Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Large-Cap indexes (S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100, and DJI) remain bullish, all hitting new all-time highs last week while continuing to find short-term support at their respective 20-day MAs.</li>
<li>Mid-Caps (S&amp;P 400, Russell Mid-Cap) starting another leg higher following breakouts from 2-month consolidations. Small-caps (S&amp;P 600, Russell 2000) are likely to follow in the footsteps of large- and mid-caps.</li>
<li>Small-Cap indexes have been consolidating for 2.5 months following the historic rally from late-October to late-December 2023, a healthy sign. We expect they are gearing-up for another similar move higher.</li>
</ul>


Large-Cap indexes (S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100, and DJI) remain bullish, all hitting new all-time highs last week while continuing to find short-term support at their respective 20-day MAs.
Mid-Caps (S&amp;P 400, Russell Mid-Cap) starting another leg higher following breakouts from 2-month consolidations. Small-caps (S&amp;P 600, Russell 2000) are likely to follow in the footsteps of large- and mid-caps.
Small-Cap indexes have been consolidating for 2.5 months following the historic rally from late-October to late-December 2023, a healthy sign. We expect they are gearing-up for another similar move higher.


U.S. Dollar Rolling Over; Small-Caps to Follow Mid- And Large-Caps to New Highs; Buys in Cons. Disc.

Research from ACF Equity Research, ACF Equity Research

ACF Equity Research

Research from ACF Equity Research

Accuracy | Clarity | Foresight

ACF was set up to improve the effectiveness of capital markets for smaller and mid-sized companies. The majority of jobs are created by smaller companies not global companies. If we can help improve companies use of capital markets more projects will be completed, more jobs created, more global GDP grown, which in turn helps create more resources for education, leading to equality and opportunity for those who are still oppressed by ignorance and poverty.

ACF Equity Research is an independent research house specialising in the highest specification independent equity research for corporate clients.

We deliver premium independent corporate sponsored equity research characterised by its accuracy, clarity and foresight based upon a fundamental valuation approach.

Our independent research is designed to educate our professional investor readers about your company, with an emphasis on clear and accurate explanations. Our mission is to improve company’s liquidity through credible equity research services, excellent international distribution and reliable access for investment managers.

We believe in the importance and value of clarity, the careful articulation of technical ideas, concepts and solutions.

Our team of analysts are independently minded individuals who believe in thoroughness, technical competence and clear punchy communications.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Lung Cancer Cough (LCC) is an under-served, perhaps unserved therapeutic subsegment of the Lung Cancer/Oncology market.</li><li>57-65% of early diagnosis lung cancer patients suffer from LCC, it is a highly debilitating condition.</li><li>The US lung cancer therapeutics market consensus values range from ~USD 29.9bn in 2023 to ~USD 71.3bn in 2034, suggesting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.2% over our 10 year forecast period.</li></ul>

Lung Cancer Cough (LCC) is an under-served, perhaps unserved therapeutic subsegment of the Lung Cancer/Oncology market.57-65% of early diagnosis lung cancer patients suffer from LCC, it is a highly debilitating condition.The US lung cancer therapeutics market consensus values range from ~USD 29.9bn in 2023 to ~USD 71.3bn in 2034, suggesting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.2% over our 10 year forecast period.

Merus NV - ACF Thematic Oncology Lung Cancer Cough LCC 25042025

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-biologics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22932:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Biologics (207940 KS)</a> recorded 120% YoY increase in operating profit to KRW487B, while net profit increased 109% YoY to KRW376B in 1Q25. Revenue increased 37% YoY to KRW1,298B.</li>
<li>Stable ramp-up of Plant 4 while maintaining the full utilization of Plants 1 through 3, alongside favorable impact of foreign exchange rates drove 1Q25 performance.</li>
<li>1Q25 order intake amounted to approximately 40% of the total annual contract volume in 2024. Despite ongoing tariff threat, Samsung Biologics has maintained full-year guidance of 20–25% revenue growth.</li>
</ul>



Samsung Biologics (207940 KS) recorded 120% YoY increase in operating profit to KRW487B, while net profit increased 109% YoY to KRW376B in 1Q25. Revenue increased 37% YoY to KRW1,298B.
Stable ramp-up of Plant 4 while maintaining the full utilization of Plants 1 through 3, alongside favorable impact of foreign exchange rates drove 1Q25 performance.
1Q25 order intake amounted to approximately 40% of the total annual contract volume in 2024. Despite ongoing tariff threat, Samsung Biologics has maintained full-year guidance of 20–25% revenue growth.


