Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Capital Markets

Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc / Equity Capital Markets

<ul><li>Thermo Fisher reached the target price from our last report as the company had a solid quarter with revenues shooting up 34% and an organic growth of 28% as compared to the prior year's quarterly results.</li><li>However, Thermo Fisher witnessed a visible slowdown in its Covid-19 related revenues which fell to 9 billion from the 9 billion generated in the last quarter.</li><li>The management raised the revenue guidance for the year indicating an expected growth of 11% but it cut down the expected Covid-19 revenues to $4.9 billion for the year.</li></ul>

Thermo Fisher reached the target price from our last report as the company had a solid quarter with revenues shooting up 34% and an organic growth of 28% as compared to the prior year's quarterly results.However, Thermo Fisher witnessed a visible slowdown in its Covid-19 related revenues which fell to 9 billion from the 9 billion generated in the last quarter.The management raised the revenue guidance for the year indicating an expected growth of 11% but it cut down the expected Covid-19 revenues to $4.9 billion for the year.

Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. - Investment Thesis

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<div class="content-highlight"><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sd-biosensor-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33333:1" rel="noopener">SD Biosensor (SDBIOZ KS)</a> is getting ready for an IPO in Korea next month. SD Biosensor will be one of the largest IPOs in Korea in 2021. The IPO price range is from 66,000 won to 85,000 won. At the high end of the IPO price range, the company will raise 1.3 trillion won. The bookbuilding for the institutional investors starts on 10 June. According to the bankers' valuation, at the high end of the IPO price range, the company would be valued at 8.9 trillion won ($7.9 billion). The lead underwriters of this IPO include NH Investment &amp; Securities and Korea Investment &amp; Securities. </div>Established in 2010, SD Biosensor is a bio-diagnostic company that provides in vitro diagnostic products. This is one of the biggest companies in Korea in the field of in-vitro diagnostic products. According to the company, it exported <a href="https://www.edaily.co.kr/news/read?newsId=03634246629015792&amp;mediaCodeNo=257&amp;OutLnkChk=Y" target="_blank" rel="noopener">400 million COVID-19 diagnostic kit</a> related products from 2020 to January 2021.The company's sales surged from 73 billion won in 2019 to 1,686.2 billion won in 2020. Operating profit also jumped from 1.5 billion won in 2019 to 738.3 billion won in 2020.<table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col>
<col>
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="width: 212pt;">Deal Specifics of the SD Bioscience IPO:</td>
<td style="width: 409pt;"> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Lead underwriters of the IPO: </td>
<td style="width: 409pt;">NH Investment &amp; Securities, Korea Investment &amp; Securities</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Expected IPO price per share: </td>
<td style="width: 409pt;">66,000 won (low)/85,000 won (high)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Number of Shares for IPO:</td>
<td style="width: 409pt;">15.55m shares (10.37m new shares; 5.18m old shares)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>IPO base deal size: </td>
<td style="width: 409pt;">US$908m (low);  US$1,170m (high)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Expected common shares outstanding, fully diluted (post-IPO):  </td>
<td style="width: 409pt;">104.89m shares</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Expected market cap after IPO:</td>
<td style="width: 409pt;">6,923 billion won (low)/8,916 billion won (high)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Book open: </td>
<td style="text-align: left; width: 409pt;">10-Jun-21</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Book closed:</td>
<td style="text-align: left; width: 409pt;">11-Jun-21</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Listing date: </td>
<td style="text-align: left; width: 409pt;">TBD</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Source: Company data</td>
<td style="width: 409pt;"> </td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

SD Biosensor (SDBIOZ KS) is getting ready for an IPO in Korea next month. SD Biosensor will be one of the largest IPOs in Korea in 2021. The IPO price range is from 66,000 won to 85,000 won. At the high end of the IPO price range, the company will raise 1.3 trillion won. The bookbuilding for the institutional investors starts on 10 June. According to the bankers' valuation, at the high end of the IPO price range, the company would be valued at 8.9 trillion won ($7.9 billion). The lead underwriters of this IPO include NH Investment &amp; Securities and Korea Investment &amp; Securities. Established in 2010, SD Biosensor is a bio-diagnostic company that provides in vitro diagnostic products. This is one of the biggest companies in Korea in the field of in-vitro diagnostic products. According to the company, it exported 400 million COVID-19 diagnostic kit related products from 2020 to January 2021.The company's sales surged from 73 billion won in 2019 to 1,686.2 billion won in 2020. Operating profit also jumped from 1.5 billion won in 2019 to 738.3 billion won in 2020.






