External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Tata Elxsi: Tata Elxsi (TELX IN) posted in-line revenue and slightly better margin performance in Q1.</li><li>L&amp;T Technology Services: L&amp;T Technology Services (LTTS IN) posted revenue ahead of estimates and an in-line operating performance, while maintaining its FY23E revenue guidance (14.5-16.5% CC) and margin (18%+ EBITM).</li><li>Angel One: ANGELONE printed a sequentially flat top-line on a strong base (Q4: 15),  led by a healthy NII (+11% QoQ), offset by lower ancillary transactional revenues.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Tata Elxsi: Tata Elxsi (TELX IN) posted in-line revenue and slightly better margin performance in Q1.L&amp;T Technology Services: L&amp;T Technology Services (LTTS IN) posted revenue ahead of estimates and an in-line operating performance, while maintaining its FY23E revenue guidance (14.5-16.5% CC) and margin (18%+ EBITM).Angel One: ANGELONE printed a sequentially flat top-line on a strong base (Q4: 15),  led by a healthy NII (+11% QoQ), offset by lower ancillary transactional revenues.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Tata Elxsi, L&T Technology Services, Angel One

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Top-down assessment: Despite the correlation to the macro, the demand for the sector is structural (double-digit CAGR over five years is high probability).</li><li>Enterprise trends–growth vectors: Enterprise tech spends are strong and there’s limited impact on overall growth due to any vertical-specific slowdown.</li><li>Cloud partnerships–the second order impact: Tech value migration towards cloud providers is underway and will drive the growth curve of SIs.</li></ul><ul style="list-style-type: none;"><li><div><div><div><div><ul style="list-style-type: none;"><li> </li></ul></div></div></div></div></li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Top-down assessment: Despite the correlation to the macro, the demand for the sector is structural (double-digit CAGR over five years is high probability).Enterprise trends–growth vectors: Enterprise tech spends are strong and there’s limited impact on overall growth due to any vertical-specific slowdown.Cloud partnerships–the second order impact: Tech value migration towards cloud providers is underway and will drive the growth curve of SIs. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul>
<li>IT index is up &gt;40% (mid-tier &gt;100%) over the past year, supported by (1) earnings upgrade of ~5% for tier-1 IT and ~20% for mid-tier IT and (2) IT index rerating from 23x to 28x</li>
<li>The absolute return potential for the sector is likely to be moderate (in line with earnings growth), basis: (1) growth reverting to medium-term baseline, (2) lower growth dispersion in FY23E as compared to FY22E, and (3) headwinds to multiple expansion based on increase in cost of capital &amp; geopolitical risk premium, inflationary factors, and the lead-lag cycle of cost and pricing</li>
<li>The upside risk is on the longevity of high growth rate and downside risk is the second order impact from a prolonged inflationary environment and geopolitical dislocation.</li>
</ul>
<p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>


IT index is up &gt;40% (mid-tier &gt;100%) over the past year, supported by (1) earnings upgrade of ~5% for tier-1 IT and ~20% for mid-tier IT and (2) IT index rerating from 23x to 28x
The absolute return potential for the sector is likely to be moderate (in line with earnings growth), basis: (1) growth reverting to medium-term baseline, (2) lower growth dispersion in FY23E as compared to FY22E, and (3) headwinds to multiple expansion based on increase in cost of capital &amp; geopolitical risk premium, inflationary factors, and the lead-lag cycle of cost and pricing
The upside risk is on the longevity of high growth rate and downside risk is the second order impact from a prolonged inflationary environment and geopolitical dislocation.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Information Technology: Moderating, yet Strong

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<p style="text-align: justify;">With the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) breaking below our $70 “line in the sand” support level we highlighted last week, we believe additional downside is likely and that the path of least resistance is lower for global equities. Considering the damage done to major indexes around the world, any potential bottom is likely to take months to develop and until we see evidence of this repair process we want to be positioned primarily in Sectors with defensive characteristics. Of course, there will be major <em>countertrend </em>rallies along the way, but for now the trend is lower and we would treat rallies as selling opportunities. We outline important technical levels across all markets and highlight actionable opportunities within EM, and the Services and Staples Sectors.</p>

With the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) breaking below our $70 “line in the sand” support level we highlighted last week, we believe additional downside is likely and that the path of least resistance is lower for global equities. Considering the damage done to major indexes around the world, any potential bottom is likely to take months to develop and until we see evidence of this repair process we want to be positioned primarily in Sectors with defensive characteristics. Of course, there will be major countertrend rallies along the way, but for now the trend is lower and we would treat rallies as selling opportunities. We outline important technical levels across all markets and highlight actionable opportunities within EM, and the Services and Staples Sectors.

