European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Spreads have generally tightened across our liquid universe, with some notorious exceptions such as BMW, Sixt and Volkswagen.</li>
<li>Recommendations Long ords / short prefs: Fuchs Petrolub, Grifols, Henkel, Handelsbanken, Investor AB.</li>
<li>Recommendations Long prefs / short ords: BMW, Roche, Schroders, Sixt, Telecom Italia, Volkswagen.</li>
</ul>


Spreads have generally tightened across our liquid universe, with some notorious exceptions such as BMW, Sixt and Volkswagen.
Recommendations Long ords / short prefs: Fuchs Petrolub, Grifols, Henkel, Handelsbanken, Investor AB.
Recommendations Long prefs / short ords: BMW, Roche, Schroders, Sixt, Telecom Italia, Volkswagen.


Liquid Universe of European Ordinary and Preferred Shares: December Report

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

The Europe HY Trade Book for December 2021 includes high-conviction trade ideas drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry.

  The Europe HY Trade Book for December 2021 includes high-conviction trade ideas drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry. 

Europe HY Trade Book - December 2021 - Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:<ol><li><a href='/entities/tata-motors-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Tata Motors Ltd</a></li><li><a href='/entities/anton-oilfield-services-gp' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Anton Oilfield</a></li><li><a href='/entities/china-south-city-holdings' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>China South City</a></li><li><a href='/entities/panda-green-energy-group-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Panda Green</a></li><li><a href='/entities/gcl-new-energy-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Gcl New Energy Holdings</a></li></ol>and more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:Tata Motors LtdAnton OilfieldChina South CityPanda GreenGcl New Energy Holdingsand more...

<ul>
<li>KKR intends to offer €0.505/ordinary&amp;savings, a 44% premium and 5.2x EV/Fwd EBITDA. KKR is willing to split Telecom Italia, by separating the network (Infra Co) from the services (ServiceCo).</li>
<li>The attempt would need 67% of the ords float tendered and no interference from the Italian Government. The market is cautious, but believes this time can happen.</li>
<li>In light of the possible offer, I change my recommendation to long TIT IM, long TITR IM, TP 0.505/share. Gross spread is 10.5%. The premium savings/ordinary shares has decreased to 0.9%.</li>
</ul>


KKR intends to offer €0.505/ordinary&amp;savings, a 44% premium and 5.2x EV/Fwd EBITDA. KKR is willing to split Telecom Italia, by separating the network (Infra Co) from the services (ServiceCo).
The attempt would need 67% of the ords float tendered and no interference from the Italian Government. The market is cautious, but believes this time can happen.
In light of the possible offer, I change my recommendation to long TIT IM, long TITR IM, TP 0.505/share. Gross spread is 10.5%. The premium savings/ordinary shares has decreased to 0.9%.


KKR Potential Offer for The (W)Hole of Telecom Italia

Italy

Telecom Italia S.p.A., through subsidiaries, offers fixed line and mobile telephone and data transmission services in Italy and abroad.  The Company offers local and long-distance telephone, satellite communications, Internet access, and teleconferencing services.

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Telecom Italia SPA (TIT IM)

Liquid Universe of European Ordinary and Preferred Shares: December Report

Spreads have generally tightened across our liquid universe, with some notorious exceptions such as BMW, Sixt and Volkswagen. Roche seems the most...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Europe HY Trade Book - December 2021 - Lucror Analytics

The Europe HY Trade Book for December 2021 includes high-conviction trade ideas drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with...

Lucror Analytics

Weekly Wrap - 26 Nov 2021

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

KKR Potential Offer for The (W)Hole of Telecom Italia

In light of the possible offer, I change my recommendation to Long TIT IM, long TITR IM, TP 0.505/share. Additional upside could come from a...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Weekly Wrap - 21 Nov 2021

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

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