Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>In H1, Asia climbed several walls of worry. Valuations are slightly higher than long-term average. H2 could be more modest, as export driven growth moderates and trade agreements become contentious.</li>
<li>Our end-2025 targets are: MXASJ 850, SHCOMP 3760, Sensex 85000, HSI 26000, KOSPI 3400, TWSE 23500, Strait Times 4200, JCI 7450, SET 1150. Overweights on Korea, HK/China, India, continue.</li>
<li>Asian currencies should continue to appreciate, driving more FII flows. Benign inflation and headroom for monetary easing are key tailwinds. We expect two rate cuts by the Fed in 2025.</li>
</ul>


In H1, Asia climbed several walls of worry. Valuations are slightly higher than long-term average. H2 could be more modest, as export driven growth moderates and trade agreements become contentious.
Our end-2025 targets are: MXASJ 850, SHCOMP 3760, Sensex 85000, HSI 26000, KOSPI 3400, TWSE 23500, Strait Times 4200, JCI 7450, SET 1150. Overweights on Korea, HK/China, India, continue.
Asian currencies should continue to appreciate, driving more FII flows. Benign inflation and headroom for monetary easing are key tailwinds. We expect two rate cuts by the Fed in 2025.


H2 '25 Outlook: Modest H2 After Strong H1. Themes: Trade, Consumption, Tech Spending, Yields

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, this week saw a few good listings across the region while the spotlight will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zijin-gold-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45448:1" rel="noopener">Zijin Gold (2259 HK)</a> in the coming week.</li>
<li>On the placements front, it was a relatively quiter week, as compared to some of the more recent weekly flows.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, this week saw a few good listings across the region while the spotlight will be on Zijin Gold (2259 HK) in the coming week.
On the placements front, it was a relatively quiter week, as compared to some of the more recent weekly flows.


ECM Weekly (29 September 2025)- Zijin, Chery, CAREIT, Orion, Butong, Victory Giant, Northern Star

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Currently ten pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors persist.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently ten pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors persist.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (29 Sep)

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes just over US$19bn a day this past 5-day week. Big. Quite decent net buying flows too though the market fell. </li>
<li>The recommended name last week was short <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (9988 HK)</a> was +4.65% on the week despite HK being down across the board.</li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Pairs Monitor</a> are both there for all SK readers.</li>
</ul>


Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes just over US$19bn a day this past 5-day week. Big. Quite decent net buying flows too though the market fell. 
The recommended name last week was short Alibaba (9988 HK) was +4.65% on the week despite HK being down across the board.
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there for all SK readers.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 26 Sep 2025); BIG Single Stock Trading Again, Big Net, But Hs Fall

Equity Derivatives

Ping An Insurance (H) / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
Context: Volatility cones provide a straightforward framework to evaluate whether options are trading cheap or rich. This Insight provides volatility analysis for eight prominent Hong Kong stocks</li>
<li>
Highlights: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-grp-co-of-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12880:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK)</a>stands out with historically low implied volatility across the term structure. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (9988 HK)</a>is rich in November and December contracts.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Spot opportunities, assess regime shifts, and manage risk effectively — volatility cones turn complex data into actionable insights for traders and investors.</li>
</ul>



Context: Volatility cones provide a straightforward framework to evaluate whether options are trading cheap or rich. This Insight provides volatility analysis for eight prominent Hong Kong stocks

Highlights: Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK)stands out with historically low implied volatility across the term structure. Alibaba (9988 HK)is rich in November and December contracts.

Why Read: Spot opportunities, assess regime shifts, and manage risk effectively — volatility cones turn complex data into actionable insights for traders and investors.


Volatility Cones: Ping An (2318 HK) And Alibaba (9988 HK) Stand Out

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Tencent Holdings (ADR) (TCEHY US)

H2 '25 Outlook: Modest H2 After Strong H1. Themes: Trade, Consumption, Tech Spending, Yields

As we approach the last quarter of 2025, most Asian market indices are higher than our end-25 targets, except India. Of our focus investment themes...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

ECM Weekly (29 September 2025)- Zijin, Chery, CAREIT, Orion, Butong, Victory Giant, Northern Star

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (29 Sep)

Ten pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors, based on quantitative methodology. Offering unique insights into relative value.

Gaudenz Schneider

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 26 Sep 2025); BIG Single Stock Trading Again, Big Net, But Hs Fall

SOUTHBOUND saw continued large buying, especially on Alibaba. Net buying on that name has been huge the last few weeks. Was a big gainer this week...

Travis Lundy

Volatility Cones: Ping An (2318 HK) And Alibaba (9988 HK) Stand Out

Volatility cones for eight prominent Hong Kong stocks highlight opportunities in cheap implied volatility in Ping An Insurance, Meituan, and...

Gaudenz Schneider

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

H2 '25 Outlook: Modest H2 After Strong H1. Themes: Trade, Consumption, Tech Spending, Yields

As we approach the last quarter of 2025, most Asian market indices are higher than our end-25 targets, except India. Of our focus investment themes...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

ECM Weekly (29 September 2025)- Zijin, Chery, CAREIT, Orion, Butong, Victory Giant, Northern Star

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (29 Sep)

Ten pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors, based on quantitative methodology. Offering unique insights into relative value.

Gaudenz Schneider

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 26 Sep 2025); BIG Single Stock Trading Again, Big Net, But Hs Fall

SOUTHBOUND saw continued large buying, especially on Alibaba. Net buying on that name has been huge the last few weeks. Was a big gainer this week...

Travis Lundy

Volatility Cones: Ping An (2318 HK) And Alibaba (9988 HK) Stand Out

​Volatility cones for eight prominent Hong Kong stocks highlight opportunities in cheap implied volatility in Ping An Insurance, Meituan, and...

Gaudenz Schneider

Volatility cones for eight prominent Hong Kong stocks highlight opportunities in cheap implied volatility in Ping An Insurance, Meituan, and...