Deal Specifics of the SD Bioscience IPO:
 


Lead underwriters of the IPO: 
NH Investment &amp; Securities, Korea Investment &amp; Securities


Expected IPO price per share: 
66,000 won (low)/85,000 won (high)


Number of Shares for IPO:
15.55m shares (10.37m new shares; 5.18m old shares)


IPO base deal size: 
US$908m (low);  US$1,170m (high)


Expected common shares outstanding, fully diluted (post-IPO):  
104.89m shares


Expected market cap after IPO:
6,923 billion won (low)/8,916 billion won (high)


Book open: 
10-Jun-21


Book closed:
11-Jun-21


Listing date: 
TBD


Source: Company data
 




Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Index Rebalance

STOXX will announce the results of the September review of the DAX indices on 3 September post market close. The constituent changes will be effective from the close of trading on 18 September and passive funds indexed to the DAX will need to trade at the time.STOXX has clearly flagged <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wirecard-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21743:1" rel="noopener">Wirecard AG (WDI GR)</a> as not eligible for index membership and the stock will be deleted. We see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delivery-hero-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24416:1" rel="noopener">Delivery Hero Ag (DHER GY)</a> as a high probability addition replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wirecard-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21743:1" rel="noopener">Wirecard AG (WDI GR)</a>. The change could happen as soon as 21 August if the STOXX consultation on deleting companies that have filed for insolvency immediately gets enough support (which it most probably will). The results of the consultation should be announced later today.We also see a high probability of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/covestro-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21574:1" rel="noopener">Covestro AG (1COV GR)</a> being deleted from the DAX, but it could still remain in the index if <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thermo-fisher-scientific-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7375:1" rel="noopener">Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc (TMO US)</a>'s tender offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qiagen-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26865:1" rel="noopener">QIAGEN NV (QIA GY)</a> is successful. Results of the tender off will be announced 13 August or soon after.

STOXX will announce the results of the September review of the DAX indices on 3 September post market close. The constituent changes will be effective from the close of trading on 18 September and passive funds indexed to the DAX will need to trade at the time.STOXX has clearly flagged Wirecard AG (WDI GR) as not eligible for index membership and the stock will be deleted. We see Delivery Hero Ag (DHER GY) as a high probability addition replacing Wirecard AG (WDI GR). The change could happen as soon as 21 August if the STOXX consultation on deleting companies that have filed for insolvency immediately gets enough support (which it most probably will). The results of the consultation should be announced later today.We also see a high probability of Covestro AG (1COV GR) being deleted from the DAX, but it could still remain in the index if Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc (TMO US)'s tender offer for QIAGEN NV (QIA GY) is successful. Results of the tender off will be announced 13 August or soon after.

DAX Index Rebalance Preview - Delivery Hero an Inclusion Shoo-In, Covestro Is at Risk

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

This is the largest healthcare sector M&amp;A Deal announced so far in 2020. Earlier this year, in March, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thermo-fisher-scientific-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7375:1" rel="noopener">Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc (TMO US)</a> agreed to acquire <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qiagen-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26865:1" rel="noopener">QIAGEN NV (QIA GY)</a> in a deal that originally valued the company at an EV of ~US$11bn. Last month, the Offer <a href="https://corporate.qiagen.com/newsroom/press-releases/2020/20200716_amended_offer" target="_blank" rel="noopener">was bumped</a> from the original offer price of €39.00 to €43.00 and the minimum acceptance threshold was reduced from 75% to 66.67%. Although the COVID-19 pandemic resulted in a slowdown in Deals in the early part of the year, M&amp;A activity in the medical devices space seems to be picking up again.More recently, on 2nd August 2020, Germany-based medtech company <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/siemens-healthineers-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29221:1" rel="noopener">Siemens Healthineers AG (SHL GR)</a> announced they would acquire US-based medical-devices maker <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/varian-medical-systems-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7308:1" rel="noopener">Varian Medical Systems (VAR US)</a> in an all-cash deal that valued the company at ~US$16.4bn. The Deal is conditional on the receipt of Varian shareholder approval and regulatory approvals. The Offer Price is $177.50 per share and the transaction is expected to close in the first half of calendar year 2021. As always, there is more below the fold.

This is the largest healthcare sector M&amp;A Deal announced so far in 2020. Earlier this year, in March, Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc (TMO US) agreed to acquire QIAGEN NV (QIA GY) in a deal that originally valued the company at an EV of ~US$11bn. Last month, the Offer was bumped from the original offer price of €39.00 to €43.00 and the minimum acceptance threshold was reduced from 75% to 66.67%. Although the COVID-19 pandemic resulted in a slowdown in Deals in the early part of the year, M&amp;A activity in the medical devices space seems to be picking up again.More recently, on 2nd August 2020, Germany-based medtech company Siemens Healthineers AG (SHL GR) announced they would acquire US-based medical-devices maker Varian Medical Systems (VAR US) in an all-cash deal that valued the company at ~US$16.4bn. The Deal is conditional on the receipt of Varian shareholder approval and regulatory approvals. The Offer Price is $177.50 per share and the transaction is expected to close in the first half of calendar year 2021. As always, there is more below the fold. 

