Japan TMT Analyst

Pelham Smithers

Market Intel on Asian Tech with a Japan focus

Pelham Smithers Associates

Founded in 2009, Pelham Smithers Associates (PSA) provides market intelligence on Asian technology, focusing in particular on Japan. The industries covered by our team of specialists are: consumer electronics, telecomms, pharmaceuticals, internet, electronic parts and materials, automotive technology, retail and capital goods. 

Research is provided by the following:
Pelham Smithers: Macro, consumer electronics, telecoms & pharma
Joel Scheiman: Electronics materials / components
Julie Boote: Autos
Will Nestuk: Capital goods, machinery & transportation equipment parts
Thao Nguyen: eCommerce, internet content, marketing & advertising

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

The decision by Melco Holdings to buy back 15% of outstanding shares is an announcement that is likely to be picked up by a few lucky holders of the stock, but few others. However, it could have considerable importance for the Japanese stock market in this era of negative interest rates. Although share buybacks are common enough in Japan, they normally represent 1~2% of shares outstanding, not ten times that amount. Melco Holdings, a company probably best known for being regularly confused with…

The decision by Melco Holdings to buy back 15% of outstanding shares is an announcement that is likely to be picked up by a few lucky holders of the stock, but few others. However, it could have considerable importance for the Japanese stock market in this era of negative interest rates. Although share buybacks are common enough in Japan, they normally represent 1~2% of shares outstanding, not ten times that amount. Melco Holdings, a company probably best known for being regularly confused with…

Melco Holdings BuyBack: Start of a Trend?

Founder and CEO, Europacifica Consulting

Naomi Fink

Founder and CEO

Europacifica Consulting

Macroeconomics

In the shadow of the EU referendum, rising support for conservative political factions among disaffected voters seems to have rubbed off on Japan, otherwise not known for exciting electoral outcomes, of late. Indeed, we must go back to 2003 to cite an example of where dollar-yen moved more than 1% in either direction in the wake of a Japanese election (moreover, in 2003 this was a Lower House election, generally of greater impact upon Japanese legislation).  The Nikkei 225 has tended to be…

In the shadow of the EU referendum, rising support for conservative political factions among disaffected voters seems to have rubbed off on Japan, otherwise not known for exciting electoral outcomes, of late.   Indeed, we must go back to 2003 to cite an example of where dollar-yen moved more than 1% in either direction in the wake of a Japanese election (moreover, in 2003 this was a Lower House election, generally of greater impact upon Japanese legislation).  The Nikkei 225 has tended to be…

Japanese Elections: "Abenomics" Versus a Move to the Right

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/forum-engineering-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28896:1" rel="noopener">Forum Engineering Inc (7088 JP)</a> has recommended a tender offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kkr-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27333:1" rel="noopener">KKR &amp; Co (KKR US)</a> at JPY1,710, a 32.6% premium to the last close price.</li>
<li>The offer is arguably light due to a lack of an auction and is below the midpoint of the target IFA DCF valuation range. </li>
<li>However, the offer is attractive compared to precedent transactions, peer multiples and represents an all-time high. The large number of cross-holders will help meet the required tendering rate.</li>
</ul>



Forum Engineering Inc (7088 JP) has recommended a tender offer from KKR &amp; Co (KKR US) at JPY1,710, a 32.6% premium to the last close price.
The offer is arguably light due to a lack of an auction and is below the midpoint of the target IFA DCF valuation range. 
However, the offer is attractive compared to precedent transactions, peer multiples and represents an all-time high. The large number of cross-holders will help meet the required tendering rate.


Forum Engineering (7088 JP): KKR’s Tender Offer at JPY1,710

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/technopro-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6955:1" rel="noopener">Technopro Holdings (6028 JP)</a> announced a tender offer from Blackstone at JPY4,870, a 43.7% premium to the undisturbed price of JPY3,389 but at a slight discount to the last close.</li>
<li>While below the last close, Blackstone’s offer was a result of an auction process and was the highest binding offer. The offer also represents a pre-media rumour all-time high.</li>
<li>Surprisingly, Blackstone has not disclosed irrevocables. The Board has a neutral opinion. Nevertheless, a fair auction process suggests there will be limited opposition to the offer. </li>
</ul>



Technopro Holdings (6028 JP) announced a tender offer from Blackstone at JPY4,870, a 43.7% premium to the undisturbed price of JPY3,389 but at a slight discount to the last close.
While below the last close, Blackstone’s offer was a result of an auction process and was the highest binding offer. The offer also represents a pre-media rumour all-time high.
Surprisingly, Blackstone has not disclosed irrevocables. The Board has a neutral opinion. Nevertheless, a fair auction process suggests there will be limited opposition to the offer. 


TechnoPro (6028 JP): Blackstone’s Tender Offer at JPY4,870

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://finance.yahoo.com/news/blackstone-acquire-japans-technopro-3-094830609.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Nikkei reports</a> that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/blackstone-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27166:1" rel="noopener">Blackstone (BX US)</a> will launch the tender offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/technopro-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6955:1" rel="noopener">Technopro Holdings (6028 JP)</a> just below JPY4,900, a 44.6% premium to the undisturbed price.</li>
<li>While the rumoured offer is 1.5% below the last close, it is attractive as it resulted from an auction and represents a pre-media rumour all-time high.</li>
<li>It is unclear if the offer is preconditional on regulatory approvals. Blackstone is likely to secure irrevocables from activists like Orbis to project a secure path to completion. </li>
</ul>


The Nikkei reports that Blackstone (BX US) will launch the tender offer for Technopro Holdings (6028 JP) just below JPY4,900, a 44.6% premium to the undisturbed price.
While the rumoured offer is 1.5% below the last close, it is attractive as it resulted from an auction and represents a pre-media rumour all-time high.
It is unclear if the offer is preconditional on regulatory approvals. Blackstone is likely to secure irrevocables from activists like Orbis to project a secure path to completion. 


TechnoPro (6028 JP): Blackstone’s Rumoured Takeunder Offer

Japan

Persol Holdings Co., Ltd. provides human resource solutions to a wide variety of customers worldwide. The Company's main operations include temporary staffing services, contract services, and employment services. Temp Holdings also provides outsourcing services and employment support services for job seekers.

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Persol Holdings (2181 JP)

Melco Holdings BuyBack: Start of a Trend?

The decision by Melco Holdings to buy back 15% of outstanding shares is an announcement that is likely to be picked up by a few lucky holders of...

Pelham Smithers Associates

Japanese Elections: "Abenomics" Versus a Move to the Right

In the shadow of the EU referendum, rising support for conservative political factions among disaffected voters seems to have rubbed off on Japan,...

Naomi Fink

Forum Engineering (7088 JP): KKR’s Tender Offer at JPY1,710

While the offer is arguably light, as it falls below the midpoint of the IFA DCF range, it remains attractive compared to precedent transactions,...

Arun George

TechnoPro (6028 JP): Blackstone’s Tender Offer at JPY4,870

While below the last close, Blackstone’s offer was a result of an auction process and was the highest binding offer. The offer also represents a...

Arun George

TechnoPro (6028 JP): Blackstone’s Rumoured Takeunder Offer

While the rumoured offer is 1.5% below the last close, it is attractive as it resulted from an auction and represents a pre-media rumour all-time...

Arun George

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