Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Furniture and furnishings stocks moved sharply higher, as a small-cap rotation on top of generally positive sentiments dominated trading, in what is likely an anticipation of economic gains from the new administration’s policies.</li><li>The Water Tower Research Commercial/Contract Furniture Index was up 5.2%, the Residential Manufacturers &amp; Suppliers Index was up 7.2%, and the Home Goods Retailers Index was up 4.0%, while the large- cap indexes gained 2.7% and the R2K was up 3.8%.</li><li><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">ARHS noted (1) its 4Q24 comps sales were up 6%, </span>reversing the “low single-digit declines” seen in October.</li></ul>

Furniture and furnishings stocks moved sharply higher, as a small-cap rotation on top of generally positive sentiments dominated trading, in what is likely an anticipation of economic gains from the new administration’s policies.The Water Tower Research Commercial/Contract Furniture Index was up 5.2%, the Residential Manufacturers &amp; Suppliers Index was up 7.2%, and the Home Goods Retailers Index was up 4.0%, while the large- cap indexes gained 2.7% and the R2K was up 3.8%.ARHS noted (1) its 4Q24 comps sales were up 6%, reversing the “low single-digit declines” seen in October.

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly - ARHS 4Q Comps Up, Time at Home Up

<ul><li>It was a relatively quiet holiday-shortened trading week.</li><li>The Water Tower Research Commercial/Contract Furniture Index was down (-2.5%) and the Residential Manufacturers &amp; Suppliers Index was down (-0.3%), while the Home Goods Retailers Index was up 2.0% in a week where the large-cap indexes modestly declined (-0.5%) and the R2K was up 0.9%.</li><li>SCS posted solid 3QFY25 results (on December 18), noting that while FY25 demand has been a bit weaker than expected at the beginning of the year, recent activity suggests demand (finally) may be inflecting, especially in the Americas segment (~3/4 of revenue).</li></ul>

It was a relatively quiet holiday-shortened trading week.The Water Tower Research Commercial/Contract Furniture Index was down (-2.5%) and the Residential Manufacturers &amp; Suppliers Index was down (-0.3%), while the Home Goods Retailers Index was up 2.0% in a week where the large-cap indexes modestly declined (-0.5%) and the R2K was up 0.9%.SCS posted solid 3QFY25 results (on December 18), noting that while FY25 demand has been a bit weaker than expected at the beginning of the year, recent activity suggests demand (finally) may be inflecting, especially in the Americas segment (~3/4 of revenue).

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly SCS 3QFY25 Earnings; Winner Takes Most in US Retail

<ul><li>The markets moved sharply higher on Tuesday’s election results, with the ‘risk-on’ trade, lower uncertainty, enhanced prospects for domestic manufacturing given the incoming administration’s views on trade, and hopes for a ‘lighter’ regulatory approach boosting stocks.</li><li>The Water Tower Research Commercial/Contract Furniture Index was up 6.2% and the WTR Mass Retailers Index was up 4.7% for the week, while the WTR Residential Manufacturers &amp; Suppliers Index was flat and the Home Goods Retailers Index was down 3%. The DJ30 and S&amp;P 500 were both up 5% and the R2K was up 8.2%.</li><li>How should we explain this divergence? The Commercial/Contract Index likely benefited from expectations for stronger GDP growth and better profits, both catalysts for corporate investment. </li></ul>

The markets moved sharply higher on Tuesday’s election results, with the ‘risk-on’ trade, lower uncertainty, enhanced prospects for domestic manufacturing given the incoming administration’s views on trade, and hopes for a ‘lighter’ regulatory approach boosting stocks.The Water Tower Research Commercial/Contract Furniture Index was up 6.2% and the WTR Mass Retailers Index was up 4.7% for the week, while the WTR Residential Manufacturers &amp; Suppliers Index was flat and the Home Goods Retailers Index was down 3%. The DJ30 and S&amp;P 500 were both up 5% and the R2K was up 8.2%.How should we explain this divergence? The Commercial/Contract Index likely benefited from expectations for stronger GDP growth and better profits, both catalysts for corporate investment. 

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly Post-Election Market Swings - November 11, 2024

<ul><li>A rough week for furniture and furnishings stocks as the earnings picture for the broader market continues to paint a cloudy picture.</li><li>Last week was the peak of earnings season and the outlook remains mooted.</li><li>Fewer companies beat expectations and when they did, the beat was less vigorous than average.</li></ul>

A rough week for furniture and furnishings stocks as the earnings picture for the broader market continues to paint a cloudy picture.Last week was the peak of earnings season and the outlook remains mooted.Fewer companies beat expectations and when they did, the beat was less vigorous than average.

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly - November 4, 2024

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

Somnigroup International / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The earnings for Tempur Sealy in the second quarter of 2024 presents a mixed financial outlook, characterized by both positive achievements and challenging market conditions.</li>
<li>The company reported a notable increase in net sales which approximate $1.2 billion, and adjusted EBITDA stood at $231 million, marking a year-over-year improvement of 6%.</li>
<li>Adjusted earnings per share also saw growth, rising 9% to $0.63, alongside an improved leverage ratio.</li>
</ul>


The earnings for Tempur Sealy in the second quarter of 2024 presents a mixed financial outlook, characterized by both positive achievements and challenging market conditions.
The company reported a notable increase in net sales which approximate $1.2 billion, and adjusted EBITDA stood at $231 million, marking a year-over-year improvement of 6%.
Adjusted earnings per share also saw growth, rising 9% to $0.63, alongside an improved leverage ratio.


TPX US: These Are The 4 Biggest Factors Impacting Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond!

United States

Somnigroup International Inc. operates as a bedding company. The Company develops, produces, and markets mattresses, adjustable bases, pillows, and other sleep and relaxation products. Somnigroup International serves customers worldwide.

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Somnigroup International (SGI US)

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly - ARHS 4Q Comps Up, Time at Home Up

Furniture and furnishings stocks moved sharply higher, as a small-cap rotation on top of generally positive sentiments dominated trading

Water Tower Research

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly SCS 3QFY25 Earnings; Winner Takes Most in US Retail

The Water Tower Research Commercial/Contract Furniture Index was down (-2.5%) and the Residential Manufacturers & Suppliers Index was down (-0.3%)

Water Tower Research

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly Post-Election Market Swings - November 11, 2024

The markets moved sharply higher on Tuesday’s election results, with the ‘risk-on’ trade, lower uncertainty, enhanced prospects for domestic...

Water Tower Research

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly - November 4, 2024

A rough week for furniture and furnishings stocks as the earnings picture for the broader market continues to paint a cloudy picture.

Water Tower Research

TPX US: These Are The 4 Biggest Factors Impacting Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond!

The earnings for Tempur Sealy in the second quarter of 2024 presents a mixed financial outlook, characterized by both positive achievements and...

Baptista Research

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