Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The government's 300 MT crude steel capacity target by 2030 is now in full swing, anchored by ArcelorMittal's newly-cleared INR1.5 lakh crore greenfield project and aggressive brownfield by other players.</li>
<li>This signals a multi-lakh-crore capex super-cycle, moving from planning to execution. The 14-month fast-track approval for AM/NS in Andhra Pradesh provides a new, de-risked template for mega-projects.</li>
<li>While execution is accelerating, the sector's profitability hinges on two key variables: managing persistent Chinese imports and securing the massive volume of coking coal required to fuel this expansion.</li>
</ul>


The government's 300 MT crude steel capacity target by 2030 is now in full swing, anchored by ArcelorMittal's newly-cleared INR1.5 lakh crore greenfield project and aggressive brownfield by other players.
This signals a multi-lakh-crore capex super-cycle, moving from planning to execution. The 14-month fast-track approval for AM/NS in Andhra Pradesh provides a new, de-risked template for mega-projects.
While execution is accelerating, the sector's profitability hinges on two key variables: managing persistent Chinese imports and securing the massive volume of coking coal required to fuel this expansion.


Thematic Report: Forging a 300 MT Behemoth as India’s Steel Capex Super-Cycle Accelerates

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>In Q2FY26, we foresee an increase in absolute EBITDA across both Steel and Aluminium players.</li><li>For the Steel companies under our coverage (Tata Steel and SAIL), we expect EBITDA to improve QoQ, mainly led by higher sales volume aided by lower/flat coking coal consumption costs, partly offset by lower sales realisation due to a drop in HRC prices in the quarter.</li><li>Average domestic HRC prices in Q2FY26 decreased by 2.4%/4% YoY/QoQ due to the extended monsoon; the prices declined despite Chinese HRC prices moving up 3% QoQ.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In Q2FY26, we foresee an increase in absolute EBITDA across both Steel and Aluminium players.For the Steel companies under our coverage (Tata Steel and SAIL), we expect EBITDA to improve QoQ, mainly led by higher sales volume aided by lower/flat coking coal consumption costs, partly offset by lower sales realisation due to a drop in HRC prices in the quarter.Average domestic HRC prices in Q2FY26 decreased by 2.4%/4% YoY/QoQ due to the extended monsoon; the prices declined despite Chinese HRC prices moving up 3% QoQ.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q2FY26 Earnings Preview - Metals & Mining

Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

<ul>
<li>China’s steel exports have surged to multi-year highs, flooding global markets and forcing a wave of trade-defense actions across Asia.</li>
<li>Weak domestic demand, squeezed margins, and policy shifts have pushed Chinese mills to lean heavily on exports — prompting Beijing to cap output and link cuts to carbon goals.</li>
<li>Clear winners: Integrated Indian producers and Japan/Korea premium mills, which gain pricing power and margin upside as safeguards and curbs tighten supply.</li>
</ul>


China’s steel exports have surged to multi-year highs, flooding global markets and forcing a wave of trade-defense actions across Asia.
Weak domestic demand, squeezed margins, and policy shifts have pushed Chinese mills to lean heavily on exports — prompting Beijing to cap output and link cuts to carbon goals.
Clear winners: Integrated Indian producers and Japan/Korea premium mills, which gain pricing power and margin upside as safeguards and curbs tighten supply.


China’s Steel Curbs + Asian Safeguards: Pricing Tailwinds for Premium Mills

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

National Stock Exchange of India / Equity Capital Markets

National Stock Exchange of India (NSE IN)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/national-stock-exchange" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23751:1" rel="noopener">National Stock Exchange (NSEIN IN)</a> raised about US$2.4bn in its India IPO.</li>
<li>NSE operates electronic platforms for trading equities, derivatives, currencies, and debt securities, also earning revenue from clearing and settlement services, market data, index licensing, listing fees, connectivity, and technology services.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



National Stock Exchange (NSEIN IN) raised about US$2.4bn in its India IPO.
NSE operates electronic platforms for trading equities, derivatives, currencies, and debt securities, also earning revenue from clearing and settlement services, market data, index licensing, listing fees, connectivity, and technology services.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.


