Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>OPEC+ achieved its initial target of unwinding 2.2mbd of voluntary cuts earlier than expected in September.</li><li>Meanwhile, US/EU sanctions on Russia remain ineffective, with support from “red” non-Western allies and the growth of the “shadow fleet” sustaining Russian oil exports.</li><li>Consequently, the market remains in oversupply, with oil prices expected to trend downward through 2025–27E.</li></ul>

OPEC+ achieved its initial target of unwinding 2.2mbd of voluntary cuts earlier than expected in September.Meanwhile, US/EU sanctions on Russia remain ineffective, with support from “red” non-Western allies and the growth of the “shadow fleet” sustaining Russian oil exports.Consequently, the market remains in oversupply, with oil prices expected to trend downward through 2025–27E.

Energy (Oil): OPEC+ To Raise Oil Output By 0.137mbd In October

<ul><li>The SET Index is expected to trade sideways up today, with the resistance at 1,268/1,284 and the support at 1,251/1,238.</li><li>The US Department of Labor released the JOLTS Job Openings survey, showing that job openings—a key measure of labor market demand—fell by 170k to 7.18mn positions in July, below analysts’ forecast of 7.38mn and down from 7.437mn in June.</li><li>The Joint Standing Committee on Commerce, Industry, and Banking (JSCCIB) projects Thailand’s GDP growth at 1.8–2.2% in 2025, with exports expected to grow 2–3% and inflation at 0.5–1.0%.</li></ul>

The SET Index is expected to trade sideways up today, with the resistance at 1,268/1,284 and the support at 1,251/1,238.The US Department of Labor released the JOLTS Job Openings survey, showing that job openings—a key measure of labor market demand—fell by 170k to 7.18mn positions in July, below analysts’ forecast of 7.38mn and down from 7.437mn in June.The Joint Standing Committee on Commerce, Industry, and Banking (JSCCIB) projects Thailand’s GDP growth at 1.8–2.2% in 2025, with exports expected to grow 2–3% and inflation at 0.5–1.0%.

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. September 4, 2025

<ul><li>The SET Index today is expected to rebound within a limited range, with the resistance at 1,270/1,280 points and the support at 1,252/1,239 points (200-day EMA).</li><li>External factors are slightly negative after the US July PPI rose more than expected, dampening hopes that the Fed will cut interest rates by 50 bps at its mid-September meeting, though there may be a positive surprise from tonight’s meeting between the US and Ukraine if Ukraine agrees to Russia’s proposal, contrary to market expectations.</li><li>Domestic factors are slightly positive, supported by: i) better-than-expected 2Q25 earnings from Thai listed companies (+8.6%), with 1H25 earnings accounting for 57.5% of full-year estimates, which could lead to upward earnings and target revisions, and ii) the House of Representatives passing the 2026 fiscal budget bill last Friday, while the NESDC signaled a more positive outlook for the second half of the year compared to earlier concerns over US tariff hikes, adding upside to 2025E GDP growth and reducing the risk of contraction if Prime Minister Paetongtarn is found guilty by the court and a new prime minister must be selected on August 29.</li></ul>

The SET Index today is expected to rebound within a limited range, with the resistance at 1,270/1,280 points and the support at 1,252/1,239 points (200-day EMA).External factors are slightly negative after the US July PPI rose more than expected, dampening hopes that the Fed will cut interest rates by 50 bps at its mid-September meeting, though there may be a positive surprise from tonight’s meeting between the US and Ukraine if Ukraine agrees to Russia’s proposal, contrary to market expectations.Domestic factors are slightly positive, supported by: i) better-than-expected 2Q25 earnings from Thai listed companies (+8.6%), with 1H25 earnings accounting for 57.5% of full-year estimates, which could lead to upward earnings and target revisions, and ii) the House of Representatives passing the 2026 fiscal budget bill last Friday, while the NESDC signaled a more positive outlook for the second half of the year compared to earlier concerns over US tariff hikes, adding upside to 2025E GDP growth and reducing the risk of contraction if Prime Minister Paetongtarn is found guilty by the court and a new prime minister must be selected on August 29.

