8233 JP)

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Quantum computing names up after positive news from QUBT. Short squeeze for JP retailers after social media post about activist involvement. Recent...

Andrew Jackson

Meitetsu Transport (9077JP) Confirms Closure of Last Department Store

Nagoya's department store landscape is changing as Meitetsu closes flagship store for redevelopment, bringing competition to Takashimaya by 2033.

Michael Causton

J Front Diversifies to Generate More Income

J Front is diversifying to raise OPM, targeting younger, wealthier customers by opening high-end art floors, expanding fashion subscriptions, and...

Michael Causton

Department Store Sales Higher than Pre-Covid

City center department stores thrived in 2024 thanks to tourist spending, while the sector as a whole surpassed 2019 sales despite regional...

Michael Causton

Japanese Consumers Update: Price Pressure Reducing Spending but Bonuses Up

Households are cutting back on spending due to inflation worries, while companies are increasing bonuses to retain staff amidst a labor shortage –...

Michael Causton

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Morning Connection: Markets Uncertain to Start the Week After Moody's US Downgrade

Quantum computing names up after positive news from QUBT. Short squeeze for JP retailers after social media post about activist involvement. Recent...

Andrew Jackson

Meitetsu Transport (9077JP) Confirms Closure of Last Department Store

​Nagoya's department store landscape is changing as Meitetsu closes flagship store for redevelopment, bringing competition to Takashimaya by 2033.

Michael Causton

J Front Diversifies to Generate More Income

​J Front is diversifying to raise OPM, targeting younger, wealthier customers by opening high-end art floors, expanding fashion subscriptions, and...

Michael Causton

Department Store Sales Higher than Pre-Covid

​City center department stores thrived in 2024 thanks to tourist spending, while the sector as a whole surpassed 2019 sales despite regional...

Michael Causton

Japanese Consumers Update: Price Pressure Reducing Spending but Bonuses Up

​Households are cutting back on spending due to inflation worries, while companies are increasing bonuses to retain staff amidst a labor shortage –...

Michael Causton

Nagoya's department store landscape is changing as Meitetsu closes flagship store for redevelopment, bringing competition to Takashimaya by 2033.

J Front is diversifying to raise OPM, targeting younger, wealthier customers by opening high-end art floors, expanding fashion subscriptions, and...

City center department stores thrived in 2024 thanks to tourist spending, while the sector as a whole surpassed 2019 sales despite regional...

Households are cutting back on spending due to inflation worries, while companies are increasing bonuses to retain staff amidst a labor shortage –...