Equity Long-Short

Mo Aziz

Equity Bottom-Up

Tencent Music Entertainment / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>2Q26 revenue +5.8% to RMB8.93bn; music services +11%, membership accelerated to +8.1%, IP/concert engine +16%. Non-IFRS net profit +4.4%. Clean quarter, decelerating social entertainment drag notwithstanding.</li>
<li>Ximalaya (closed 18 May) added RMB407mn revenue but reshapes the balance sheet: RMB13.1bn new borrowings, goodwill RMB29.8bn. Meanwhile, management repurchased US$400mn of stock at US$9.2/ADS average.</li>
<li>BULLISH. ACCUMULATE maintained; FV trimmed to HKD60/USD15.40 (from HKD64), pegged to 17x FY26 PE (-1SD below mean) on ~RMB10.0bn non-IFRS earnings. ~56% UPSIDE potential. </li>
</ul>


2Q26 revenue +5.8% to RMB8.93bn; music services +11%, membership accelerated to +8.1%, IP/concert engine +16%. Non-IFRS net profit +4.4%. Clean quarter, decelerating social entertainment drag notwithstanding.
Ximalaya (closed 18 May) added RMB407mn revenue but reshapes the balance sheet: RMB13.1bn new borrowings, goodwill RMB29.8bn. Meanwhile, management repurchased US$400mn of stock at US$9.2/ADS average.
BULLISH. ACCUMULATE maintained; FV trimmed to HKD60/USD15.40 (from HKD64), pegged to 17x FY26 PE (-1SD below mean) on ~RMB10.0bn non-IFRS earnings. ~56% UPSIDE potential. 


Tencent Music (1698 HK) 2Q26: Growth Intact, Balance Sheet Reshaped by Ximalaya. Still Deep Value

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen / Equity Capital Markets

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen (300450 CH)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-lead-intelligent-equipment-co-ltd-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:48989:1" rel="noopener">Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment (470 HK)</a>, raised around US$725m in its H-share listing. Its cornerstone investors will soon be released from their lockup.</li>
<li>WLIE is a global platform-based intelligent equipment enterprise, offering intelligent equipment and solutions to a wide range of emerging and high-end manufacturing industries.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment (470 HK), raised around US$725m in its H-share listing. Its cornerstone investors will soon be released from their lockup.
WLIE is a global platform-based intelligent equipment enterprise, offering intelligent equipment and solutions to a wide range of emerging and high-end manufacturing industries.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Aequitas: Wuxi Lead A/H Lockup Expiry - US$190m Release, All Financial Investors

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>For 3Q22E, social entertainment platforms still face intensifying competition and macro challenges that can weigh on their revenue growth and margin expansion.</li><li>Social entertainment platforms need to innovate their monetization methods and enhance operating efficiency in order to fend off competition and macro headwind, in our view.</li><li>Platforms with concentrated revenue exposure to ad business like Weibo and loss-making platforms like BiliBili (Bili) might be more sensitive to the competition and macro environment.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

For 3Q22E, social entertainment platforms still face intensifying competition and macro challenges that can weigh on their revenue growth and margin expansion.Social entertainment platforms need to innovate their monetization methods and enhance operating efficiency in order to fend off competition and macro headwind, in our view.Platforms with concentrated revenue exposure to ad business like Weibo and loss-making platforms like BiliBili (Bili) might be more sensitive to the competition and macro environment.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Internet– Social Entertainment 3Q22 Preview: Remains Under Pressure

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Consumption sentiment and offline activities’ recovery pace continued to weigh on internet sector’s 3Q financials performance.</li><li>Looking into 4Q and 2023, business model robustness, operating leverage improvement, and ability to expand into new revenue streams will be the key stock alpha drivers, while the heavily under-owned China Internet sector will remain sensitive to policies and other sentiment related beta drivers.</li><li>We expect leading technology companies will play vital role in building digital infrastructure and empowering enterprise digital transformation. </li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Consumption sentiment and offline activities’ recovery pace continued to weigh on internet sector’s 3Q financials performance.Looking into 4Q and 2023, business model robustness, operating leverage improvement, and ability to expand into new revenue streams will be the key stock alpha drivers, while the heavily under-owned China Internet sector will remain sensitive to policies and other sentiment related beta drivers.We expect leading technology companies will play vital role in building digital infrastructure and empowering enterprise digital transformation. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Internet Sector – 3Q22 preview: near term bumpy recovery

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

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In Depth: The shadowy businessman behind a multibillion-dollar bank swindleChongqing monkeypox patient caught the disease in Berlin, China CDC saysFormer Shanghai police chief sentenced to life in prison for corruption

CX Daily: The Shadowy Businessman Behind a Multibillion-Dollar Bank Swindle

China

Tencent Music Entertainment operates an online music entertainment platform in China. The Company offers platform that comprises of online music, recording, music-centric live streaming enabling users to discover, listen, sing, watch, perform, and socialize music.

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Tencent Music (TME US)

Tencent Music (1698 HK) 2Q26: Growth Intact, Balance Sheet Reshaped by Ximalaya. Still Deep Value

Tencent Music reports strong 2Q26 performance, with music services and membership accelerating. Ximalaya acquisition boosts revenue but reshapes...

Mo Aziz

Aequitas: Wuxi Lead A/H Lockup Expiry - US$190m Release, All Financial Investors

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment (470 HK), raised around US$725m in its H-share listing. Its cornerstone investors will soon be released from their...

Sumeet Singh

China Internet Sector – 3Q22 preview: near term bumpy recovery

We expect leading technology companies will play vital role in building digital infrastructure and empowering enterprise digital transformation.

CMB International

CX Daily: The Shadowy Businessman Behind a Multibillion-Dollar Bank Swindle

In Depth: The shadowy businessman behind a multibillion-dollar bank swindle. Chongqing monkeypox patient caught the disease in Berlin, China CDC says

Caixin Global

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52-week Range

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Tencent Music (1698 HK) 2Q26: Growth Intact, Balance Sheet Reshaped by Ximalaya. Still Deep Value

​Tencent Music reports strong 2Q26 performance, with music services and membership accelerating. Ximalaya acquisition boosts revenue but reshapes...

Mo Aziz

Aequitas: Wuxi Lead A/H Lockup Expiry - US$190m Release, All Financial Investors

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment (470 HK), raised around US$725m in its H-share listing. Its cornerstone investors will soon be released from their...

Sumeet Singh

China Internet– Social Entertainment 3Q22 Preview: Remains Under Pressure

For 3Q22E, social entertainment platforms still face intensifying competition and macro challenges that can weigh on their revenue growth and...

CMB International

China Internet Sector – 3Q22 preview: near term bumpy recovery

We expect leading technology companies will play vital role in building digital infrastructure and empowering enterprise digital transformation.

CMB International

CX Daily: The Shadowy Businessman Behind a Multibillion-Dollar Bank Swindle

In Depth: The shadowy businessman behind a multibillion-dollar bank swindle. Chongqing monkeypox patient caught the disease in Berlin, China CDC says

Caixin Global

Tencent Music reports strong 2Q26 performance, with music services and membership accelerating. Ximalaya acquisition boosts revenue but reshapes...