Aequtias: NSE IPO Trading - Weakish Demand Probably Flattish Debut

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>We continue to remain positive on the Indian steel sector, as it has grown faster than most major economies</li><li>While Chinese steel prices and spreads have failed to recover, the recently-imposed safeguard duties have driven both domestic steel prices and spreads</li><li>Coking coal prices also remain soft, adding to gross margin improvement.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We continue to remain positive on the Indian steel sector, as it has grown faster than most major economiesWhile Chinese steel prices and spreads have failed to recover, the recently-imposed safeguard duties have driven both domestic steel prices and spreadsCoking coal prices also remain soft, adding to gross margin improvement.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Metals (Q1FY26 Results Preview): Steel Prices and Spreads Continue to Trend Up

India

Tata Steel Limited is an Indian multinational steel company that manufactures and distributes a wide range of steel products, including hot-rolled, cold-rolled, and galvanized steel, tubes, and wire rods. The company serves diverse sectors such as automotive, construction, engineering, and consumer goods. Tata Steel is headquartered in Mumbai, India, and was founded on August 26, 1907.

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Tata Steel (TATA IN)

Thematic Report: Forging a 300 MT Behemoth as India’s Steel Capex Super-Cycle Accelerates

Government's ambitious steel capacity target by 2030 gains momentum with ArcelorMittal's massive greenfield project and industry-wide capex super...

Nimish Maheshwari

Q2FY26 Earnings Preview - Metals & Mining

We expect Tata Steel and SAIL’s EBITDA to increase on a QoQ basis by 14% and 20%, respectively. Both the Indian and European operations of Tata...

Axis Direct

China’s Steel Curbs + Asian Safeguards: Pricing Tailwinds for Premium Mills

China's steel exports surge, prompting trade-defense actions; Indian and Japanese/Korean mills benefit from tightening supply.

Rahul Jain

Aequtias: NSE IPO Trading - Weakish Demand Probably Flattish Debut

National Stock Exchange (NSEIN IN) raised about US$2.4bn in its India IPO. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Metals (Q1FY26 Results Preview): Steel Prices and Spreads Continue to Trend Up

While Chinese steel prices and spreads have failed to recover, the recently-imposed safeguard duties have driven both domestic steel prices and...

HDFC Securities

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Thematic Report: Forging a 300 MT Behemoth as India’s Steel Capex Super-Cycle Accelerates

​Government's ambitious steel capacity target by 2030 gains momentum with ArcelorMittal's massive greenfield project and industry-wide capex super...

Nimish Maheshwari

Q2FY26 Earnings Preview - Metals & Mining

We expect Tata Steel and SAIL’s EBITDA to increase on a QoQ basis by 14% and 20%, respectively. Both the Indian and European operations of Tata...

Axis Direct

China’s Steel Curbs + Asian Safeguards: Pricing Tailwinds for Premium Mills

​China's steel exports surge, prompting trade-defense actions; Indian and Japanese/Korean mills benefit from tightening supply.

Rahul Jain

Aequtias: NSE IPO Trading - Weakish Demand Probably Flattish Debut

National Stock Exchange (NSEIN IN) raised about US$2.4bn in its India IPO. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Metals (Q1FY26 Results Preview): Steel Prices and Spreads Continue to Trend Up

While Chinese steel prices and spreads have failed to recover, the recently-imposed safeguard duties have driven both domestic steel prices and...

HDFC Securities

Government's ambitious steel capacity target by 2030 gains momentum with ArcelorMittal's massive greenfield project and industry-wide capex super...

China's steel exports surge, prompting trade-defense actions; Indian and Japanese/Korean mills benefit from tightening supply.