Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 December and will end on 28 February.</li>
<li>Over halfway through the review period, we forecast 39 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 stock could be added to LargeCap, 3 to MidCap and 2 to SmallCap.</li>
<li>Three potential downward migrations were deleted from a global index in November. Now, four more potential downward migrations could be deleted from the same global index in February.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 December and will end on 28 February.
Over halfway through the review period, we forecast 39 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 stock could be added to LargeCap, 3 to MidCap and 2 to SmallCap.
Three potential downward migrations were deleted from a global index in November. Now, four more potential downward migrations could be deleted from the same global index in February.


KOSPI Size Indices: When Active Met Passive

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 December and will end on 28 February.</li>
<li>A quarter of the way through the review period, we forecast 37 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 could be added to LargeCap, 3 to MidCap and 2 to SmallCap.</li>
<li>Four downward migrations were deleted from a global index in November. Now, three more downward migrations could be deleted from the same global index in February.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 December and will end on 28 February.
A quarter of the way through the review period, we forecast 37 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 could be added to LargeCap, 3 to MidCap and 2 to SmallCap.
Four downward migrations were deleted from a global index in November. Now, three more downward migrations could be deleted from the same global index in February.


KOSPI Size Indices: Overlap Between Global Passive Selling & Downward Migrations

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commences on 1 December and will end on 28 February.</li>
<li>We see 5 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 1 new addition to MidCap.</li>
<li>The migrations from MidCap to LargeCap have outperformed the other migration categories. Four potential LargeCap to MidCap migrations will be deleted from a global index later this month.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commences on 1 December and will end on 28 February.
We see 5 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 1 new addition to MidCap.
The migrations from MidCap to LargeCap have outperformed the other migration categories. Four potential LargeCap to MidCap migrations will be deleted from a global index later this month.


KOSPI Size Indices: Global Index Selling Leads to Potential Downward Migration

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The Born Korea reported excellent book building results. It priced its IPO at 34,000 won, which is 21% higher than the high end of the IPO price range.</li>
<li>A total of 2,216 institutions participated in the IPO demand forecast and the competition rate was 734 to 1.</li>
<li>According to our valuation analysis, it suggests a base case implied price of 40,230 won, which is 18% higher than the IPO price. </li>
</ul>


The Born Korea reported excellent book building results. It priced its IPO at 34,000 won, which is 21% higher than the high end of the IPO price range.
A total of 2,216 institutions participated in the IPO demand forecast and the competition rate was 734 to 1.
According to our valuation analysis, it suggests a base case implied price of 40,230 won, which is 18% higher than the IPO price. 


The Born Korea IPO Book Building Results Analysis

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we compare the IPO valuation of The Born Korea (475560 KS) versus the recent M&amp;A valuation of Compose Coffee by Jollibee Foods (JFC PM).</li>
<li>Using the recent M&amp;A multiples of Compose Coffee by Jollibee Foods suggests an attractive upside to The Born Korea (relative to the IPO price range).</li>
<li><em><strong>No other listed company in Korea has a restaurant business model that is consistently profitable, with strong balance sheet, and solid sales growth as The Born Korea.  </strong></em></li>
</ul>


In this insight, we compare the IPO valuation of The Born Korea (475560 KS) versus the recent M&amp;A valuation of Compose Coffee by Jollibee Foods (JFC PM).
Using the recent M&amp;A multiples of Compose Coffee by Jollibee Foods suggests an attractive upside to The Born Korea (relative to the IPO price range).
No other listed company in Korea has a restaurant business model that is consistently profitable, with strong balance sheet, and solid sales growth as The Born Korea.  


The Born Korea IPO Valuation Vs Recent M&A Valuation of Compose Coffee by Jollibee Foods

South Korea

The goal of The Born Korea, which operates a brand with reasonable prices and popular menus, is to create a meal where all customers can enjoy a hearty meal at an affordable price while also feeling happy.

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The Born Korea (475560 KS)

KOSPI Size Indices: When Active Met Passive

There could be 39 migrations in March. Most of the Large to Mid migrations have been, or will be, deleted from a large global index. Along with...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI Size Indices: Overlap Between Global Passive Selling & Downward Migrations

There could be 37 migrations for the KOSPI Size indices in March, plus 1 LargeCap and 3 MidCap inclusions. The MidCap to LargeCap migrations have...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI Size Indices: Global Index Selling Leads to Potential Downward Migration

There could be 29 migrations for the KOSPI Size indices in March, plus 1 LargeCap and 1 MidCap inclusion. The MidCap to LargeCap migrations have...

Brian Freitas

The Born Korea IPO Book Building Results Analysis

The Born Korea reported excellent book building results. It priced its IPO at 34,000 won, which is 21% higher than the high end of the IPO price...

Douglas Kim

The Born Korea IPO Valuation Vs Recent M&A Valuation of Compose Coffee by Jollibee Foods

Using the recent M&A multiples of Compose Coffee by Jollibee Foods suggests an attractive upside to The Born Korea (relative to the IPO price range).

Douglas Kim

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)