Head of Research, Steno Research

Emil Moller

Head of Research

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Main conclusions up-front:It’s getting harder to disentangle politics from price movements in China, with the government becoming more involved in the equity market.</li><li>In stark contrast to their U.S. counterparts, Chinese banks are grappling with the weight of growing savings from consumers and businesses.</li><li>This surge is impacting their profitability, while the real estate sector’s challenges continue to linger.</li></ul>

Main conclusions up-front:It’s getting harder to disentangle politics from price movements in China, with the government becoming more involved in the equity market.In stark contrast to their U.S. counterparts, Chinese banks are grappling with the weight of growing savings from consumers and businesses.This surge is impacting their profitability, while the real estate sector’s challenges continue to linger.

EM by EM #36: What Goldman got wrong about China in 2023

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>700HK/ NTES: NPPA publishes domestic game code for December, NetEase and Tencent received game approval (+)</li>
<li>PDD/ VIPS/ BABA/ JD/ ZTO/ 2618.HK/ 1519.HK: Express Parcel Volume collected grows +68% YoY last week (+)</li>
<li>BABA/ PDD/ JD/ VIPS/ ZTO/ 1519.HK: Taobao launches refund without returning the product (+/-/-/-/-)</li>
</ul>


700HK/ NTES: NPPA publishes domestic game code for December, NetEase and Tencent received game approval (+)
PDD/ VIPS/ BABA/ JD/ ZTO/ 2618.HK/ 1519.HK: Express Parcel Volume collected grows +68% YoY last week (+)
BABA/ PDD/ JD/ VIPS/ ZTO/ 1519.HK: Taobao launches refund without returning the product (+/-/-/-/-)


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]: 700 HK/NTES/PDD/VIPS/BABA/JD/ZTO/2618 HK/1519 HK

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Dec 22nd based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Li Ning (2331 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Dec 22nd based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Li Ning (2331 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Dec 22nd): Tencent, AIA, Li Ning

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Cloud / In Depth: China’s cloud giants seek profits abroad as domestic margins dwindle</li><li style="font-weight: bold;">Central bank /Chart of the Day: PBOC gets major leadership reshuffle in 2023</li><li>Outbound /Year in Review: China’s outbound businesses pivot to Latam, Middle East</li></ul>

Cloud / In Depth: China’s cloud giants seek profits abroad as domestic margins dwindleCentral bank /Chart of the Day: PBOC gets major leadership reshuffle in 2023Outbound /Year in Review: China’s outbound businesses pivot to Latam, Middle East

CX Daily: China’s Cloud Giants Seek Profits Abroad as Domestic Margins Dwindle 

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>It remains possible for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> to generate a positive return in January 2024, given that historically there is a high 73% probability of doing so.</li>
<li>Over the last eleven years, January was also the best-performing one in five of them. Average return for these five was at 7.7%.</li>
<li>The macroenvironment is also conducive for this pattern to sustain - lower USD rates, rebound in Rmb/USD exchange rate, and more supportive measures from the Chinese government.</li>
</ul>


It remains possible for the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) to generate a positive return in January 2024, given that historically there is a high 73% probability of doing so.
Over the last eleven years, January was also the best-performing one in five of them. Average return for these five was at 7.7%.
The macroenvironment is also conducive for this pattern to sustain - lower USD rates, rebound in Rmb/USD exchange rate, and more supportive measures from the Chinese government.


China Strategy: Are We Still Going to Have January Effect in 2024?

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

Price Gauge
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Tencent Holdings (ADR) (TCEHY US)

EM by EM #36: What Goldman got wrong about China in 2023

Main conclusions up-front:It’s getting harder to disentangle politics from price movements in China, with the government becoming more involved in...

Steno Research

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]: 700 HK/NTES/PDD/VIPS/BABA/JD/ZTO/2618 HK/1519 HK

NPPA approves domestic games for NetEase and Tencent, express parcel volume grows 68% YoY, Taobao introduces refund without returning product.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Dec 22nd): Tencent, AIA, Li Ning

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CX Daily: China’s Cloud Giants Seek Profits Abroad as Domestic Margins Dwindle

Cloud / In Depth: China’s cloud giants seek profits abroad as domestic margins dwindle Cloud computing has become a new battleground in the...

Caixin Global

China Strategy: Are We Still Going to Have January Effect in 2024?

China's industrial profit growth accelerated to 29.5% YoY in Nov, from just a 2.7% increase in Oct, suggesting initial impacts from the series of...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

EM by EM #36: What Goldman got wrong about China in 2023

Main conclusions up-front:It’s getting harder to disentangle politics from price movements in China, with the government becoming more involved in...

Steno Research

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]: 700 HK/NTES/PDD/VIPS/BABA/JD/ZTO/2618 HK/1519 HK

​NPPA approves domestic games for NetEase and Tencent, express parcel volume grows 68% YoY, Taobao introduces refund without returning product.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Dec 22nd): Tencent, AIA, Li Ning

​We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CX Daily: China’s Cloud Giants Seek Profits Abroad as Domestic Margins Dwindle

Cloud / In Depth: China’s cloud giants seek profits abroad as domestic margins dwindle Cloud computing has become a new battleground in the...

Caixin Global

China Strategy: Are We Still Going to Have January Effect in 2024?

China's industrial profit growth accelerated to 29.5% YoY in Nov, from just a 2.7% increase in Oct, suggesting initial impacts from the series of...

Osbert Tang, CFA

NPPA approves domestic games for NetEase and Tencent, express parcel volume grows 68% YoY, Taobao introduces refund without returning product.

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...