Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Nearing the end of the review period, we see 5 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 2 new listings added to LargeCap and 7 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap.</li>
<li>We see 7 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap, 3 new listings added to MidCap, and 12 stocks moving from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>Stock migrating upward have, on average, outperformed stocks that are downward migrations. Stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap have performed the best.</li>
</ul>


Nearing the end of the review period, we see 5 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 2 new listings added to LargeCap and 7 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap.
We see 7 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap, 3 new listings added to MidCap, and 12 stocks moving from MidCap to SmallCap.
Stock migrating upward have, on average, outperformed stocks that are downward migrations. Stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap have performed the best.


India: AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>Tanla Platforms: Tanla reported a decent quarter with a slight miss on revenue (INR 8.8bn vs. estimate of INR 9.1bn) but better-than-expected margin performance. The gross margin of enterprise business improved +244bps QoQ to 24.6%, powered by a better mix. While enterprise growth was led by the BFSI, wholesale and government verticals, higher messaging volumes from enterprises were a result of festive season and marketing campaigns. The next phase of growth in the platform business will be powered by Wisely, whose commercial launch is expected in March 2022.</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Tanla Platforms: Tanla reported a decent quarter with a slight miss on revenue (INR 8.8bn vs. estimate of INR 9.1bn) but better-than-expected margin performance. The gross margin of enterprise business improved +244bps QoQ to 24.6%, powered by a better mix. While enterprise growth was led by the BFSI, wholesale and government verticals, higher messaging volumes from enterprises were a result of festive season and marketing campaigns. The next phase of growth in the platform business will be powered by Wisely, whose commercial launch is expected in March 2022.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Axis Bank, SBI Cards and Payment Services, Tanla Platforms, The Ramco Cements

<p>Tanla is expected to grow strongly, based on: (1) continued growth in enterprise messaging volumes; (2) increasing Trubloq platform volumes (higher margins); (3) scaling up of Wisely platform (developed by Tanla in partnership with Microsoft); and (4) up-selling and client addition. Over FY21-24E, we project revenue/EBITDA/EPS CAGRs of +26/30/27%. We initiate coverage on Tanla with a TP of INR 1,600, valuing it at 30x FY24E EPS, supported by its top quartile growth, higher RoE of 44%, excellent cash generation, and net cash of INR 8.5bn (~5% of market cap).</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Tanla is expected to grow strongly, based on: (1) continued growth in enterprise messaging volumes; (2) increasing Trubloq platform volumes (higher margins); (3) scaling up of Wisely platform (developed by Tanla in partnership with Microsoft); and (4) up-selling and client addition. Over FY21-24E, we project revenue/EBITDA/EPS CAGRs of +26/30/27%. We initiate coverage on Tanla with a TP of INR 1,600, valuing it at 30x FY24E EPS, supported by its top quartile growth, higher RoE of 44%, excellent cash generation, and net cash of INR 8.5bn (~5% of market cap).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tanla Platforms (Initiating Coverage): Version 2.0. BUY

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fsn-e-commerce-ventures-nykaa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33796:1" rel="noopener">FSN E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa) (1003622D IN)</a> provides e-retailing of beauty and fashion products through two verticals Nykaa (beauty and personal care) and Nykaa Fashion (apparel and accessories). Nykaa is the largest speciality beauty and personal care platform in India as measured by the value of products sold in the FY21 and in 5MFY22 (five months ending August), according to RedSeer.   </p></div><div>
<p>Nykaa will launch its IPO on 28 October. The IPO comprises a primary raise of Rs6,300 million ($84 million) with the remainder 42.0 million secondary shares. At the indicative price range of Rs1,085-1,125 per share, the gross proceeds are Rs51.8-53.2 billion ($691-714 million). An anchor placement of up to Rs23.4 billion ($312 million) will open on 27 October, and the IPO will close on 1 November. </p>
<p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/nykaa-ipo-initiation-beauty-parade" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:58791" rel="noopener">Nykaa IPO Initiation: Beauty Parade</a>, we stated that Nykaa has a strong positioning in India’s e-commerce beauty products industry, underpinned by the strong brand recognition of the ‘Nykaa’ brand. The financial performance is solid with strong growth, rising margins and cash generation. These characteristics should enable Nykaa to hold its own against intensifying competition. We concluded that Nykaa has attractive fundamentals.</p>
</div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/nykaa-ipo-on-trend" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:59407" rel="noopener">Nykaa IPO: On Trend</a>, we stated that the recent results from the updated prospectus reinforce our view that Nykaa has the ability to deliver strong profitable growth. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is attractive.</p></div></div>

FSN E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa) (1003622D IN) provides e-retailing of beauty and fashion products through two verticals Nykaa (beauty and personal care) and Nykaa Fashion (apparel and accessories). Nykaa is the largest speciality beauty and personal care platform in India as measured by the value of products sold in the FY21 and in 5MFY22 (five months ending August), according to RedSeer.   
Nykaa will launch its IPO on 28 October. The IPO comprises a primary raise of Rs6,300 million ($84 million) with the remainder 42.0 million secondary shares. At the indicative price range of Rs1,085-1,125 per share, the gross proceeds are Rs51.8-53.2 billion ($691-714 million). An anchor placement of up to Rs23.4 billion ($312 million) will open on 27 October, and the IPO will close on 1 November. 
In Nykaa IPO Initiation: Beauty Parade, we stated that Nykaa has a strong positioning in India’s e-commerce beauty products industry, underpinned by the strong brand recognition of the ‘Nykaa’ brand. The financial performance is solid with strong growth, rising margins and cash generation. These characteristics should enable Nykaa to hold its own against intensifying competition. We concluded that Nykaa has attractive fundamentals.
In Nykaa IPO: On Trend, we stated that the recent results from the updated prospectus reinforce our view that Nykaa has the ability to deliver strong profitable growth. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is attractive.

India

Tanla Platforms is a multinational communications platform as a service (CPaaS) company that offers cloud communication solutions to enterprises globally. The company provides a suite of platforms and services including messaging solutions, voice services, and AI-powered customer engagement tools, with a focus on data security, privacy, and protection against spam and scams. Tanla Platforms was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Hyderabad, India.

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Tanla Platforms (TANLA IN)

India: AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview

With 9 trading days to go in the review period, we see 5 stocks moving from Mid to Large and 7 stocks moving the other way. 2 new listings will be...

Brian Freitas

HSIE Results Daily: Axis Bank, SBI Cards and Payment Services, Tanla Platforms, The Ramco Cements

Tanla Platforms: Tanla reported a decent quarter with a slight miss on revenue (INR 8.8bn vs. estimate of INR 9.1bn) but better-than-expected...

HDFC Securities

Tanla Platforms (Initiating Coverage): Version 2.0. BUY

Tanla is expected to grow strongly, based on: (1) continued growth in enterprise messaging volumes; (2) increasing Trubloq platform volumes (higher...

HDFC Securities

Tanla Platforms (Initiating Coverage): Version 2.0. BUY

Tanla is expected to grow strongly, based on: (1) continued growth in enterprise messaging volumes; (2) increasing Trubloq platform volumes (higher...

HDFC Securities

Nykaa IPO: Valuation Insights

Nykaa will launch its IPO on 28 October to raise gross proceeds of $691-714 million. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is...

Arun George

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