Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Sree Capital

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Fundamental Research on Listed Indian Companies

Sree Capital

Sree Capital is a platform to share fundamental research on listed Indian companies. We do this research for our own investment

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The YTD FY2025 sales volume of commercial vehicle(CV) companies has been soft due to elections,sluggish government capital expenditure and less replacement demand. However,Jan2025 saw a modest uptick in wholesale volume.</li>
<li>Domestic volumes for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eicher-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18316:1" rel="noopener">Eicher Motors (EIM IN)</a>,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mahindra-mahindra-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16441:1" rel="noopener">Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN)</a>,and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ashok-leyland-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20104:1" rel="noopener">Ashok Leyland (AL IN)</a> grew by 21%, 2%,and 3% YoY, respectively,while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:216:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN)</a> declined by 2%.</li>
<li>According to industry reports and management interviews, the commercial vehicle industry is expected to remain largely flat in FY2025 and hopes for a positive growth in FY2026.</li>
</ul>


The YTD FY2025 sales volume of commercial vehicle(CV) companies has been soft due to elections,sluggish government capital expenditure and less replacement demand. However,Jan2025 saw a modest uptick in wholesale volume.
Domestic volumes for Eicher Motors (EIM IN),Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN),and Ashok Leyland (AL IN) grew by 21%, 2%,and 3% YoY, respectively,while Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN) declined by 2%.
According to industry reports and management interviews, the commercial vehicle industry is expected to remain largely flat in FY2025 and hopes for a positive growth in FY2026.


Monthly Sales Overview of Listed Indian Commercial Vehicle Companies (January 2025)

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Domestic PV industry sales grew by 2-4% YoY (20-24% MoM), largely due to strong domestic volumes from Maruti, Toyota, M&amp;M, Kia and MG.</li><li>The domestic CV industry sales grew by 3%/5% YoY/MoM. The 3W domestic wholesales 5%/10% YoY/QoQ respectively.</li><li>The domestic tractor industry (proxy) witnessed 6% YoY volume growth, which was positively skewed mainly due to 15% YoY growth in M&amp;M. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Domestic PV industry sales grew by 2-4% YoY (20-24% MoM), largely due to strong domestic volumes from Maruti, Toyota, M&amp;M, Kia and MG.The domestic CV industry sales grew by 3%/5% YoY/MoM. The 3W domestic wholesales 5%/10% YoY/QoQ respectively.The domestic tractor industry (proxy) witnessed 6% YoY volume growth, which was positively skewed mainly due to 15% YoY growth in M&amp;M. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN)</a> raised around US$734m in its India IPO in August 2024. The lockup for its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>Ola Electric Mobility is a vertically integrated pure EV player in India with manufacturing capabilities for EVs and EV components, including cells</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN) raised around US$734m in its India IPO in August 2024. The lockup for its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.
Ola Electric Mobility is a vertically integrated pure EV player in India with manufacturing capabilities for EVs and EV components, including cells
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Ola Electric IPO Lockup - US$1.6bn+ Lockup Release

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, we had a look at the valuations for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dr-agarwal-s-eye-hospital" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23713:1" rel="noopener">Dr. Agarwal’s Eye Hospital</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seoul-guarantee-insurance-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40123:1" rel="noopener">Seoul Guarantee Insurance (031210 KS)</a>. </li>
<li>On the placements front, given the holiday shortened week, there were no placements this week.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, we had a look at the valuations for Dr. Agarwal’s Eye Hospital and Seoul Guarantee Insurance (031210 KS). 
On the placements front, given the holiday shortened week, there were no placements this week.


ECM Weekly (3rd Feb 2025) - Seoul Guarantee, Dr Agarwal's, Ather Energy, Hexaware, Visen Pharma

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ather-energy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43903:1" rel="noopener">Ather Energy</a> is looking to raise about US$536m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>Ather is a pure play electric vehicle company in India designing and developing E2Ws, battery packs, charging infrastructure, associated software and accessories, also manufacturing battery packs and assembling E2Ws in-house.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Ather Energy is looking to raise about US$536m in its upcoming India IPO.
Ather is a pure play electric vehicle company in India designing and developing E2Ws, battery packs, charging infrastructure, associated software and accessories, also manufacturing battery packs and assembling E2Ws in-house.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Ather Energy Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Outpaced by Rivals

India

Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles Limited provides cars and commercial vehicles. The Company designs, manufactures, and sells fossil fuel and electric cars, as well as heavy, medium, and small commercial vehicles including trucks, tankers, vans, buses, ambulances, and mini-buses. Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles serves customers worldwide.

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Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles (TMPV IN)

Monthly Sales Overview of Listed Indian Commercial Vehicle Companies (January 2025)

Retail Sales Update: Federation of Automobile Dealers Associations(FADA)’s January 2025 update shows a 8.22% YoY and 38.04% MoM rise in commercial...

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

Auto Monthly Sales Volume - January 2025

Domestic PV industry sales grew by 2-4% YoY (20-24% MoM), largely due to strong domestic volumes from Maruti, Toyota, M&M, Kia and MG.

Axis Direct

Ola Electric IPO Lockup - US$1.6bn+ Lockup Release

Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN) raised around US$734m in its India IPO in August 2024. The lockup for its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.

Sumeet Singh

ECM Weekly (3rd Feb 2025) - Seoul Guarantee, Dr Agarwal's, Ather Energy, Hexaware, Visen Pharma

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Ather Energy Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Outpaced by Rivals

Ather Energy is looking to raise about US$536m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

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52-week Range

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