IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/estia-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:77:1" rel="noopener">Estia Health (EHE AU)</a> has entered a SID with Bain Capital at A$3.20 per share, a 49.5% premium to the undisturbed price (21 March).</li>
<li>The offer is attractive in comparison to historical share prices and multiples. The offer is also attractive in comparison to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japara-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14760:1" rel="noopener">Japara Healthcare (JHC AU)</a> precedent transaction. </li>
<li>The MAC clause, particularly around material regulatory events, could be risky. At the last close and for an end-of-December payment, the gross and annualised spread is 3.7% and 9.5%, respectively.</li>
</ul>



Estia Health (EHE AU) has entered a SID with Bain Capital at A$3.20 per share, a 49.5% premium to the undisturbed price (21 March).
The offer is attractive in comparison to historical share prices and multiples. The offer is also attractive in comparison to the Japara Healthcare (JHC AU) precedent transaction. 
The MAC clause, particularly around material regulatory events, could be risky. At the last close and for an end-of-December payment, the gross and annualised spread is 3.7% and 9.5%, respectively.


Estia Health (EHE AU): Bain Capital’s Binding Proposal

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/111-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27412:1" rel="noopener">111 Inc (YI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chindata-group-holdings-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29274:1" rel="noopener">Chindata Group (CD US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/estia-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:77:1" rel="noopener">Estia Health (EHE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/invocare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9044:1" rel="noopener">Invocare Ltd (IVC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enm-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16267:1" rel="noopener">ENM Holdings (128 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoflow-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36100:1" rel="noopener">Eoflow (294090 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>Lowest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius (HLS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/penguin-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10190:1" rel="noopener">Penguin International (PBS SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itochu-techno-solutions-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2431:1" rel="noopener">Itochu Techno Solutions (4739 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oishi-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17370:1" rel="noopener">Oishi Group PCL (OISHI TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kenedix-retail-reit-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:188:1" rel="noopener">Kenedix Retail REIT (3453 JP)</a>. </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads - 111 Inc (YI US), Chindata Group (CD US), Estia Health (EHE AU), Invocare Ltd (IVC AU), ENM Holdings (128 HK), Eoflow (294090 KS), JSR Corp (4185 JP). 
Lowest spreads - Healius (HLS AU), Toyo Construction (1890 JP), Penguin International (PBS SP), Itochu Techno Solutions (4739 JP), Oishi Group PCL (OISHI TB), Kenedix Retail REIT (3453 JP). 


Merger Arb Mondays (07 Aug) - JSR, ITOCHU, Allkem, Origin, Symbio, Pacific Current, United Malt, MPI

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/111-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27412:1" rel="noopener">111 Inc (YI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chindata-group-holdings-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29274:1" rel="noopener">Chindata Group (CD US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enm-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16267:1" rel="noopener">ENM Holdings (128 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/estia-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:77:1" rel="noopener">Estia Health (EHE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/poly-culture-group-corp-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4729:1" rel="noopener">Poly Culture Group Corp H (3636 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/costa-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22632:1" rel="noopener">Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU)</a>.</li>
<li>Lowest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius (HLS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/liontown-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20488:1" rel="noopener">Liontown Resources (LTR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kenedix-residential-investment" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17149:1" rel="noopener">Kenedix Residential Investment (3278 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/penguin-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10190:1" rel="noopener">Penguin International (PBS SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/challenger-technologies-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16490:1" rel="noopener">Challenger Technologies (CHLG SP)</a>. </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads  111 Inc (YI US), Chindata Group (CD US), ENM Holdings (128 HK), Estia Health (EHE AU), Poly Culture Group Corp H (3636 HK), Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU).
Lowest spreads - Healius (HLS AU), Liontown Resources (LTR AU), Toyo Construction (1890 JP), Kenedix Residential Investment (3278 JP), Penguin International (PBS SP), Challenger Technologies (CHLG SP). 


