Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Abnormally high growth during CNY of the express delivery parcel data showed social gift giving likely bumped up 20ppt YoY growth this CNY;</li>
<li>BYD plans to extend ADS to its low priced cars. 2025 will be a year L3 ADS extending to mainstream EV's now this prediction is even conservative;</li>
<li>Chinese EV makers are launching free price wars. But zero financing may be prompted by the banks, not by EV makers, mitigating margin impact.</li>
</ul>


Abnormally high growth during CNY of the express delivery parcel data showed social gift giving likely bumped up 20ppt YoY growth this CNY;
BYD plans to extend ADS to its low priced cars. 2025 will be a year L3 ADS extending to mainstream EV's now this prediction is even conservative;
Chinese EV makers are launching free price wars. But zero financing may be prompted by the banks, not by EV makers, mitigating margin impact.


[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 6/52] Express Delivery Showed Social Gift Took off During CNY

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, neither of the two listings performed last week, while more are lining up to list across the region.</li>
<li>On the placements front, given the ongoing earnings season there weren't any deals. We did look at lockups and other possible upcoming deals.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, neither of the two listings performed last week, while more are lining up to list across the region.
On the placements front, given the ongoing earnings season there weren't any deals. We did look at lockups and other possible upcoming deals.


ECM Weekly (10th Feb 2025) - Haitian, Guming, LG CNS, Dr Agarwal, Ola, Brainbees, Kaynes, Whirlpool

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Nicholas Tan

APAC IPOs & Placements

Breton Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/breton-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43410:1" rel="noopener">Breton Technology (1884270D CH)</a>  is looking to raise about US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>It is a new energy solution provider in China, focused on the design, development and commercialization of electric-powered engineering machinery, including battery-electric loaders and wide-body dump trucks.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the firm's past performance.</li>
</ul>



Breton Technology (1884270D CH)  is looking to raise about US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
It is a new energy solution provider in China, focused on the design, development and commercialization of electric-powered engineering machinery, including battery-electric loaders and wide-body dump trucks.
In this note, we look at the firm's past performance.


Breton Technology Pre-IPO: Growing but Continues to Bleed

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Top Chinese cloud platforms are supporting DeepSeek as AI changes the landscape of cloud intelligence.</li><li>Meta and Google are pushing forward with smart glasses development, overcoming obstacles in the Asian supply chain.</li><li>SiPh progress is exceeding TSMC's expectations, heating up the optical communication CPO market earlier than anticipated.</li></ul>

Top Chinese cloud platforms are supporting DeepSeek as AI changes the landscape of cloud intelligence.Meta and Google are pushing forward with smart glasses development, overcoming obstacles in the Asian supply chain.SiPh progress is exceeding TSMC's expectations, heating up the optical communication CPO market earlier than anticipated.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (07-Feb-2025): Chinese cloud giants support DeepSeek as AI revolutionizes cloud.

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guming-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40622:1" rel="noopener">Guming Holdings (GUM HK)</a> (Good me), a freshly-made tea store brand, has launched an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$202 million.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/guming-holdings-good-me-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:173217" rel="noopener">Guming Holdings (Good Me) IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/guming-holdings-good-me-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:173512" rel="noopener">Guming Holdings (Good Me) IPO: The Bear Case</a>.</li>
<li>There are five cornerstone investors. Our valuation analysis suggests that Guming is attractively valued at the IPO price range. Therefore, we would participate in the IPO.</li>
</ul>



Guming Holdings (GUM HK) (Good me), a freshly-made tea store brand, has launched an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$202 million.
We previously discussed the IPO in Guming Holdings (Good Me) IPO: The Bull Case and Guming Holdings (Good Me) IPO: The Bear Case.
There are five cornerstone investors. Our valuation analysis suggests that Guming is attractively valued at the IPO price range. Therefore, we would participate in the IPO.


Guming Holdings (1364 HK) IPO: Valuation Insights

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent Holdings (ADR) (TCEHY US)

ECM Weekly (10th Feb 2025) - Haitian, Guming, LG CNS, Dr Agarwal, Ola, Brainbees, Kaynes, Whirlpool

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Breton Technology Pre-IPO: Growing but Continues to Bleed

Breton Technology (BT) is looking to raise about US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. It is a new energy solution provider in China. In this...

Nicholas Tan

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (07-Feb-2025): Chinese cloud giants support DeepSeek as AI revolutionizes cloud.

Top Chinese cloud platforms support DeepSeek AI as it shapes cloud intelligence landscape, while Meta and Google push smart glasses forward despite...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Guming Holdings (1364 HK) IPO: Valuation Insights

Our valuation analysis suggests that Guming is attractively valued at the IPO price range. Pricing is on 10 February, and the shares will be listed...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 6/52] Express Delivery Showed Social Gift Took off During CNY

​CNY gift giving boosts express delivery growth, BYD to add ADS to low priced cars, Chinese EV makers engage in price wars with potential financing...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

ECM Weekly (10th Feb 2025) - Haitian, Guming, LG CNS, Dr Agarwal, Ola, Brainbees, Kaynes, Whirlpool

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Breton Technology Pre-IPO: Growing but Continues to Bleed

Breton Technology (BT) is looking to raise about US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. It is a new energy solution provider in China. In this...

Nicholas Tan

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (07-Feb-2025): Chinese cloud giants support DeepSeek as AI revolutionizes cloud.

Top Chinese cloud platforms support DeepSeek AI as it shapes cloud intelligence landscape, while Meta and Google push smart glasses forward despite...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Guming Holdings (1364 HK) IPO: Valuation Insights

Our valuation analysis suggests that Guming is attractively valued at the IPO price range. Pricing is on 10 February, and the shares will be listed...

Arun George

CNY gift giving boosts express delivery growth, BYD to add ADS to low priced cars, Chinese EV makers engage in price wars with potential financing...