India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The Indian automobile industry experienced a significant boost in sales in September 2025, driven by delayed purchases and the positive effects of GST reductions.</li>
<li>The increase in retail sales highlights a strong recovery in the sector, which is expected to continue into October as the full impact of the GST cuts becomes clear.</li>
<li>The sector’s strong performance and high consumer demand suggest a positive outlook for the coming months, with several key OEMs set for sustained growth.</li>
</ul>


The Indian automobile industry experienced a significant boost in sales in September 2025, driven by delayed purchases and the positive effects of GST reductions.
The increase in retail sales highlights a strong recovery in the sector, which is expected to continue into October as the full impact of the GST cuts becomes clear.
The sector’s strong performance and high consumer demand suggest a positive outlook for the coming months, with several key OEMs set for sustained growth.


The Beat Ideas: Indian Auto Industry: GST Cuts Power Record Festive Sales Surge

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

<ul>
<li>The Indian automobile sector is at a critical juncture, with recent GST rate rationalization and the imminent 8th Pay Commission for government employees converging to create a powerful demand stimulus.</li>
<li>These policy-driven catalysts are directly addressing long-standing affordability issues, particularly in the entry-level passenger vehicle and two-wheeler segments, positioning the industry for a multi-year cyclical upswing.</li>
<li>While challenges remain, the clear legislative support and improving macroeconomic environment suggest a significant demand revival, making a fresh look at India's auto OEMs a necessity for investors.</li>
</ul>


The Indian automobile sector is at a critical juncture, with recent GST rate rationalization and the imminent 8th Pay Commission for government employees converging to create a powerful demand stimulus.
These policy-driven catalysts are directly addressing long-standing affordability issues, particularly in the entry-level passenger vehicle and two-wheeler segments, positioning the industry for a multi-year cyclical upswing.
While challenges remain, the clear legislative support and improving macroeconomic environment suggest a significant demand revival, making a fresh look at India's auto OEMs a necessity for investors.


Thematic Report on India’s Auto Boom: Is Policy the New Fuel Igniting a Cyclical Revival?

<ul>
<li>The GST Council has approved rate cuts , lowering from 28-29% to 18% for 2Ws (&lt;350cc), 3Ws, CVs, tractors and small PVs, while larger cars move to 40% from 43-50%. 
</li>
<li>
Price cuts of 2–9% in mass-market vehicles could spur demand just as rural sentiment, interest rates, and fiscal transfers turn supportive, creating a multi-pronged recovery catalyst for OEMs and ancillaries.</li>
<li>The rationalization removes structural distortions, improves affordability, and positions the festive season as a turning point for sector volumes and improved margins, though premium bikes and fleet operators face headwinds.</li>
</ul>


The GST Council has approved rate cuts , lowering from 28-29% to 18% for 2Ws (&lt;350cc), 3Ws, CVs, tractors and small PVs, while larger cars move to 40% from 43-50%. 


Price cuts of 2–9% in mass-market vehicles could spur demand just as rural sentiment, interest rates, and fiscal transfers turn supportive, creating a multi-pronged recovery catalyst for OEMs and ancillaries.
The rationalization removes structural distortions, improves affordability, and positions the festive season as a turning point for sector volumes and improved margins, though premium bikes and fleet operators face headwinds.


GST Reform in Indian Auto Sector: Demand Revival Meets Margin Expansion Ahead of Festive Surge.

<ul>
<li>India is set for its biggest GST overhaul since 2017, with a shift to a dual-slab GST system (5% and 18%) to simplify tax structures, reduce consumer prices, boost consumption</li>
<li>The proposed rate cuts are likely to drive increased consumption, benefiting sectors like automobiles, cement, and consumer durables, and provide a multi-engine growth boost for the economy.</li>
<li>With the GST reform potentially lowering inflation, raising private sector investments, and stimulating discretionary spending, we see a positive impact on GDP growth by around 1.6-2% in the medium term.</li>
</ul>


India is set for its biggest GST overhaul since 2017, with a shift to a dual-slab GST system (5% and 18%) to simplify tax structures, reduce consumer prices, boost consumption
The proposed rate cuts are likely to drive increased consumption, benefiting sectors like automobiles, cement, and consumer durables, and provide a multi-engine growth boost for the economy.
With the GST reform potentially lowering inflation, raising private sector investments, and stimulating discretionary spending, we see a positive impact on GDP growth by around 1.6-2% in the medium term.


Thematic Report: Can Proposed GST Rate Cuts Revive Consumption Growth in India?

Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>With CPI inflation at 2.1%YoY in Jun'25, the real policy rate is +3.4% -- higher than in Jan'25 (+2.19%) before the 100bp of repo rate cuts. </li>
<li>Despite a shift to a larger rate cut (accompanied by reductions in CRR), the RBI is still a bit behind the curve. We expect another 100bp of cuts by Feb'26. </li>
<li>Vegetable deflation will persist through H2CY25, so we expect headline CPI inflation to average 2.9% in FY26, obliging more rate cuts, enabling real GDP growth of 8.5%+ in FY26. </li>
</ul>


With CPI inflation at 2.1%YoY in Jun'25, the real policy rate is +3.4% -- higher than in Jan'25 (+2.19%) before the 100bp of repo rate cuts. 
Despite a shift to a larger rate cut (accompanied by reductions in CRR), the RBI is still a bit behind the curve. We expect another 100bp of cuts by Feb'26. 
Vegetable deflation will persist through H2CY25, so we expect headline CPI inflation to average 2.9% in FY26, obliging more rate cuts, enabling real GDP growth of 8.5%+ in FY26. 


India: More Rate Cuts Likely as Inflation Edges to the Bottom of RBI's Target Range

India

Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles Limited is an Indian multinational automobile manufacturer that designs, manufactures, and sells a diverse portfolio of passenger cars and utility vehicles, including electric variants. The company is a key player in India's electric vehicle market and also owns the British car manufacturer Jaguar Land Rover. It is headquartered in Mumbai, India, and was founded in 1945 as Tata Motors Limited, with the passenger vehicles business later carved out as a dedicated subsidiary.

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Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles (TMPV IN)

The Beat Ideas: Indian Auto Industry: GST Cuts Power Record Festive Sales Surge

Indian auto industry sees surge in September 2025 sales due to delayed purchases and GST reductions, with strong recovery expected to continue...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Thematic Report on India’s Auto Boom: Is Policy the New Fuel Igniting a Cyclical Revival?

Recent policy changes in India, including GST rate rationalization and the 8th Pay Commission, are expected to boost demand in the automobile...

Nimish Maheshwari

GST Reform in Indian Auto Sector: Demand Revival Meets Margin Expansion Ahead of Festive Surge.

GST Council approves rate cuts, boosting demand for mass-market vehicles and creating a multi-pronged recovery catalyst for OEMs and ancillaries.

Sudarshan Bhandari

Thematic Report: Can Proposed GST Rate Cuts Revive Consumption Growth in India?

India is revamping its GST system with dual-slab rates to simplify taxes, reduce prices, and boost consumption, potentially driving GDP growth by...

Nimish Maheshwari

India: More Rate Cuts Likely as Inflation Edges to the Bottom of RBI's Target Range

Despite faster easing, RBI is still behind the curve with real policy rate at +3.4%. Vegetable deflation to persist Jul-Dec'25, prompting 100bp...

Prasenjit K. Basu

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52-week Range

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The Beat Ideas: Indian Auto Industry: GST Cuts Power Record Festive Sales Surge

​Indian auto industry sees surge in September 2025 sales due to delayed purchases and GST reductions, with strong recovery expected to continue...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Thematic Report on India’s Auto Boom: Is Policy the New Fuel Igniting a Cyclical Revival?

​Recent policy changes in India, including GST rate rationalization and the 8th Pay Commission, are expected to boost demand in the automobile...

Nimish Maheshwari

GST Reform in Indian Auto Sector: Demand Revival Meets Margin Expansion Ahead of Festive Surge.

​GST Council approves rate cuts, boosting demand for mass-market vehicles and creating a multi-pronged recovery catalyst for OEMs and ancillaries.

Sudarshan Bhandari

Thematic Report: Can Proposed GST Rate Cuts Revive Consumption Growth in India?

​India is revamping its GST system with dual-slab rates to simplify taxes, reduce prices, and boost consumption, potentially driving GDP growth by...

Nimish Maheshwari

India: More Rate Cuts Likely as Inflation Edges to the Bottom of RBI's Target Range

​Despite faster easing, RBI is still behind the curve with real policy rate at +3.4%. Vegetable deflation to persist Jul-Dec'25, prompting 100bp...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Indian auto industry sees surge in September 2025 sales due to delayed purchases and GST reductions, with strong recovery expected to continue...

Recent policy changes in India, including GST rate rationalization and the 8th Pay Commission, are expected to boost demand in the automobile...

GST Council approves rate cuts, boosting demand for mass-market vehicles and creating a multi-pronged recovery catalyst for OEMs and ancillaries.

India is revamping its GST system with dual-slab rates to simplify taxes, reduce prices, and boost consumption, potentially driving GDP growth by...

Despite faster easing, RBI is still behind the curve with real policy rate at +3.4%. Vegetable deflation to persist Jul-Dec'25, prompting 100bp...