Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Equity Bottom-Up

<div><div><div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;"><li><p>MillerKnoll earnings sparked a second week of outperformance for the commercial/contract furniture stocks, which rose ~8% in a week when broader indices were roughly flat.</p></li><li>MLKN reported adjusted EPS of $0.37 in 1QFY24, above consensus of $0.21 consensus, and upped guidance.</li><li>Shares jumped 27% on Wednesday. All three major US firms in the sector advanced last week.</li></ul></div></div></div>

MillerKnoll earnings sparked a second week of outperformance for the commercial/contract furniture stocks, which rose ~8% in a week when broader indices were roughly flat.MLKN reported adjusted EPS of $0.37 in 1QFY24, above consensus of $0.21 consensus, and upped guidance.Shares jumped 27% on Wednesday. All three major US firms in the sector advanced last week.

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly  - MLKN Results Boost Sector; Consumer Confidence Dips

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul style="list-style-type: disc;"><li><p>In a week when the broad market indexes retreated by ~3%, the positive earnings report from Steelcase, Inc. (SCS) provided a boost for all the Commercial/Contract Furniture issues.</p></li><li><p>SCS results supported a view that demand in the office furniture sector had troughed.</p></li><li><p>CFO Dave Sylvester noted that the weekly pace of orders in its Americas segment was steady through its fiscal 2Q and into 3Q and that the Y/Y order comparison for the first few weeks of September was up by ~18%. For details, see our update note from September 22.</p></li></ul>

In a week when the broad market indexes retreated by ~3%, the positive earnings report from Steelcase, Inc. (SCS) provided a boost for all the Commercial/Contract Furniture issues.SCS results supported a view that demand in the office furniture sector had troughed.CFO Dave Sylvester noted that the weekly pace of orders in its Americas segment was steady through its fiscal 2Q and into 3Q and that the Y/Y order comparison for the first few weeks of September was up by ~18%. For details, see our update note from September 22.

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly - SCS Results Boost Commercial/Contract Furniture Sector

<div><div><div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;"><li><p>Herein we inaugurate the WTR Furniture/Furnishings Weekly. Under “Statistics”, we recap stock price performance for select issues in three sectors: Commercial/Contract Furniture, Residential Manufacturers &amp; Suppliers, and Home Goods Retailers.</p></li><li><p>Inside, we present data on company operating performance and valuation. Pertinent economic data/charts to furniture/furnishings issues follow.</p></li><li><p>This front-page column, and additional text, if needed, will be devoted to news tidbits.</p></li></ul></div></div></div>

Herein we inaugurate the WTR Furniture/Furnishings Weekly. Under “Statistics”, we recap stock price performance for select issues in three sectors: Commercial/Contract Furniture, Residential Manufacturers &amp; Suppliers, and Home Goods Retailers.Inside, we present data on company operating performance and valuation. Pertinent economic data/charts to furniture/furnishings issues follow.This front-page column, and additional text, if needed, will be devoted to news tidbits.

Inaugural Industry Report Tracks Stocks, Fundamentals, and Economic Drivers

High Quality Stock Setups, Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

High Quality Stock Setups

Finding high potential stock setups on quality companies

<ul><li>After witnessing a parabolic advance at the beginning of the Federal Reserve’s tightening cycle in early 2022, the US dollar has decisely break down below prior weekly support levels in a large bearish engulfing candle last week.</li><li>This breakdown can serve as a tailwind for multi-nationals (especially technology names), commodities, emerging markets, treasuries, and cryptos.</li><li>The dollar is now sitting at a 15 month low. This decline may not be over as the MACD indicator is now crossing down.</li></ul>

After witnessing a parabolic advance at the beginning of the Federal Reserve’s tightening cycle in early 2022, the US dollar has decisely break down below prior weekly support levels in a large bearish engulfing candle last week.This breakdown can serve as a tailwind for multi-nationals (especially technology names), commodities, emerging markets, treasuries, and cryptos.The dollar is now sitting at a 15 month low. This decline may not be over as the MACD indicator is now crossing down.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Nasdaq-100 Stock Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In last week's Compass (Feb. 22) we discussed our belief that a pullback has begun, and signs continue to point to more downside ahead on the broad market indexes</li>
<li>There has been four failed attempts to reclaim $190 on the Russell 2000 (IWM) and $297 on the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) over the last five trading days.</li>
<li>These remain important lines in the sand moving forward. Attractive stocks: TPX, LZB, SNBR, ETD, HOFT, FLXS, KEX, SBLK, CMRE, DAC, EGLE, GNK, ASC, GSL, DSX, SB, NM, EURN, more</li>
</ul>


In last week's Compass (Feb. 22) we discussed our belief that a pullback has begun, and signs continue to point to more downside ahead on the broad market indexes
There has been four failed attempts to reclaim $190 on the Russell 2000 (IWM) and $297 on the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) over the last five trading days.
These remain important lines in the sand moving forward. Attractive stocks: TPX, LZB, SNBR, ETD, HOFT, FLXS, KEX, SBLK, CMRE, DAC, EGLE, GNK, ASC, GSL, DSX, SB, NM, EURN, more


Signs Point to More Downside Ahead; Breadth Deteriorating; Buys in Home Furnishings and Shippers

United States

Tempur Sealy International Inc., through its primary subsidiary manufactures and markets foam mattresses, pillows, and miscellaneous products under its own and other brand names.

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Tempur Sealy International (TPX US)

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly - MLKN Results Boost Sector; Consumer Confidence Dips

MillerKnoll earnings sparked a second week of outperformance for the commercial/contract furniture stocks, which rose ~8% in a week when broader...

Water Tower Research

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly - SCS Results Boost Commercial/Contract Furniture Sector

In a week when the broad market indexes retreated by ~3%, the positive earnings report from Steelcase, Inc. (SCS) provided a boost for all the...

Water Tower Research

Inaugural Industry Report Tracks Stocks, Fundamentals, and Economic Drivers

Under “Statistics”, we recap stock price performance for select issues in three sectors: Commercial/Contract Furniture, Residential Manufacturers &...

Water Tower Research

Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 7/17

After witnessing a parabolic advance at the beginning of the Federal Reserve’s tightening cycle in early 2022, the US dollar has decisely break...

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Signs Point to More Downside Ahead; Breadth Deteriorating; Buys in Home Furnishings and Shippers

Signs continue to point to more downside ahead on the broad market indexes with 4 failed attempts to reclaim $190 on $IWM and $297 on $QQQ over the...

Vermilion Research

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