Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>We take a detailed look at the implied earnings move priced into Tencent options compared to historical outcomes.</li>
<li>Post-Earnings price movements are analyzed to assess directional tendencies and magnitude based on earnings beats and misses.</li>
<li>An interesting post-earnings pattern emerges, with an options strategy outlined.</li>
</ul>


We take a detailed look at the implied earnings move priced into Tencent options compared to historical outcomes.
Post-Earnings price movements are analyzed to assess directional tendencies and magnitude based on earnings beats and misses.
An interesting post-earnings pattern emerges, with an options strategy outlined.


Tencent Earnings: Implied Vs Realized Price Changes and a Post Earnings Pattern

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd-69366efb-cf6b-404d-a0e4-c6b9b2e128dc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Holdings (ADR) (TCEHY US)</a> is set to announce Annual 2024 Results on 19 March 2025.</li>
<li>Options pricing implies a 4-6% move after earnings, significantly higher than historical patterns. From an options perspective, calendar spreads offer opportunities.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent</a>'s significant index weighting, around 8% in key Hong Kong indices, means its earnings has the potential to impact broader market performance.</li>
</ul>



Tencent (700 HK) / Tencent Holdings (ADR) (TCEHY US) is set to announce Annual 2024 Results on 19 March 2025.
Options pricing implies a 4-6% move after earnings, significantly higher than historical patterns. From an options perspective, calendar spreads offer opportunities.

Tencent's significant index weighting, around 8% in key Hong Kong indices, means its earnings has the potential to impact broader market performance.


Tencent (700 HK): Expected Move on Profit Announcement and Option Insights

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes dropped again somewhat but still high at HK$625bn. NET buying by SOUTHBOUND was HK$61bn which is HUGE.</li>
<li>The flows here are still striking. &gt;25% of the top 100 most liquid Southbound eligible stocks saw SOUTHBOUND buy more than 10% of weekly traded volume to March 12.</li>
<li>A summary of important China-related stock news as I saw it this week is included. </li>
</ul>


Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes dropped again somewhat but still high at HK$625bn. NET buying by SOUTHBOUND was HK$61bn which is HUGE.
The flows here are still striking. &gt;25% of the top 100 most liquid Southbound eligible stocks saw SOUTHBOUND buy more than 10% of weekly traded volume to March 12.
A summary of important China-related stock news as I saw it this week is included. 


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 14 Mar 2025); Big Volumes, Big Net; Tech and Banks Still Leading

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Multiple new agencies have been reporting that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> plans to trim its investment portfolio over the remainder of the year. </li>
<li>The reports have been coming in since the second half of the year and the company has been duly denying these rumors.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at Tencent’s shareholding in various companies to try and gauge which ones it could sell out of and how.</li>
</ul>


Multiple new agencies have been reporting that Tencent (700 HK) plans to trim its investment portfolio over the remainder of the year. 
The reports have been coming in since the second half of the year and the company has been duly denying these rumors.
In this note, we look at Tencent’s shareholding in various companies to try and gauge which ones it could sell out of and how.


Tencent Investee Selldown - The US$120bn Global Overhang

Senior Equity Derivatives Trader

Simon Harris

<ul>
<li>Derivative trade ideas to maintain upside/protect downside in Tencent. Stock is cheap but risks remain </li>
<li>Take advantage of a retracement in implied vols and depressed skew levels to improve payoffs and protect against broader market risk</li>
<li>We look at 3 alternative trades depending on your position and outlook</li>
</ul>


Derivative trade ideas to maintain upside/protect downside in Tencent. Stock is cheap but risks remain 
Take advantage of a retracement in implied vols and depressed skew levels to improve payoffs and protect against broader market risk
We look at 3 alternative trades depending on your position and outlook


EQD | Tencent (700 HK): A Long but Use Options to Mitigate Any Broader Market Risks

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent (700 HK)

Tencent Earnings: Implied Vs Realized Price Changes and a Post Earnings Pattern

Analysis of Tencent options shows implied earnings move compared to historical outcomes, revealing post-earnings patterns and a potential options...

John Ley

Tencent (700 HK): Expected Move on Profit Announcement and Option Insights

Tencent to announce Annual 2024 Results on 19 March 2025. Options pricing suggests a 4-6% move. Calendar spreads offer opportunities.

Gaudenz Schneider

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 14 Mar 2025); Big Volumes, Big Net; Tech and Banks Still Leading

SOUTHBOUND Connect volumes slow down in gross but record very high net. Net buying bias is still significant. Tech, and tech-ish consumer...

Travis Lundy

Tencent Investee Selldown - The US$120bn Global Overhang

There have been multiple reports that Tencent (700 HK) plans to trim its investment portfolio over the remainder of the year. We look at Tencent's...

Sumeet Singh

EQD | Tencent (700 HK): A Long but Use Options to Mitigate Any Broader Market Risks

Use derivatives to own Tencent delta through potential market turbulence. Take advatantage of cheap volatility to improve risk reward profile.

Simon Harris

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Tencent Earnings: Implied Vs Realized Price Changes and a Post Earnings Pattern

​Analysis of Tencent options shows implied earnings move compared to historical outcomes, revealing post-earnings patterns and a potential options...

John Ley

Tencent (700 HK): Expected Move on Profit Announcement and Option Insights

​Tencent to announce Annual 2024 Results on 19 March 2025. Options pricing suggests a 4-6% move. Calendar spreads offer opportunities.

Gaudenz Schneider

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 14 Mar 2025); Big Volumes, Big Net; Tech and Banks Still Leading

SOUTHBOUND Connect volumes slow down in gross but record very high net. Net buying bias is still significant. Tech, and tech-ish consumer...

Travis Lundy

Tencent Investee Selldown - The US$120bn Global Overhang

There have been multiple reports that Tencent (700 HK) plans to trim its investment portfolio over the remainder of the year. We look at Tencent's...

Sumeet Singh

EQD | Tencent (700 HK): A Long but Use Options to Mitigate Any Broader Market Risks

Use derivatives to own Tencent delta through potential market turbulence. Take advatantage of cheap volatility to improve risk reward profile.

Simon Harris

Analysis of Tencent options shows implied earnings move compared to historical outcomes, revealing post-earnings patterns and a potential options...

Tencent to announce Annual 2024 Results on 19 March 2025. Options pricing suggests a 4-6% move. Calendar spreads offer opportunities.