Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Tencent approaches earnings with low volatility and steady outperformance versus HSI.</li>
<li>Volatilities are historically low with an earnings release on tap.  </li>
<li>Options market expects a modest move despite recent Tencent momentum.</li>
</ul>


Tencent approaches earnings with low volatility and steady outperformance versus HSI.
Volatilities are historically low with an earnings release on tap.  
Options market expects a modest move despite recent Tencent momentum.


Tencent (700.HK) Q2 Earnings: Rally Into Earnings on Historically Low Volatility

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We believe game revenue will continue to recover in 2Q25, riding on the policy easing.</li>
<li>We also believe the operating margin will improve slightly due to the usage of AI.</li>
<li>We expect the stock has an upside of 23% for year end 2025.</li>
</ul>


We believe game revenue will continue to recover in 2Q25, riding on the policy easing.
We also believe the operating margin will improve slightly due to the usage of AI.
We expect the stock has an upside of 23% for year end 2025.


Tencent (700 HK): 2Q25 Preview, Game Up by 16%

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

<ul>
<li>
Context: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> is set to release Q2 earnings on 13 April 2025. In the lead-up, options strategies on the Hong Kong Exchange showcase a variety of approaches.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Recent option trades show a mix of bullish and bearish sentiment. Calendar Spreads, Strangles, and Spreads using weekly options are explored.</li>
<li>
Why Read: This review offers real-market insight into how sophisticated participants are positioning around Tencent’s earnings — providing actionable reference points for structuring trades or assessing market expectations.</li>
</ul>



Context: Tencent (700 HK) is set to release Q2 earnings on 13 April 2025. In the lead-up, options strategies on the Hong Kong Exchange showcase a variety of approaches.

Highlights: Recent option trades show a mix of bullish and bearish sentiment. Calendar Spreads, Strangles, and Spreads using weekly options are explored.

Why Read: This review offers real-market insight into how sophisticated participants are positioning around Tencent’s earnings — providing actionable reference points for structuring trades or assessing market expectations.


Tencent (700 HK): How Traders Are Positioning Into Earnings

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The U.S. Department of Defense has designated <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> as a Chinese Military Company. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd-69366efb-cf6b-404d-a0e4-c6b9b2e128dc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Holdings (ADR) (TCEHY US)</a> shares were down nearly 8% overnight.</li>
<li>There is no change to the Non-SDN Chinese Military-Industrial Complex Companies List (NS-CMIC) yet. But the overlap between the DoD list and the NS-CMIC list is high.</li>
<li>If added to the NS-CMIC list, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> will be deleted from global indexes and there will be HUGE passive selling from these trackers.</li>
</ul>


The U.S. Department of Defense has designated Tencent (700 HK) as a Chinese Military Company. Tencent Holdings (ADR) (TCEHY US) shares were down nearly 8% overnight.
There is no change to the Non-SDN Chinese Military-Industrial Complex Companies List (NS-CMIC) yet. But the overlap between the DoD list and the NS-CMIC list is high.
If added to the NS-CMIC list, Tencent (700 HK) will be deleted from global indexes and there will be HUGE passive selling from these trackers.


Tencent (700 HK): DoD Says Chinese Military Company; Not on NS-CMIC List Yet

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, we had a look at a number of deals that are in the pipeline.</li>
<li>On the placements front, it was a relatively quiet week with a few primary raisings.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, we had a look at a number of deals that are in the pipeline.
On the placements front, it was a relatively quiet week with a few primary raisings.


ECM Weekly (28 July 2025) - MMC, Pine Lags, Prestige, Veritas, Daehan, Kasumigaseki, NSDL, GNI

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Tencent (700 HK)

Tencent (700.HK) Q2 Earnings: Rally Into Earnings on Historically Low Volatility

Tencent heads into Q2 earnings with strong gains and low volatility. We examine the implied move, past Q2 results, implied volatility and post...

John Ley

Tencent (700 HK): 2Q25 Preview, Game Up by 16%

We believe game revenue will continue to recover in 2Q25, riding on the policy easing. Tencent saveS computing costs by AI. We expect the stock has...

Ming Lu

Tencent (700 HK): How Traders Are Positioning Into Earnings

An in-depth review of recent option trades on Tencent (700 HK), revealing how market participants are positioning ahead of the Q2 earnings...

Gaudenz Schneider

Tencent (700 HK): DoD Says Chinese Military Company; Not on NS-CMIC List Yet

The U.S. DoD has designated Tencent as a Chinese Military Company. The stock is not on the NS-CMIC list yet and could be added later. Addition to...

Brian Freitas

ECM Weekly (28 July 2025) - MMC, Pine Lags, Prestige, Veritas, Daehan, Kasumigaseki, NSDL, GNI

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Tencent (700.HK) Q2 Earnings: Rally Into Earnings on Historically Low Volatility

Tencent heads into Q2 earnings with strong gains and low volatility. We examine the implied move, past Q2 results, implied volatility and post...

John Ley

Tencent (700 HK): 2Q25 Preview, Game Up by 16%

We believe game revenue will continue to recover in 2Q25, riding on the policy easing. Tencent saveS computing costs by AI. We expect the stock has...

Ming Lu

Tencent (700 HK): How Traders Are Positioning Into Earnings

​An in-depth review of recent option trades on Tencent (700 HK), revealing how market participants are positioning ahead of the Q2 earnings...

Gaudenz Schneider

Tencent (700 HK): DoD Says Chinese Military Company; Not on NS-CMIC List Yet

The U.S. DoD has designated Tencent as a Chinese Military Company. The stock is not on the NS-CMIC list yet and could be added later. Addition to...

Brian Freitas

ECM Weekly (28 July 2025) - MMC, Pine Lags, Prestige, Veritas, Daehan, Kasumigaseki, NSDL, GNI

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

An in-depth review of recent option trades on Tencent (700 HK), revealing how market participants are positioning ahead of the Q2 earnings...