Independent Investment Research, The IDEA!

The IDEA!

Independent Investment Research

The Idea-Driven Equities Analyses company (the IDEA!) is an employee-owned boutique providing independent investment research and financial consultancy services with a clear focus on the Benelux countries. The company was founded in the summer of 2007 by Henk Slotboom and Maarten Verbeek, both with more than 35 years of professional experience in the financial sector. The IDEA! differentiates itself by focusing on adding value through self-initiated in-depth, idea-driven investment research, as well as by bespoke research assignments for institutional investors, hedge funds and private equity. In addition, we provide market intelligence, strategic research and – together with our business partners – consultancy services to businesses. In case you are interested in receiving more information, a sample of our products or an introductory meeting, please send a message to info@theidea.nl.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Heineken | no real triggers for the near term; October may bring more clarity</li>
<li>The key-question that remains after yesterday’s earnings call is whether Heineken’s decision to hold on to its earlier FY25 guidance is an attempt to under promise and overdeliver or rather a signal that the current market environment is still rather challenging.</li>
<li>In case of the latter, management would have an additional buffer to avoid new disappointments.</li>
</ul>


Heineken | no real triggers for the near term; October may bring more clarity
The key-question that remains after yesterday’s earnings call is whether Heineken’s decision to hold on to its earlier FY25 guidance is an attempt to under promise and overdeliver or rather a signal that the current market environment is still rather challenging.
In case of the latter, management would have an additional buffer to avoid new disappointments.


What's New(S) In Amsterdam - 29 July (Heineken | Philips | JET | E-Com | Housing Market)

External reports (aggregated public sources), Value Investors Club

Value Investors Club (VIC)

External reports (aggregated public sources)

Value Investors Club

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>TKWY is a market leader in food delivery in Germany and the Netherlands, as well as other major markets.</li><li>Despite a 90% decline in stock value since before covid, TKWY has an EV of 2.7B EUR.</li><li>M&amp;A multiples in the industry typically range above 0.5x GTV, suggesting potential undervaluation of TKWY's assets and market position.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

TKWY is a market leader in food delivery in Germany and the Netherlands, as well as other major markets.Despite a 90% decline in stock value since before covid, TKWY has an EV of 2.7B EUR.M&amp;A multiples in the industry typically range above 0.5x GTV, suggesting potential undervaluation of TKWY's assets and market position.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Just Eat Takeaway.Com N.V. (JTKWY) - Thursday, Jul 25, 2024

Independent Research, Food Delivery Space, Newmoon Capital

Newmoon Capital

Independent Research, Food Delivery Space

We look for owner-operators in what we believe are either highly defensible assets or soon to be highly defensible assets, trading at a fraction of their future potential.

Private Capital Markets

£8bn at the mid-point… that’s pretty high. That prices the company on a much higher valuation than $DASH on a comparable accounting perspective. Also, existing investors which include Will Shu will be selling OVER £600mn shares.

£8bn at the mid-point… that’s pretty high. That prices the company on a much higher valuation than $DASH on a comparable accounting perspective. Also, existing investors which include Will Shu will be selling OVER £600mn shares.

Judging from the twitter DMs, several of my points from my previous post have gone over the head of some investors, particularly the one around Signature (white label delivery). Deliveroo is at risk of getting disrupted because a large proportion of its orders/sales are from a small selection of chain restaurants — 10 chains represent 35% of ALL UK orders. Some of such chains include Nando’s, Wagamama, and McDonalds. The top 100 chains could easily be more than 50% of the UK business, if not much more. This is the case (if not moreso) for Uber Eats, and less the case for $TKWY.

Judging from the twitter DMs, several of my points from my previous post have gone over the head of some investors, particularly the one around Signature (white label delivery). Deliveroo is at risk of getting disrupted because a large proportion of its orders/sales are from a small selection of chain restaurants — 10 chains represent 35% of ALL UK orders. Some of such chains include Nando’s, Wagamama, and McDonalds. The top 100 chains could easily be more than 50% of the UK business, if not much more. This is the case (if not moreso) for Uber Eats, and less the case for $TKWY.

Deliveroo Part 6 - White Label Killed the Delivery Star

Netherlands

Just Eat Takeaway.com N.V. is a Dutch multinational online food ordering and delivery company that operates as a global marketplace. It connects consumers with restaurant, grocery, and retail partners through its platforms, offering a wide variety of food choices and convenience products. The company is headquartered in Amsterdam, Netherlands, and was founded in 2000.

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Just Eat Takeaway (TKWY NA)

What's New(S) In Amsterdam - 29 July (Heineken | Philips | JET | E-Com | Housing Market)

The key-question that remains after yesterday’s earnings call is whether Heineken’s decision to hold on to its earlier FY25 guidance is an attempt...

The IDEA!

Just Eat Takeaway.Com N.V. (JTKWY) - Thursday, Jul 25, 2024

TKWY is a market leader in food delivery in Germany and the Netherlands, as well as other major markets. Despite a 90% decline in stock value since...

Value Investors Club (VIC)

Deliveroo part 7 - Valuation

£8bn at the mid-point… that’s pretty high. That prices the company on a much higher valuation than $DASH on a comparable accounting perspective

Newmoon Capital

Deliveroo Part 6 - White Label Killed the Delivery Star

Deliveroo is at risk of getting disrupted because a large proportion of its orders/sales are from a small selection of chain restaurants — 10...

Newmoon Capital

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