Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Technology Select Sector SPDR / Technical Analysis

<p>The S&amp;P 500 remains just short of formidable resistance at its 200-day MA. Yet, there are signs of continued breadth improvement.  Technology in particular continues to top our Sector RSR rankings, fueled by strengthening price and RS action for semiconductors, semi-suppliers, and numerous Software groups. Last week we upgraded our weighting for Technology and its strength continues to broaden out. In this week's report we highlight a number of actionable Technology stocks across our various Groups.</p>

The S&amp;P 500 remains just short of formidable resistance at its 200-day MA. Yet, there are signs of continued breadth improvement.  Technology in particular continues to top our Sector RSR rankings, fueled by strengthening price and RS action for semiconductors, semi-suppliers, and numerous Software groups. Last week we upgraded our weighting for Technology and its strength continues to broaden out. In this week's report we highlight a number of actionable Technology stocks across our various Groups.

U.S. Tech Stocks Are Leading Market Higher.

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Dimitris Ioannidis

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Forecasted inclusions include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coreweave-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44471:1" rel="noopener">CRWV</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/figma-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45422:1" rel="noopener">FIG</a> due to increased public voting rights, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bitfarms-ltd-of-canada" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35932:1" rel="noopener">KEEL</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ashtead-group-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21806:1" rel="noopener">SUNB</a> due to newly eligible US index nationality, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/opendoor-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32216:1" rel="noopener">OPEN</a> &amp; BMNR due to a price surge.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ashtead-group-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21806:1" rel="noopener"></a>Projected deletions include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beyond-meat-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28065:1" rel="noopener">Beyond Meat (BYND US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/getty-images-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:37015:1" rel="noopener">Getty Images (GETY US)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alight-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27940:1" rel="noopener">Alight (ALIT US)</a> because of prices below $1 despite market caps of ~$400m.</li>
<li>Anticipated migrations from R2000 to R1000 include<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bloom-energy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34062:1" rel="noopener"> Bloom Energy (BE US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nextracker-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36731:1" rel="noopener">Nextpower (NXT US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fabrinet" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8813:1" rel="noopener">Fabrinet (FN US)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/credo-technology-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35436:1" rel="noopener">Credo Technology (CRDO US)</a>, resulting in passive fund supply.</li>
</ul>


Forecasted inclusions include CRWV &amp; FIG due to increased public voting rights, KEEL &amp; SUNB due to newly eligible US index nationality, and OPEN &amp; BMNR due to a price surge.

Projected deletions include Beyond Meat (BYND US), Getty Images (GETY US), and Alight (ALIT US) because of prices below $1 despite market caps of ~$400m.
Anticipated migrations from R2000 to R1000 include Bloom Energy (BE US), Nextpower (NXT US), Fabrinet (FN US), and Credo Technology (CRDO US), resulting in passive fund supply.


US R3000 Annual Forecasts - Jun26: Additions, Deletions & Migrations

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In the first quarter of 2025, Teradata Corporation reported financial results that showcased both strengths and challenges.</li><li>Overall, the company's revenues were closely aligned with internal expectations, but there were notable shifts in key metrics, which offer both positive prospects and potential concerns for investors.</li><li>On the positive side, Teradata's cloud annual recurring revenue (ARR) increased by 16% year-over-year, reaching $606 million in constant currency.</li></ul>

In the first quarter of 2025, Teradata Corporation reported financial results that showcased both strengths and challenges.Overall, the company's revenues were closely aligned with internal expectations, but there were notable shifts in key metrics, which offer both positive prospects and potential concerns for investors.On the positive side, Teradata's cloud annual recurring revenue (ARR) increased by 16% year-over-year, reaching $606 million in constant currency.

Teradata Corporation Accelerates Cloud ARR Surge with Game-Changing Hybrid Platform Strategy!

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There are 4 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 INDEX</a>, 6 changes for the S&amp;P Midcap400 Index and 14 changes for the S&amp;P SmallCap600 Index at the March rebalance.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doordash-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28881:1" rel="noopener">DoorDash (DASH US)</a> was newly eligible after meeting the profitability criterion, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/applovin-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32989:1" rel="noopener">AppLovin (APP US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coinbase-global-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32227:1" rel="noopener">Coinbase Global (COIN US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/interactive-brokers-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13335:1" rel="noopener">Interactive Brokers Group, Inc (IBKR US)</a> were overlooked again.</li>
<li>There will be more same-way flow for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)</a> adds and deletes from the Select Sector index trackers.</li>
</ul>


There are 4 changes for the S&amp;P 500 INDEX, 6 changes for the S&amp;P Midcap400 Index and 14 changes for the S&amp;P SmallCap600 Index at the March rebalance.

DoorDash (DASH US) was newly eligible after meeting the profitability criterion, while AppLovin (APP US), Coinbase Global (COIN US) and Interactive Brokers Group, Inc (IBKR US) were overlooked again.
There will be more same-way flow for the S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX) adds and deletes from the Select Sector index trackers.


S&P500/400/600 Index Rebalance: DASH In as Stability Trumps Volatility

<ul><li>Teradata recently announced its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024, highlighting its continued transition toward cloud and AI innovation.</li><li>The company is shifting away from its traditional on-premise business, positioning itself as a leader in hybrid cloud solutions and AI-driven technologies.</li><li>A key highlight of Teradata’s performance in 2024 was the growth in cloud annual recurring revenue (ARR), which reached $609 million, marking an 18% increase in constant currency.</li></ul>

Teradata recently announced its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024, highlighting its continued transition toward cloud and AI innovation.The company is shifting away from its traditional on-premise business, positioning itself as a leader in hybrid cloud solutions and AI-driven technologies.A key highlight of Teradata’s performance in 2024 was the growth in cloud annual recurring revenue (ARR), which reached $609 million, marking an 18% increase in constant currency.

Teradata Corporation: An Insight Into Its Cost Management & Financial Strategy!

United States

Teradata Corp operates as a database management company in the technology industry. The company offers analytic data solutions through integrated data warehousing, big data analytics, and business applications.  Teradata Corp collaborates with leading innovators in software, technology, and integration services.

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Teradata Corp (TDC US)

U.S. Tech Stocks Are Leading Market Higher.

The S&P 500 remains just short of formidable resistance at its 200-day MA. Yet, there are signs of continued breadth improvement. Technology...

Vermilion Research

US R3000 Annual Forecasts - Jun26: Additions, Deletions & Migrations

The last annual reconstitution for index US‑R3000 is approaching, with additions and deletions driven by public voting rights, extreme price...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Teradata Corporation Accelerates Cloud ARR Surge with Game-Changing Hybrid Platform Strategy!

In the first quarter of 2025, Teradata Corporation reported financial results that showcased both strengths and challenges. Overall, the company's...

Baptista Research

S&P500/400/600 Index Rebalance: DASH In as Stability Trumps Volatility

There are many changes for the SnP500/400/600 indices in March. The index committee has overlooked high vol stocks. There will be more same-way...

Brian Freitas

Teradata Corporation: An Insight Into Its Cost Management & Financial Strategy!

Teradata recently announced its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024, highlighting its continued transition toward cloud...

Baptista Research

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