European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Liberty intends to launch an offer to acquire the minorities in its subsidiary Telenet, taking advantage of the drop in the share price over the last two years.</li>
<li>Liberty offers €22/share in cash, cum dividend, 5.9x EV/Fwd EBITDA, a minimum 95% threshold and no MAC with respect to BEL-20 index and shares of Telenet peers prior results announcement.</li>
<li>My fair value estimate (DCF based) is €16.2, i.e. 26% downside to the intended offer price. Spread is 5.2%/15.6% (gross/annualised). Cautious long.</li>
</ul>


Liberty intends to launch an offer to acquire the minorities in its subsidiary Telenet, taking advantage of the drop in the share price over the last two years.
Liberty offers €22/share in cash, cum dividend, 5.9x EV/Fwd EBITDA, a minimum 95% threshold and no MAC with respect to BEL-20 index and shares of Telenet peers prior results announcement.
My fair value estimate (DCF based) is €16.2, i.e. 26% downside to the intended offer price. Spread is 5.2%/15.6% (gross/annualised). Cautious long.


Liberty/Telenet: Intended Offer for Minorities

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

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The Europe HY Trade Book for March 2023 includes high-conviction trade ideas drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry.

  The Europe HY Trade Book for March 2023 includes high-conviction trade ideas drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry. 

Europe HY Trade Book - March 2023 - Lucror Analytics

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  In our European High Yield Investment Outlook, we first discuss our high-conviction trade recommendations. We then examine major geopolitical and macroeconomic drivers for the year, as well as commodity price trends. We also assess the interest rate exposure of companies in our coverage universe and elaborate on developments for European HY markets, including new issuances and defaults. Lastly, we cover sectoral developments and the key drivers for companies under our coverage.   Overall, we are cautiously optimistic for 2023, and believe selected names still offer interesting opportunities, albeit spreads have recovered strongly this year.   

European High Yield Investment Outlook 2023 - Lucror Analytics

The Europe HY Trade Book for December 2022 includes high-conviction trade ideas drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry.

  The Europe HY Trade Book for December 2022 includes high-conviction trade ideas drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry. 

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The Europe HY Trade Book for October 2022 includes high-conviction trade ideas drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry.

  The Europe HY Trade Book for October 2022 includes high-conviction trade ideas drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry. 

Europe HY Trade Book - October 2022 - Lucror Analytics

Belgium

Telenet Group Holding NV provides telephone and internet services through a network of fiber-optic and coaxial cable.  The company offers customized packages to businesses and individual clients in Belgium.

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Telenet Group Holding NV (TNET BB)

Liberty/Telenet: Intended Offer for Minorities

Liberty offers €22/share in cash, cum dividend, 59% premium, 5.9x EV/Fwd EBITDA, with conditions: a minimum 95% threshold and no MAC with respect...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Europe HY Trade Book - March 2023 - Lucror Analytics

The Europe HY Trade Book for March 2023 includes high-conviction trade ideas drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with...

Lucror Analytics

European High Yield Investment Outlook 2023 - Lucror Analytics

In our European High Yield Investment Outlook, we first discuss our high-conviction trade recommendations. We then examine major geopolitical and...

Lucror Analytics

Europe HY Trade Book - December 2022 - Lucror Analytics

The Europe HY Trade Book for December 2022 includes high-conviction trade ideas drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with...

Lucror Analytics

Europe HY Trade Book - October 2022 - Lucror Analytics

The Europe HY Trade Book for October 2022 includes high-conviction trade ideas drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with...

Lucror Analytics

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