Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>1Q26 earnings came in strong as expected and should mark the best quarter of the year, supported by a high GRM base, stock gains, and one-off gains.</li><li>We downgrade our rating to Neutral (from Outperform) after the share price already reflected strong 1Q26 earnings and valuation has become more stretched relative to our unchanged 12M FV of Bt48.25.</li><li>However, once these challenges ease, catalysts from potential downstream partnerships within the PTT group and progress on the Clean Fuel Project (CFP; full COD expected in 3Q28E) should provide support for the stock going forward.</li></ul>

1Q26 earnings came in strong as expected and should mark the best quarter of the year, supported by a high GRM base, stock gains, and one-off gains.We downgrade our rating to Neutral (from Outperform) after the share price already reflected strong 1Q26 earnings and valuation has become more stretched relative to our unchanged 12M FV of Bt48.25.However, once these challenges ease, catalysts from potential downstream partnerships within the PTT group and progress on the Clean Fuel Project (CFP; full COD expected in 3Q28E) should provide support for the stock going forward.

THAI OIL Plc. (TOP): 1Q26 Earnings Met Forecast And Marked The Year’s Peak

Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>Demand across the Americas rose 4%, as a rebound in US consumption offset a 7% drop in Latin America.</li><li>Europe's lubricants demand fell 4% in June, a second straight monthly decline, after rising for three straight months to April.</li><li>Asia's lubricants demand outside China fell 2% in June, a second straight monthly decline.</li></ul>

Demand across the Americas rose 4%, as a rebound in US consumption offset a 7% drop in Latin America.Europe's lubricants demand fell 4% in June, a second straight monthly decline, after rising for three straight months to April.Asia's lubricants demand outside China fell 2% in June, a second straight monthly decline.

Global Base Oils Supply Surplus Shrinks In June

<ul><li>Europe's supply held relatively steady at more than 370,000 tonnes, close to where it has stood for most of the past six months.</li><li>Americas supply dipped as plant maintenance in Brazil combined with US output falling to a 14-month low.</li><li>Middle East supply fell to its lowest level in more than seven years, with a slump in Group III shipments outweighing a rise in flows from Saudi Arabia.</li></ul>

Europe's supply held relatively steady at more than 370,000 tonnes, close to where it has stood for most of the past six months.Americas supply dipped as plant maintenance in Brazil combined with US output falling to a 14-month low.Middle East supply fell to its lowest level in more than seven years, with a slump in Group III shipments outweighing a rise in flows from Saudi Arabia.

Global Base Oils Supply Falls To 16-Month Low In June

<ul><li>Middle East disruption is drawing more Asian base oils toward the Americas, reducing the surplus normally available in Asia just as seasonal demand starts to recover</li></ul><ul><li>Middle East disruption is leaving the US short of the Group III volumes it normally receives, tightening its balance at a time when summer surplus would otherwise move to export markets.</li><li>Wide US arbitrage is drawing more Asian base oils toward the Americas, adding to established Group III flows.</li></ul>

Middle East disruption is drawing more Asian base oils toward the Americas, reducing the surplus normally available in Asia just as seasonal demand starts to recoverMiddle East disruption is leaving the US short of the Group III volumes it normally receives, tightening its balance at a time when summer surplus would otherwise move to export markets.Wide US arbitrage is drawing more Asian base oils toward the Americas, adding to established Group III flows.

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 4 Sept '26

<ul><li>A large cargo of Group II base oils loaded from Taiwan in late August before heading to South Korea, set to arrive this week.</li><li>Shipments from Taiwan typically move to China, Southeast Asia or India rather than to South Korea.</li><li>Singapore-to-US shipments extended their surge for a second week, even as total Singapore exports declined.</li></ul>

A large cargo of Group II base oils loaded from Taiwan in late August before heading to South Korea, set to arrive this week.Shipments from Taiwan typically move to China, Southeast Asia or India rather than to South Korea.Singapore-to-US shipments extended their surge for a second week, even as total Singapore exports declined.

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 4 September

Thailand

Thai Oil is Thailand's largest integrated petroleum refining and petrochemical company, operating one of Asia's most complex single-site refineries with a crude distillation capacity of 275,000 barrels per day. The company produces a wide range of refined petroleum products, petrochemicals, and lube base oil, alongside engaging in power generation and other supporting businesses. Thai Oil was founded in 1961 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

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Thai Oil (TOP TB)

THAI OIL Plc. (TOP): 1Q26 Earnings Met Forecast And Marked The Year’s Peak

1Q26 earnings came in strong as expected and should mark the best quarter of the year, supported by a high GRM base, stock gains, and one-off gains.

Krungthai XSpring

Global Base Oils Supply Surplus Shrinks In June

Demand across the Americas rose 4%, as a rebound in US consumption offset a 7% drop in Latin America. Europe's lubricants demand fell 4% in June,...

Base Oil News

Global Base Oils Supply Falls To 16-Month Low In June

Europe's supply held relatively steady at more than 370,000 tonnes, close to where it has stood for most of the past six months. Americas supply...

Base Oil News

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 4 Sept '26

Middle East disruption is drawing more Asian base oils toward the Americas, reducing the surplus normally available in Asia just as seasonal...

Base Oil News

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 4 September

A large cargo of Group II base oils loaded from Taiwan in late August before heading to South Korea, set to arrive this week. Shipments from...

Base Oil News

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