Merger Arb Mondays (17 Jul) - Chindata, Eoflow, JSR, IMAX, Mason, Estia, Musgrave, Origin, InvoCare

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/111-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27412:1" rel="noopener">111 Inc (YI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enm-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16267:1" rel="noopener">ENM Holdings (128 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chindata-group-holdings-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29274:1" rel="noopener">Chindata Group (CD US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/estia-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:77:1" rel="noopener">Estia Health (EHE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/poly-culture-group-corp-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4729:1" rel="noopener">Poly Culture Group Corp H (3636 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/costa-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22632:1" rel="noopener">Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU)</a>.</li>
<li>Lowest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius (HLS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hailan-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39776:1" rel="noopener">Hailan Holdings (2278 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/liontown-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20488:1" rel="noopener">Liontown Resources (LTR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oishi-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17370:1" rel="noopener">Oishi Group PCL (OISHI TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yachiyo-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6299:1" rel="noopener">Yachiyo Industry (7298 JP)</a>, Penguin. </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads  111 Inc (YI US), ENM Holdings (128 HK), Chindata Group (CD US), Estia Health (EHE AU), Poly Culture Group Corp H (3636 HK), Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU).
Lowest spreads - Healius (HLS AU), Hailan Holdings (2278 HK), Liontown Resources (LTR AU), Toyo Construction (1890 JP), Oishi Group PCL (OISHI TB), Yachiyo Industry (7298 JP), Penguin. 


Merger Arb Mondays (10 Jul) - JSR, Yachiyo, InvoCare, Costa, Musgrave, Metro Pacific, Healthway

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/silk-laser-australia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33498:1" rel="noopener">Silk Laser Australia (SLA AU)</a>'s binding offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wesfarmers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1104:1" rel="noopener">Wesfarmers Ltd (WES AU)</a> is at A$3.35 per share which is in line with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ec-healthcare" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22630:1" rel="noopener">EC Healthcare (2138 HK)</a>’s non-binding proposal.</li>
<li>While EC Healthcare is a relative minnow, it secured HK$1 billion (A$191 million) financing in May, which suggests a chance of returning with a higher offer. </li>
<li>If EC Healthcare deployed the HK$1.0 billion loan for the acquisition, it would imply a price of A$3.60 per share, 7.6% above Wesfarmers' offer.  </li>
</ul>



Silk Laser Australia (SLA AU)'s binding offer from Wesfarmers Ltd (WES AU) is at A$3.35 per share which is in line with EC Healthcare (2138 HK)’s non-binding proposal.
While EC Healthcare is a relative minnow, it secured HK$1 billion (A$191 million) financing in May, which suggests a chance of returning with a higher offer. 
If EC Healthcare deployed the HK$1.0 billion loan for the acquisition, it would imply a price of A$3.60 per share, 7.6% above Wesfarmers' offer.  


Silk Laser Australia (SLA AU): Wesfarmers Binding Offer, Next Move EC Healthcare

Australia

Tesserent Limited provides internet security services. The Company offers security infrastructure platforms, which enables delivery of security-as-a-service to small and large organizations to protect their computer networks.

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Tesserent Ltd (TNT AU)

Estia Health (EHE AU): Bain Capital’s Binding Proposal

The A$3.20 offer is attractive compared to historical share prices and multiples. At the last close and for an end-of-December payment, the gross...

Arun George

Merger Arb Mondays (07 Aug) - JSR, ITOCHU, Allkem, Origin, Symbio, Pacific Current, United Malt, MPI

This week, the highest gross spreads are 111 (19.6%), Chindata (15.3%), Estia (12.7%), InvoCare (10.4%), ENM (9.4%), Eoflow (7.7%), JSR (7.2%),...

Arun George

Merger Arb Mondays (17 Jul) - Chindata, Eoflow, JSR, IMAX, Mason, Estia, Musgrave, Origin, InvoCare

This week, the highest gross spreads are 111 (27.5%), Chindata (15.0%), ENM (11.5%), Estia (9.6%), Poly Culture (7.8%), Costa (7.3%), Eoflow...

Arun George

Merger Arb Mondays (10 Jul) - JSR, Yachiyo, InvoCare, Costa, Musgrave, Metro Pacific, Healthway

This week, the highest gross spreads are 111 (38.6%), ENM (11.5%), Chindata (10.5%), Estia (9.2%), Poly Culture (8.2%), Costa (7.9%), Dali (7.8%),...

Arun George

Silk Laser Australia (SLA AU): Wesfarmers Binding Offer, Next Move EC Healthcare

While EC Healthcare is a relative minnow, it secured HK$1 billion (A$191 million) financing in May, which suggests a chance of returning with a...

Arun George

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