Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Welcome to a new year and we are excited for the innovation and therapeutic breakthroughs that biopharma will reveal this year, while navigating through any changes in the regulatory and M&amp;A environment.</li><li>For our first Biopharma <span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">Review report in 2025, we cover the news that we missed during </span>the holiday break.</li><li>On the obesity front, NVO’s CagriSema fell short of expectations, while the FDA reaffirmed LLY’s GLP-1 shortage resolution, bearing bad news for HIMS and LFMD. </li></ul>

Welcome to a new year and we are excited for the innovation and therapeutic breakthroughs that biopharma will reveal this year, while navigating through any changes in the regulatory and M&amp;A environment.For our first Biopharma Review report in 2025, we cover the news that we missed during the holiday break.On the obesity front, NVO’s CagriSema fell short of expectations, while the FDA reaffirmed LLY’s GLP-1 shortage resolution, bearing bad news for HIMS and LFMD. 

Biopharma Week in Review - January 6, 2025

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>Eoflow Has been ordered by the U.S. Court to pay $452M as damages. Celltrion has submitted clinical trial application for CT-P44 (Darzalex biosimilar) to the FDA.</li>
<li>Takeda Pharmaceutical entered into an exclusive licensing agreement to develop and commercialize a late-stage oncology drug candidate. Medipal and JCR Pharmaceuticals initiated the Phase I/II trial of JR-446 in Japan.</li>
<li>SanBio has completed second production run for Akuugo suspension for intracranial implantation. Aurobindo Pharma’s U.S. arm Eugia has received final approval from the FDA to manufacture and market Pazopanib Tablets.</li>
</ul>


Eoflow Has been ordered by the U.S. Court to pay $452M as damages. Celltrion has submitted clinical trial application for CT-P44 (Darzalex biosimilar) to the FDA.
Takeda Pharmaceutical entered into an exclusive licensing agreement to develop and commercialize a late-stage oncology drug candidate. Medipal and JCR Pharmaceuticals initiated the Phase I/II trial of JR-446 in Japan.
SanBio has completed second production run for Akuugo suspension for intracranial implantation. Aurobindo Pharma’s U.S. arm Eugia has received final approval from the FDA to manufacture and market Pazopanib Tablets.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (Dec 8)- Eoflow, Celltrion, Takeda, Medipal, SanBio, Aurobindo Pharma

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Snap-Back rallies have continued in the largest global equity markets (U.S., Japan, and Europe).</li>
<li>Japan's TOPIX is still below 2690-2700 and the EURO STOXX 50 is below 4884, and whether they roll over here or from marginally higher levels, lower highs remain likely.</li>
<li>It all fits with our ongoing belief (since our July 25, 2024 Int'l Compass) that MSCI ACWI is going through a 1- to 4-month pullback/consolidation (we are one month in).</li>
</ul>


Snap-Back rallies have continued in the largest global equity markets (U.S., Japan, and Europe).
Japan's TOPIX is still below 2690-2700 and the EURO STOXX 50 is below 4884, and whether they roll over here or from marginally higher levels, lower highs remain likely.
It all fits with our ongoing belief (since our July 25, 2024 Int'l Compass) that MSCI ACWI is going through a 1- to 4-month pullback/consolidation (we are one month in).


Shift Now to Defensives; Snap-Back Rally Testing Resistance $ACWI $SPX; Neutral Outlook Intact

<ul>
<li>We are seeing snap-back rallies in the largest global economies -- notably the U.S. and Japan, and also Europe to a lesser extent. However...</li>
<li>We're expecting to see lower highs develop at prior breakdown levels at 2690-2700 on the TOPIX and 4884 on the EURO STOXX 50, which are significant resistance levels.</li>
<li>Watching SPX resistance at 5585, or possible test of YTD highs/marginal new high, all fitting with our ongoing belief (since July 25) that ACWI-US going through 1-to 4-month pullback/consolidation.</li>
</ul>


We are seeing snap-back rallies in the largest global economies -- notably the U.S. and Japan, and also Europe to a lesser extent. However...
We're expecting to see lower highs develop at prior breakdown levels at 2690-2700 on the TOPIX and 4884 on the EURO STOXX 50, which are significant resistance levels.
Watching SPX resistance at 5585, or possible test of YTD highs/marginal new high, all fitting with our ongoing belief (since July 25) that ACWI-US going through 1-to 4-month pullback/consolidation.


MSCI ACWI Consolidation Continues; Outlook Remains Neutral; Buys Across Defensives & Other Sectors

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We continue to believe a 1-4-month pullback/consolidation is ongoing. Important supports have been violated, including $110 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and $41 on MSCI EM (EEM-US).</li>
<li>We're shifting our outlook to neutral on $ACWI after being bullish since early-November 2023. Major price breakdowns combined with deteriorating market dynamics have increased the odds of a topping pattern.</li>
<li>Also downgrading Japan to market weight. 7/25/24 we said "Japan's TOPIX breaking below 2800-2815 is near-term bearish, suggests it could pull back to its long-term uptrend, or worse."</li>
</ul>


We continue to believe a 1-4-month pullback/consolidation is ongoing. Important supports have been violated, including $110 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and $41 on MSCI EM (EEM-US).
We're shifting our outlook to neutral on $ACWI after being bullish since early-November 2023. Major price breakdowns combined with deteriorating market dynamics have increased the odds of a topping pattern.
Also downgrading Japan to market weight. 7/25/24 we said "Japan's TOPIX breaking below 2800-2815 is near-term bearish, suggests it could pull back to its long-term uptrend, or worse."


Downgrading Japan; Stay Defensive; Downgrading Outlook on Global Equities $ACWI to Neutral

Israel

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited operates as a pharmaceutical company. The Company develops, manufactures, and markets generic and branded human pharmaceuticals, as well as active pharmaceutical ingredients. Teva Pharmaceutical Industries serves customers worldwide.

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Teva Pharmaceutical Industries (TEVA IT)

Biopharma Week in Review - January 6, 2025

On the obesity front, NVO’s CagriSema fell short of expectations, while the FDA reaffirmed LLY’s GLP-1 shortage resolution, bearing bad news for...

Water Tower Research

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Dec 8)- Eoflow, Celltrion, Takeda, Medipal, SanBio, Aurobindo Pharma

The insight covers key developments in prominent APAC healthcare companies. These developments are expected to impact the financials of the...

Tina Banerjee

Shift Now to Defensives; Snap-Back Rally Testing Resistance $ACWI $SPX; Neutral Outlook Intact

Shift Now to Defensives (Health Care, Telecommunications, Utilities, and Consumer Staples); Snap-Back Rally Testing Resistance $ACWI $SPX; Neutral...

Vermilion Research

MSCI ACWI Consolidation Continues; Outlook Remains Neutral; Buys Across Defensives & Other Sectors

MSCI $ACWI Consolidation Continues; Outlook Remains Neutral; Snap-Back Rallies in Japan $Nikkei $TOPIX, U.S. $SPX, Europe $STOXX fits with our view...

Vermilion Research

Downgrading Japan; Stay Defensive; Downgrading Outlook on Global Equities $ACWI to Neutral

Downgrading Japan TOPIX, Nikkei; Stay Defensive; Downgrading Outlook on Global Equities $ACWI $EEM to Neutral; Many Risk-Off Signals increase odds...

Vermilion Research

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