Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/srisawad-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9480:1" rel="noopener">Srisawad Power 1979 (SAWAD TB)</a> is likely to join the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX)</a> in early March following the DTAC/TRUE merger.</li>
<li>Then there should be one change in June with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-life-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34915:1" rel="noopener">Thai Life Insurance (TLI TB)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jaymart-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12053:1" rel="noopener">Jaymart PCL (JMART TB)</a> in the index.</li>
<li>There is one stock close to failing the liquidity test and that could lead to another change with a few stocks vying for index inclusion.</li>
</ul>



Srisawad Power 1979 (SAWAD TB) is likely to join the Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX) in early March following the DTAC/TRUE merger.
Then there should be one change in June with Thai Life Insurance (TLI TB) replacing Jaymart PCL (JMART TB) in the index.
There is one stock close to failing the liquidity test and that could lead to another change with a few stocks vying for index inclusion.


SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Changes from Now to June

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the resistance at 1,615/1,620 points and the support at 1,600/1,597 points.</li><li>Negative factors include the Thai trade balance in November, which is forecast to continue to mark a deficit, albeit to a lesser extent than in October.</li><li>We thus recommend holding cash or brief speculation.</li></ul>

The SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the resistance at 1,615/1,620 points and the support at 1,600/1,597 points.Negative factors include the Thai trade balance in November, which is forecast to continue to mark a deficit, albeit to a lesser extent than in October.We thus recommend holding cash or brief speculation.

Delta Electronics (Thailand) / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/central-plaza-hotel-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18213:1" rel="noopener">Central Plaza Hotel</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/com7-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27411:1" rel="noopener">Com7 PCL</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-thai-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20912:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics Thai</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ratch-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15338:1" rel="noopener">Ratch Group</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bangkok-life-assurance-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16237:1" rel="noopener">Bangkok Life Assurance</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/irpc-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19051:1" rel="noopener">IRPC PCL</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kce-electronics-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1892:1" rel="noopener">KCE Electronics PCL</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/srisawad-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9480:1" rel="noopener">Srisawad Power</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">SET 50 Index</a>. </li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy between 2-4 days of ADV on the adds while selling between 0.6-3 days of ADV on the deletes.</li>
<li>The adds have significantly outperformed the deletes over the last few months. We'd use any big moves over the next couple of days to trim positions.</li>
</ul>



Central Plaza Hotel, Com7 PCL, Delta Electronics Thai and Ratch Group will replace Bangkok Life Assurance, IRPC PCL, KCE Electronics PCL and Srisawad Power in the SET 50 Index. 
Passive trackers will need to buy between 2-4 days of ADV on the adds while selling between 0.6-3 days of ADV on the deletes.
The adds have significantly outperformed the deletes over the last few months. We'd use any big moves over the next couple of days to trim positions.


SET50 Index Rebalance: CENTEL, COM7, DELTA, RATCH Added; BLA, IRPC, KCE, SAWAD Out

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bumrungrad-hospital-pub-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:883:1" rel="noopener">Bumrungrad Hospital Pub Co (BH TB)</a> is seeing continued business recovery. Robust inflows of international business and solid Thai and expat revenue lifted hospital revenue 20% higher than pre-COVID level.</li>
<li>Sustained high volumes of inquiries and appointment requests remain a strong forward indicator. Bed availability is expected to increase in 4Q after the completion of latest phase of renovations.</li>
<li>Net profit margin reached to a record high of 26.2% in 3Q. Favorable payor mix, cost management, continued discount reduction, and economies of scale should further drive margin gains.    </li>
</ul>



Bumrungrad Hospital Pub Co (BH TB) is seeing continued business recovery. Robust inflows of international business and solid Thai and expat revenue lifted hospital revenue 20% higher than pre-COVID level.
Sustained high volumes of inquiries and appointment requests remain a strong forward indicator. Bed availability is expected to increase in 4Q after the completion of latest phase of renovations.
Net profit margin reached to a record high of 26.2% in 3Q. Favorable payor mix, cost management, continued discount reduction, and economies of scale should further drive margin gains.    


Bumrungrad Hospital Pub Co (BH TB): Robust International Business Push Revenue Above Pre-COVID Level

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bumrungrad-hospital-pub-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:883:1" rel="noopener">Bumrungrad Hospital Pub Co (BH TB)</a> reported strong Q2 2022 results, with revenue growth of 64% y/y, mainy driven by a 121% y/y increase in revenue from non-Thai patients.</li>
<li>Despite international patient volume is recovering, it is still lower than pre-COVID levels. Non-Thai patients contributed 66.2% of total revenue in Q2 2019, higher than 62.3% reported for Q2 2022.</li>
<li>Thailand targets 10 million foreign tourist arrivals this year, which should augur well for Bumrungrad.</li>
</ul>



Bumrungrad Hospital Pub Co (BH TB) reported strong Q2 2022 results, with revenue growth of 64% y/y, mainy driven by a 121% y/y increase in revenue from non-Thai patients.
Despite international patient volume is recovering, it is still lower than pre-COVID levels. Non-Thai patients contributed 66.2% of total revenue in Q2 2019, higher than 62.3% reported for Q2 2022.
Thailand targets 10 million foreign tourist arrivals this year, which should augur well for Bumrungrad.


Bumrungrad Hospital Pub Co (BH TB): Flying High on Return of Medical Tourism

Thailand

Thonburi Healthcare Group Public Company Limited is a leading healthcare provider in Thailand, operating private hospitals in Bangkok and other provinces, as well as internationally. The company offers comprehensive medical services, hospital management, healthcare solutions, and develops integrated residential projects with medical services for the elderly. Thonburi Healthcare Group was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Thonburi Healthcare Group (THG TB)

SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Changes from Now to June

SAWAD could be added to the index in March. Then TLI should replace JMART in June. INTUCH is a close delete on liquidity and there are multiple...

Brian Freitas

Market Outlook

The SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the resistance at 1,615/1,620 points and the support at 1,600/1,597 points. Negative factors...

Krungthai XSpring

SET50 Index Rebalance: CENTEL, COM7, DELTA, RATCH Added; BLA, IRPC, KCE, SAWAD Out

There are 4 changes for the SET50 Index in Dec, all in line with forecasts. Passive trackers will need to buy between 2-4 days ADV on the adds...

Brian Freitas

Bumrungrad Hospital Pub Co (BH TB): Robust International Business Push Revenue Above Pre-COVID Level

Increasing footfall of non-Thai patients lifted hospital revenue 15% and 20% above the pre-COVID levels in 2Q22 and 3Q22 respectively. The company...

Tina Banerjee

Bumrungrad Hospital Pub Co (BH TB): Flying High on Return of Medical Tourism

With 50% revenue exposure to international patients, Bumrungrad should be the key beneficiary of resumption of medical tourism in Thailand and...

Tina Banerjee

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)