Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>With 46 restaurants in HK (up 35% YoY) and the end of dining restrictions, we estimate an inflection point in earnings for Q2 FY24 for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taste-gourmet-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27339:1" rel="noopener">Taste Gourmet (8371 HK)</a> </li>
<li>We estimate revenues/earnings up 45%/40% YoY for Q2 2024 ( to be reported in November) and that the company declares a semi-annual dividend of around 5.5-6 cents (8% annualized). </li>
<li>With a solid base for H2 2024, the stock trades at 8.5x/5.9x PE FY23/24e and a 10% FY24e dividend yield with 23% of the market cap in cash.</li>
</ul>


With 46 restaurants in HK (up 35% YoY) and the end of dining restrictions, we estimate an inflection point in earnings for Q2 FY24 for Taste Gourmet (8371 HK) 
We estimate revenues/earnings up 45%/40% YoY for Q2 2024 ( to be reported in November) and that the company declares a semi-annual dividend of around 5.5-6 cents (8% annualized). 
With a solid base for H2 2024, the stock trades at 8.5x/5.9x PE FY23/24e and a 10% FY24e dividend yield with 23% of the market cap in cash.


Taste Gourmet: Reaching an Inflection Point on Earnings Solid H1 FY24 Expected

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taste-gourmet-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27339:1" rel="noopener">Taste Gourmet (8371 HK)</a> reported its Q1 FY24 with revenues up 47% YoY and core profits up 349% YoY.  We believe that the company will report stronger revenues in Q2.</li>
<li>The restaurant count increased from 39 to 42 by the end of Q1 FY24 for HK. As of the latest date, the company has 46 restaurants in HK. </li>
<li>The company also had 126.5 mn HKD of net cash at the end of Q1 FY24 (vs 118 mn HKD in FY23), almost 20% of the current market capitalization. </li>
</ul>



Taste Gourmet (8371 HK) reported its Q1 FY24 with revenues up 47% YoY and core profits up 349% YoY.  We believe that the company will report stronger revenues in Q2.
The restaurant count increased from 39 to 42 by the end of Q1 FY24 for HK. As of the latest date, the company has 46 restaurants in HK. 
The company also had 126.5 mn HKD of net cash at the end of Q1 FY24 (vs 118 mn HKD in FY23), almost 20% of the current market capitalization. 


Taste Gourmet : Strong Q1 FY24 In The Bag, H1 FY24 and Future Looking Solid

Value Investing in Asia, Oriental Value

Oriental Value

Value Investing in Asia

<ul><li>With that out of the way, let’s dive into Taste Gourmet, a catering group listed in the secondary market (or GEM board) of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.</li><li>Catering is usually a business with little moat, characterised by low barriers to entry. </li><li>While some brands are widely recognizable, humans generally want to devour something different each day, therefore it is an everyday struggle for restaurants to stand out among competition.</li></ul>

With that out of the way, let’s dive into Taste Gourmet, a catering group listed in the secondary market (or GEM board) of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.Catering is usually a business with little moat, characterised by low barriers to entry. While some brands are widely recognizable, humans generally want to devour something different each day, therefore it is an everyday struggle for restaurants to stand out among competition.

<ul>
<li>We estimate <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taste-gourmet-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27339:1" rel="noopener">Taste Gourmet (8371 HK)</a> to deliver 39% YoY revenue growth and about 13% YoY profit growth (adj 350% YoY) for Q1 FY24e, to be declared on August 10th.</li>
<li>The company is expected to go ex-dividend on the 4th of August and pay out a 5.2-HK cent final dividend by the 24th of August for FY23.  </li>
<li>Trading at 6x FY24e PE /20% of the market capitalization in cash and a 9-10% dividend yield ( based on a 50-60% payout ratio) represents a great investment opportunity.</li>
</ul>


We estimate Taste Gourmet (8371 HK) to deliver 39% YoY revenue growth and about 13% YoY profit growth (adj 350% YoY) for Q1 FY24e, to be declared on August 10th.
The company is expected to go ex-dividend on the 4th of August and pay out a 5.2-HK cent final dividend by the 24th of August for FY23.  
Trading at 6x FY24e PE /20% of the market capitalization in cash and a 9-10% dividend yield ( based on a 50-60% payout ratio) represents a great investment opportunity.


Taste Gourmet: Q1 FY24 Preview, Another Strong Quarter in the Making

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taste-gourmet-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27339:1" rel="noopener">Taste Gourmet (8371 HK)</a> reported earnings of 68 mn HKD for FY23 (including impairments of 3.2 mn HKD). Adjusting for impairments, earnings were in line with our estimates.</li>
<li>The company signed ten new leases in HK, which are expected to commence over the next 5-6 months taking the total restaurant count in HK to 49. </li>
<li>Trading at 5.6x PE FY24e with a dividend yield of 10.7% based on a 60 payout ratio, we see a further inflection in earnings in FY24 with new restaurant openings.</li>
</ul>



Taste Gourmet (8371 HK) reported earnings of 68 mn HKD for FY23 (including impairments of 3.2 mn HKD). Adjusting for impairments, earnings were in line with our estimates.
The company signed ten new leases in HK, which are expected to commence over the next 5-6 months taking the total restaurant count in HK to 49. 
Trading at 5.6x PE FY24e with a dividend yield of 10.7% based on a 60 payout ratio, we see a further inflection in earnings in FY24 with new restaurant openings.


Taste Gourmet: Expansion in Full Swing, Set Up For A Great 2024

Hong Kong

Taste Gourmet Group Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, manages a chain of restaurants. Taste Gourmet Group serves clients worldwide.

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Taste Gourmet (8371 HK)

Taste Gourmet: Reaching an Inflection Point on Earnings Solid H1 FY24 Expected

Taste Gourmet trades at 8.5x/5.9x PE FY23/24e and a 10% FY24e dividend yield with 23% of the market cap in cash. We preview its H1 FY24 earnings...

Sameer Taneja

Taste Gourmet : Strong Q1 FY24 In The Bag, H1 FY24 and Future Looking Solid

Taste Gourmet trades at a cheap valuation of 6.7x FY24 with a 9% yield and 20% of the market capitalization in cash. The company disclosed strong...

Sameer Taneja