Varian-Siemens Deal: DAX Promotion on the Cards for the Acquirer

IPO and L/S equity, 2015 Starmine top stock picker, Global Equity Research Ltd

Rickin Thakrar

IPO and L/S equity, 2015 Starmine top stock picker

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qiagen-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26865:1" rel="noopener">QIAGEN NV (QIA GY)</a> shares have gone from strength to strength with the stock trading above terms and then receiving a bump bid late last week. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thermo-fisher-scientific-inc-49322cfa-b354-4c3d-ac3b-f4e91aead32b" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26834:1" rel="noopener">Thermo Fisher (TMO UN)</a> raised its bid on Qiagen by 900 million euros (1bn USD) to 43 euros per share. This represents a c10% increase in the bid price. In addition, Thermo Fisher has reduced the minimum acceptance threshold to 66.67% of outstanding ordinary share capital from 75%, while extending the deal deadline by two weeks until August 10. Prominent hedge fund Davidson Kempner said it would still reject the offer and noted a price of between 48-52 euros would be appropriate. (Source: Reuters)  Indeed, Qiagen, a biotech company that makes products related to coronavirus testing, has seen a swelling of demand for its products and also recently upgraded its earnings forecasts. We give our updated view on Qiagen below the fold. Our previous positive research on the deal can be viewed here:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/feedback-from-qiagen-ir-regarding-thermo-fisher-deal" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:37771" rel="noopener">Feedback from Qiagen IR Regarding Thermo Fisher Deal</a> <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/thermofisher-bids-for-qiagen-a-covid-19-pivot" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:37556" rel="noopener">Thermofisher Bids for Qiagen - A COVID-19 Pivot?</a>

QIAGEN NV (QIA GY) shares have gone from strength to strength with the stock trading above terms and then receiving a bump bid late last week. Thermo Fisher (TMO UN) raised its bid on Qiagen by 900 million euros (1bn USD) to 43 euros per share. This represents a c10% increase in the bid price. In addition, Thermo Fisher has reduced the minimum acceptance threshold to 66.67% of outstanding ordinary share capital from 75%, while extending the deal deadline by two weeks until August 10. Prominent hedge fund Davidson Kempner said it would still reject the offer and noted a price of between 48-52 euros would be appropriate. (Source: Reuters)  Indeed, Qiagen, a biotech company that makes products related to coronavirus testing, has seen a swelling of demand for its products and also recently upgraded its earnings forecasts. We give our updated view on Qiagen below the fold. Our previous positive research on the deal can be viewed here:Feedback from Qiagen IR Regarding Thermo Fisher Deal Thermofisher Bids for Qiagen - A COVID-19 Pivot? 

Qiagen/Thermo Fisher: Qiagen Gets a Bump – Is It Enough to Satisfy Shareholders?

United States

Thermo Fisher Scientific, Inc. manufactures scientific instruments, consumables, and chemicals.  The Company offers analytical instruments, laboratory equipment, software, services, consumables, reagents, chemicals, and supplies to pharmaceutical and biotech companies, hospitals and clinical diagnostic labs, universities, research institutions, and government agencies.

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Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc (TMO US)

Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. - Investment Thesis

Thermo Fisher reached the target price from our last report as the company had a solid quarter with revenues shooting up 34% and an organic growth...

Baptista Research

SD Biosensor IPO Preview

SD Biosensor is one of the biggest companies in Korea in the field of in-vitro diagnostic products.At the high end of the IPO price range, the...

Douglas Kim

DAX Index Rebalance Preview - Delivery Hero an Inclusion Shoo-In, Covestro Is at Risk

STOXX will announce the results of the September review of the DAX indices on 3 September post market close. The constituent changes will be...

Brian Freitas

Varian-Siemens Deal: DAX Promotion on the Cards for the Acquirer

This is the largest healthcare sector M&A Deal announced so far in 2020. Earlier this year, in March, Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc (TMO US)...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Qiagen/Thermo Fisher: Qiagen Gets a Bump – Is It Enough to Satisfy Shareholders?

QIAGEN NV (QIA GY) shares have gone from strength to strength with the stock trading above terms and then receiving a bump bid late last week....

Rickin Thakrar

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