IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rigaku-holdings-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43950:1" rel="noopener">Rigaku Holdings (268A JP)</a> is Japan’s leading manufacturer of X-ray analysis, measurement, and testing instruments. It is seeking to raise up to US$737 million.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/rigaku-holdings-268a-jp-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:161041" rel="noopener">Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/rigaku-holdings-268a-jp-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:161232" rel="noopener">Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) IPO: The Bear Case</a>.</li>
<li>In this note, we discuss valuation. Our analysis suggests that Rigaku is attractively valued at the IPO price compared to peer multiples.</li>
</ul>



Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) is Japan’s leading manufacturer of X-ray analysis, measurement, and testing instruments. It is seeking to raise up to US$737 million.
We previously discussed the IPO in Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) IPO: The Bull Case and Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) IPO: The Bear Case.
In this note, we discuss valuation. Our analysis suggests that Rigaku is attractively valued at the IPO price compared to peer multiples.


Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) IPO: Valuation Insights

Equity Long-Short Analyst

Pyari Menon

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>With its <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/danaher-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8243:1" rel="noopener">Danaher Corp (DHR US)</a> heritage, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/veralto-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40472:1" rel="noopener">Veralto (VLTO US)</a> has built a foundation based on durable and recurring sales growth, high profitability, and strong cash generation.</li>
<li>Veralto's products and services are mission-critical yet account for less than 1% of client costs, leading to high switching costs and ensuring customer retention and financial resilience through economic cycles.</li>
<li>Veralto holds market leadership in both its Water Quality (WQ) and Product Quality &amp; Innovation (PQI) segments, which positions it well for the increasing regulatory and environmental demands. .</li>
</ul>


With its Danaher Corp (DHR US) heritage, Veralto (VLTO US) has built a foundation based on durable and recurring sales growth, high profitability, and strong cash generation.
Veralto's products and services are mission-critical yet account for less than 1% of client costs, leading to high switching costs and ensuring customer retention and financial resilience through economic cycles.
Veralto holds market leadership in both its Water Quality (WQ) and Product Quality &amp; Innovation (PQI) segments, which positions it well for the increasing regulatory and environmental demands. .


Veralto: The Power of Customer Dependency and Recurring Revenue

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rigaku-holdings-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43950:1" rel="noopener">Rigaku Holdings (268A JP)</a> is Japan’s leading manufacturer of X-ray analysis, measurement and testing instruments. It is seeking to raise up to US$760 million.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/rigaku-holdings-268a-jp-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:161041" rel="noopener">Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The bear case rests on weakening forward growth indicators, China revenue risk, rising cash conversion cycles, mid-tier FCF margin and large post-IPO share overhang. </li>
</ul>



Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) is Japan’s leading manufacturer of X-ray analysis, measurement and testing instruments. It is seeking to raise up to US$760 million.
In Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on weakening forward growth indicators, China revenue risk, rising cash conversion cycles, mid-tier FCF margin and large post-IPO share overhang. 


Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) IPO: The Bear Case

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rigaku-holdings-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43950:1" rel="noopener">Rigaku Holdings (268A JP)</a> is Japan’s leading manufacturer of X-ray analysis, measurement and testing instruments. It is seeking to raise up to US$760 million. </li>
<li>In Japan, Rigaku’s XRD (X-ray diffraction) has a high market share of 75%. Around 70% of its revenue is derived from customers outside Japan.   </li>
<li>The bull case rests on high customer switching costs, peer-leading revenue growth, top-quartile profitability, FCF generation, and low leverage.</li>
</ul>



Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) is Japan’s leading manufacturer of X-ray analysis, measurement and testing instruments. It is seeking to raise up to US$760 million. 
In Japan, Rigaku’s XRD (X-ray diffraction) has a high market share of 75%. Around 70% of its revenue is derived from customers outside Japan.   
The bull case rests on high customer switching costs, peer-leading revenue growth, top-quartile profitability, FCF generation, and low leverage.


Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) IPO: The Bull Case

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rigaku-holdings-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43950:1" rel="noopener">Rigaku Holdings (268A JP)</a> provides cutting-edge analytical solutions centered on X-ray technology globally. The company is one of the largest players globally in X-ray diffraction instrument market.</li>
<li>The company has filed for an IPO on the Tokyo Stock Exchange and plans to raise proceeds of around US$900m from the IPO at a potential valuation of US$2bn.</li>
<li>In this insight, we discuss Rigaku’s business model, key drivers, financials and outlook for the company.</li>
</ul>



Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) provides cutting-edge analytical solutions centered on X-ray technology globally. The company is one of the largest players globally in X-ray diffraction instrument market.
The company has filed for an IPO on the Tokyo Stock Exchange and plans to raise proceeds of around US$900m from the IPO at a potential valuation of US$2bn.
In this insight, we discuss Rigaku’s business model, key drivers, financials and outlook for the company.


United States

Thermo Fisher Scientific, Inc. manufactures scientific instruments, consumables, and chemicals. The Company offers analytical instruments, laboratory equipment, software, services, consumables, reagents, chemicals, and supplies to pharmaceutical and biotech companies, hospitals and clinical diagnostic labs, universities, research institutions, and government agencies.

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Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO UN)

Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) IPO: Valuation Insights

Rigaku aims to raise US$0.7 billion in a purely secondary raise. Our analysis suggests that Rigaku is attractively valued at the IPO price compared...

Arun George

Veralto: The Power of Customer Dependency and Recurring Revenue

Veralto's products and services are typically low cost but critical leading to high recurring sales, solid profitability and a leadership position...

Pyari Menon

Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case rests on weakening forward growth indicators, China revenue risk, rising cash conversion cycles, mid-tier FCF margin and large post...

Arun George

Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) IPO: The Bull Case

The bull case rests on high customer switching costs, peer-leading revenue growth, top-quartile profitability, FCF generation, and low leverage.

Arun George

Rigaku Holdings IPO: Initial Thoughts

Rigaku, a global leader in scientific instruments based on X-ray technology, has filed for an IPO in Japan with plans to raise $900m at a...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) IPO: Valuation Insights

Rigaku aims to raise US$0.7 billion in a purely secondary raise. Our analysis suggests that Rigaku is attractively valued at the IPO price compared...

Arun George

Veralto: The Power of Customer Dependency and Recurring Revenue

Veralto's products and services are typically low cost but critical leading to high recurring sales, solid profitability and a leadership position...

Pyari Menon

Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case rests on weakening forward growth indicators, China revenue risk, rising cash conversion cycles, mid-tier FCF margin and large post...

Arun George

Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) IPO: The Bull Case

The bull case rests on high customer switching costs, peer-leading revenue growth, top-quartile profitability, FCF generation, and low leverage.

Arun George

Rigaku Holdings IPO: Initial Thoughts

​Rigaku, a global leader in scientific instruments based on X-ray technology, has filed for an IPO in Japan with plans to raise $900m at a...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Rigaku, a global leader in scientific instruments based on X-ray technology, has filed for an IPO in Japan with plans to raise $900m at a...