ACWI Below Our Line In The Sand: Further Weakness Expected

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India, Yellowstone Equity

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India

Creating Wealth through Alpha and Compounding

Yellowstone Equity

Providing unbiased and independent research on Indian equities to global institutions and individual investors


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Regulatory Disclosure: 
Note that Ankit Agrawal (Proprietor of Yellowstone Equity) is a SEBI registered Research Analyst (Registration No.: INH000007216). Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investment in securities market are subject to market risks. Read all the related documents carefully before investing.

Research Analyst Contact Details:
Address: A-412, Shilp Aaron, Sindhu Bhavan Road, Ahmedabad, Gujarat - 380059
Email: services@yellowstoneequity.com
Mobile: +91-7575817289

Compliance/Grievance Officer:
Name: Ankit Agrawal
Email: services@yellowstoneequity.com
Mobile: +91-7575817289
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Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kpit-technologies-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35189:1" rel="noopener">KPIT Technologies (KPIT)</a>'s competitors like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-elxsi-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13949:1" rel="noopener">Tata Elxsi</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-t-technology-services-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23601:1" rel="noopener">L&amp;T Technology (LTTS)</a> have reported improving demand in the automotive segment which suggests that KPIT's Q4FY26 earnings could come out strong.</li>
<li>Both Tata Elxsi and LTTS reported positive growth in their automotive vertical after a streak of negative growth for the past few quarters.</li>
<li>Even the impact of AI is going to be limited in the automotive segment, as solutions in automotive vertical are mission-critical and highly regulated; however, KPIT's stock has declined significantly.</li>
</ul>



KPIT Technologies (KPIT)'s competitors like Tata Elxsi and L&amp;T Technology (LTTS) have reported improving demand in the automotive segment which suggests that KPIT's Q4FY26 earnings could come out strong.
Both Tata Elxsi and LTTS reported positive growth in their automotive vertical after a streak of negative growth for the past few quarters.
Even the impact of AI is going to be limited in the automotive segment, as solutions in automotive vertical are mission-critical and highly regulated; however, KPIT's stock has declined significantly.


KPIT: Q4FY26 Earnings Preview - Growth Is Reviving | AI Impact Overdone in the Stock Price

India

Tata Elxsi is a global design-led technology services company, specializing in product engineering, software development, and systems integration. It provides solutions across industries including Automotive, Media & Communications, and Healthcare & Life Sciences, leveraging digital technologies like AI, IoT, Cloud, and VR. The company was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Bengaluru, India.

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Tata Elxsi (TELX IN)

HSIE Results Daily: Tata Elxsi, L&T Technology Services, Angel One

Tata Elxsi (TELX IN) posted in-line revenue and slightly better margin performance in Q1; L&T Technology Services (LTTS IN) posted revenue ahead of...

HDFC Securities

IT Sector - Decoding Signal from Noise

In this note, we decode the signal from noise and probe some key questions: (1) How structural is the demand and how correlated is it to the macros...

HDFC Securities

Information Technology: Moderating, yet Strong

IT index is up >40% (mid-tier >100%) over the past year, supported by (1) earnings upgrade of ~5% for tier-1 IT and ~20% for mid-tier IT and...

HDFC Securities

ACWI Below Our Line In The Sand: Further Weakness Expected

With the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) breaking below our $70 “line in the sand” support level we highlighted last week, we believe additional downside is...

Vermilion Research

KPIT: Q4FY26 Earnings Preview - Growth Is Reviving | AI Impact Overdone in the Stock Price

KPIT's growth has been muted over the last year due to macroeconomic concerns but it is now reversing. Also, led by AI impact, the stock has seen...

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

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