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. August 18, 2025

<ul><li>The SET Index is expected to weaken today, with the support at 1,253/1,250 points (10-day EMA) and the resistance at 1,270/1,280 points.</li><li>US Producer Price Index (PPI) in July rose 0.9% MoM and 3.3% YoY (market expected +0.2% MoM / +2.5% YoY), marking the highest increase since March 2022, mainly driven by higher service costs.</li><li>Thai listed companies that have reported 2Q25 earnings account for 94.3% of total market capitalization (considering only stocks with Bloomberg consensus).</li></ul>

The SET Index is expected to weaken today, with the support at 1,253/1,250 points (10-day EMA) and the resistance at 1,270/1,280 points.US Producer Price Index (PPI) in July rose 0.9% MoM and 3.3% YoY (market expected +0.2% MoM / +2.5% YoY), marking the highest increase since March 2022, mainly driven by higher service costs.Thai listed companies that have reported 2Q25 earnings account for 94.3% of total market capitalization (considering only stocks with Bloomberg consensus).

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. August 15, 2025.

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In <a href="https://skr.ma/rCoay" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Webjet (WJL AU): Undisclosed Buyer Buying</a>, I addressed the rumours that an undisclosed buyer with ~5% was seeking to add an additional 5% (19.6mn shares).</li>
<li>On the 12th May, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/helloworld-travel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16134:1" rel="noopener">Helloworld Ltd (HLO AU)</a> emerged with a <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20250512/pdf/06jmy55csx8lvm.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">5.015% stake</a>. The same day, BGH said it had <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20250512/pdf/06jnjftqrg7vpw.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">10.76%</a>. BGH followed with a <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20250513/pdf/06jpsydh9mwsff.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">A$0.80/share NBIO</a>.</li>
<li>BGH wants a controlling stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/webjet-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45177:1" rel="noopener">Webjet (WJL AU)</a>, and potentially maintaining the listing; suggesting an off-market Offer, with say, a 50% acceptance hurdle being one possibility. </li>
</ul>


In Webjet (WJL AU): Undisclosed Buyer Buying, I addressed the rumours that an undisclosed buyer with ~5% was seeking to add an additional 5% (19.6mn shares).
On the 12th May, Helloworld Ltd (HLO AU) emerged with a 5.015% stake. The same day, BGH said it had 10.76%. BGH followed with a A$0.80/share NBIO.
BGH wants a controlling stake in Webjet (WJL AU), and potentially maintaining the listing; suggesting an off-market Offer, with say, a 50% acceptance hurdle being one possibility. 


Webjet (WJL AU) In Play: BGH/Weiss' NBIO And Helloworld's Substantial Stake

Australia

Thorney Opportunities Ltd is investment company which concentrates on producing absolute returns for shareholders over the medium to long term.Its primary focus is on the careful selection of investments which enable it to be a constructive catalyst towards unlocking the value in the companies that it identifies.

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Thorney Opportunities Ltd (TOP AU)

Energy (Oil): OPEC+ To Raise Oil Output By 0.137mbd In October

Meanwhile, US/EU sanctions on Russia remain ineffective, with support from “red” non-Western allies and the growth of the “shadow fleet” sustaining...

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. September 4, 2025

The US Department of Labor released the JOLTS Job Openings survey, showing that job openings—a key measure of labor market demand—fell by 170k to...

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. August 18, 2025

The SET Index today is expected to rebound within a limited range, with the resistance at 1,270/1,280 points and the support at 1,252/1,239 points...

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. August 15, 2025.

The SET Index is expected to weaken today, with the support at 1,253/1,250 points (10-day EMA) and the resistance at 1,270/1,280 points.

Krungthai XSpring

Webjet (WJL AU) In Play: BGH/Weiss' NBIO And Helloworld's Substantial Stake

Trading 12.5% through terms; and ~58% above the undisturbed price. BGH/Weiss have the clout to bid higher. But unless your bent is illiquid, non...

David Blennerhassett

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