Samsung Biologics (207940 KS): 1Q25 Operating and Net Profits Doubled; 2025 Guidance Maintained

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Daiichi Sankyo received EU approval for Enhertu in breast cancer. Kaken Pharmaceutical in-licensed hereditary angioedema drug candidate sebetralstat for Japan from KalVista Pharmaceuticals for an upfront payment of $11M.</li>
<li>ABL Bio signed £2B+ outlicensing licensing deal with GSK to develop novel medicines for neurodegenerative diseases. Samsung Biologics launched Epysqli, a biosimilar referencing Soliris in the U.S.</li>
<li>U.S. court ruled in favor of Sun Pharma regarding the launch of alopecia areata drug Leqselvi. Mayne Pharma has been involved in a legal proceeding in U.S., brought by TherapeuticsMD.</li>
</ul>


Daiichi Sankyo received EU approval for Enhertu in breast cancer. Kaken Pharmaceutical in-licensed hereditary angioedema drug candidate sebetralstat for Japan from KalVista Pharmaceuticals for an upfront payment of $11M.
ABL Bio signed £2B+ outlicensing licensing deal with GSK to develop novel medicines for neurodegenerative diseases. Samsung Biologics launched Epysqli, a biosimilar referencing Soliris in the U.S.
U.S. court ruled in favor of Sun Pharma regarding the launch of alopecia areata drug Leqselvi. Mayne Pharma has been involved in a legal proceeding in U.S., brought by TherapeuticsMD.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (April 13)- Daiichi Sankyo, Kaken, ABL Bio, Samsung Biologics, Sun Pharma

Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

<ul><li>More troubling signs for vaccines emerged last week, as next month’s annual VRBPAC meeting was canceled and RFK Jr. shrugged off latest measles outbreak.</li><li>The Vaccines and Related Biological Products Advisory Committee (VRBPAC) selects the flu strains for the fall vaccines, six months in advance to allow for manufacturing.</li><li>One unvaccinated child died from the Texas measles outbreak and ~20 were others hospitalized, as RFK Jr. called the outbreak not unusual, even though measles was eradicated in the US in 2000. </li></ul>

More troubling signs for vaccines emerged last week, as next month’s annual VRBPAC meeting was canceled and RFK Jr. shrugged off latest measles outbreak.The Vaccines and Related Biological Products Advisory Committee (VRBPAC) selects the flu strains for the fall vaccines, six months in advance to allow for manufacturing.One unvaccinated child died from the Texas measles outbreak and ~20 were others hospitalized, as RFK Jr. called the outbreak not unusual, even though measles was eradicated in the US in 2000. 

Israel

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd., is a global pharmaceutical company. The Company develops, manufactures, and markets generic and branded human pharmaceuticals as well as active pharmaceutical ingredients.

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Teva Pharmaceutical Sp Adr (TEVA US)

U.S. Dollar Rolling Over; Small-Caps to Follow Mid- And Large-Caps to New Highs; Buys in Cons. Disc.

U.S. Dollar $DXY Rolling Over; 10- and 30-Yr Treasury Yields Hit Major Resistance; Small-Caps to Follow Mid- and Large-Caps to New Highs $IWM $RTY...

Vermilion Research

Merus NV - ACF Thematic Oncology Lung Cancer Cough LCC 25042025

Lung Cancer Cough (LCC) is an under-served, perhaps unserved therapeutic subsegment of the Lung Cancer/Oncology market. 57-65% of early diagnosis...

ACF Equity Research

Samsung Biologics (207940 KS): 1Q25 Operating and Net Profits Doubled; 2025 Guidance Maintained

Samsung Biologics sees 120% operating profit growth in 1Q25, driven by stable plant utilizations and Fx tailwind. The company maintained full-year...

Tina Banerjee

APAC Healthcare Weekly (April 13)- Daiichi Sankyo, Kaken, ABL Bio, Samsung Biologics, Sun Pharma

Daiichi got EU approval for Enhertu. Kaken Pharma signed inlicensing deal, while ABL stuck outlicensing deal. Sun Pharma's Leqselvi is now free to...

Tina Banerjee

Biopharma Week in Review - March 3, 2025

More troubling signs for vaccines emerged last week, as next month’s annual VRBPAC meeting was canceled and RFK Jr. shrugged off latest measles...

Water Tower Research

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U.S. Dollar Rolling Over; Small-Caps to Follow Mid- And Large-Caps to New Highs; Buys in Cons. Disc.

U.S. Dollar $DXY Rolling Over; 10- and 30-Yr Treasury Yields Hit Major Resistance; Small-Caps to Follow Mid- and Large-Caps to New Highs $IWM $RTY...

Vermilion Research

Merus NV - ACF Thematic Oncology Lung Cancer Cough LCC 25042025

Lung Cancer Cough (LCC) is an under-served, perhaps unserved therapeutic subsegment of the Lung Cancer/Oncology market. 57-65% of early diagnosis...

ACF Equity Research

Samsung Biologics (207940 KS): 1Q25 Operating and Net Profits Doubled; 2025 Guidance Maintained

​Samsung Biologics sees 120% operating profit growth in 1Q25, driven by stable plant utilizations and Fx tailwind. The company maintained full-year...

Tina Banerjee

APAC Healthcare Weekly (April 13)- Daiichi Sankyo, Kaken, ABL Bio, Samsung Biologics, Sun Pharma

Daiichi got EU approval for Enhertu. Kaken Pharma signed inlicensing deal, while ABL stuck outlicensing deal. Sun Pharma's Leqselvi is now free to...

Tina Banerjee

Biopharma Week in Review - March 3, 2025

More troubling signs for vaccines emerged last week, as next month’s annual VRBPAC meeting was canceled and RFK Jr. shrugged off latest measles...

Water Tower Research

Samsung Biologics sees 120% operating profit growth in 1Q25, driven by stable plant utilizations and Fx tailwind. The company maintained full-year...