Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>A third of the way through the review period of the June rebalance, we see one potential index change with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-enterprises-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:245:1" rel="noopener">Adani Enterprises (ADE IN)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wipro-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15360:1" rel="noopener">Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-enterprises-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:245:1" rel="noopener">Adani Enterprises (ADE IN)</a> could move lower in the short-term due to the public issue of shares but should find support from passive buying from local and global index trackers.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wipro-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15360:1" rel="noopener">Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN)</a> has underperformed most of its peers by a wide margin over the last year and the passive selling could provide an entry point.</li>
</ul>


A third of the way through the review period of the June rebalance, we see one potential index change with Adani Enterprises (ADE IN) replacing Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN). 

Adani Enterprises (ADE IN) could move lower in the short-term due to the public issue of shares but should find support from passive buying from local and global index trackers.

Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN) has underperformed most of its peers by a wide margin over the last year and the passive selling could provide an entry point.


SENSEX Index Rebalance Preview: Adani Enterprises Could Replace Wipro

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Axis Top Picks basket outperformed the benchmark by a significant margin as it delivered an impressive return of 11% in 2022 as against 4.3% posted by Nifty 50 during the year.</li><li>The basket, however, declined by 1.8% in Dec’22 on account of the volatile equity market but it still managed to beat the 3.5% de-growth reported by the benchmark Nifty 50 on an MoM basis.</li><li>Furthermore, the basket has delivered an astounding return of 149% since its inception (May'20), which stands significantly higher than the 95% returns delivered by NIFTY 50 over the same period.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Axis Top Picks basket outperformed the benchmark by a significant margin as it delivered an impressive return of 11% in 2022 as against 4.3% posted by Nifty 50 during the year.The basket, however, declined by 1.8% in Dec’22 on account of the volatile equity market but it still managed to beat the 3.5% de-growth reported by the benchmark Nifty 50 on an MoM basis.Furthermore, the basket has delivered an astounding return of 149% since its inception (May'20), which stands significantly higher than the 95% returns delivered by NIFTY 50 over the same period.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Top Picks - Near-Term Volatile, Continue ‘Buy On Dips’ Strategy for Equities

<ul>
<li>We expect 5 changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-100-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36051:1" rel="noopener">Nifty 100 Index (NSE100 INDEX)</a> at the March rebalance. The review period ends on 31 January and the announcement should be late February.</li>
<li>The largest impact of passive trading will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/page-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4940:1" rel="noopener">Page Industries (PAG IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/biocon-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:398:1" rel="noopener">Biocon Ltd (BIOS IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mphasis-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7672:1" rel="noopener">Mphasis Ltd (MPHL IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/abb-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8703:1" rel="noopener">ABB India Ltd (ABB IN)</a>. </li>
<li>There are quite a few overlaps with the AMFI reclassification of stocks and there could be buying and selling from active fund managers over the next few weeks.</li>
</ul>


We expect 5 changes to the Nifty 100 Index (NSE100 INDEX) at the March rebalance. The review period ends on 31 January and the announcement should be late February.
The largest impact of passive trading will be on Page Industries (PAG IN), Biocon Ltd (BIOS IN), Mphasis Ltd (MPHL IN) and ABB India Ltd (ABB IN). 
There are quite a few overlaps with the AMFI reclassification of stocks and there could be buying and selling from active fund managers over the next few weeks.


NIFTY100 Index Rebalance Preview: Active Trading Before Passive Trading Kicks In

<ul><li>Axis Top Picks basket delivered impressive returns of 18%/19% in the last 6M/1YR respectively, outperforming the benchmark Index NIFTY 50 by an encouraging margin.</li><li>In Nov’22, the basket inched up further by 1%.</li><li>Furthermore, It has delivered an impressive return of 153% since its inception (May'20), which stands significantly higher than the 102% returns delivered by NIFTY 50 over the same period.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Axis Top Picks basket delivered impressive returns of 18%/19% in the last 6M/1YR respectively, outperforming the benchmark Index NIFTY 50 by an encouraging margin.In Nov’22, the basket inched up further by 1%.Furthermore, It has delivered an impressive return of 153% since its inception (May'20), which stands significantly higher than the 102% returns delivered by NIFTY 50 over the same period.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Axis Top Picks for the Month of December 2022

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Tech Mahindra: Tech Mahindra (TECHM) delivered in-line Q2FY23 performance, both on revenue and margin, with revenue growth of 2.9% QoQ CC and EBITM expansion of 40bps QoQ</li><li>Deal closures were soft due to the spillover of select deals into Q3, but importantly the outlook of USD 700mn to USD 1bn quarterly net new TCV was maintained</li><li>Key positives for TECHM were sequential improvement in FCF generation, operating performance (mitigating the wage hike impact) and line of sight for further improvement in margins, led by account pruning (BFSI &amp; RoW impact in Q2), pricing, utilisation and sub-con optimisation (lower in Q2)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tech Mahindra: Tech Mahindra (TECHM) delivered in-line Q2FY23 performance, both on revenue and margin, with revenue growth of 2.9% QoQ CC and EBITM expansion of 40bps QoQDeal closures were soft due to the spillover of select deals into Q3, but importantly the outlook of USD 700mn to USD 1bn quarterly net new TCV was maintainedKey positives for TECHM were sequential improvement in FCF generation, operating performance (mitigating the wage hike impact) and line of sight for further improvement in margins, led by account pruning (BFSI &amp; RoW impact in Q2), pricing, utilisation and sub-con optimisation (lower in Q2)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India

Tech Mahindra Ltd. develops and markets computer software.  The Company markets software for telecommunications equipment manufacturers, telecom service providers, software vendors, and systems integrators.

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Tech Mahindra (TECHM IN)

SENSEX Index Rebalance Preview: Adani Enterprises Could Replace Wipro

Adani Enterprises could replace Wipro in the Sensex in June. Adani Enterprises could move lower in the short-term due to the public offering. Wipro...

Brian Freitas

Top Picks - Near-Term Volatile, Continue ‘Buy On Dips’ Strategy for Equities

Axis Top Picks basket outperformed the benchmark by a significant margin as it delivered an impressive return of 11% in 2022 as against 4.3% posted...

Axis Direct

NIFTY100 Index Rebalance Preview: Active Trading Before Passive Trading Kicks In

There should be 5 changes to the NIFTY100 in March. Quite a few names overlap with the potential AMFI reclassification of stocks which will result...

Brian Freitas

Axis Top Picks for the Month of December 2022

Axis Top Picks basket delivered impressive returns of 18%/19% in the last 6M/1YR respectively, outperforming the benchmark Index NIFTY 50 by an...

Axis Direct

Tech Mahindra - Slower Deal Velocity

Tech Mahindra (TECHM) delivered in-line Q2FY23 performance, both on revenue and margin, with revenue growth of 2.9% QoQ CC and EBITM expansion of...

HDFC Securities

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