External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Timah (TINS)Operational Comeback Drives 1H26 Beat; Firm ASP to Support 2H26 Earnings.</li><li>Stellar 1H26 beat: net profit jumped +804.7% y-y to Rp2.7tr (81%/93% of our/cons. FY26F) on strong operational recovery.</li><li>Raise FY26F net profit estimates by +34.1% to Rp4.51tr as firmer tin ASP lifts gross margin to 34.3%, despite lower sales volume. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Timah (TINS)Operational Comeback Drives 1H26 Beat; Firm ASP to Support 2H26 Earnings.Stellar 1H26 beat: net profit jumped +804.7% y-y to Rp2.7tr (81%/93% of our/cons. FY26F) on strong operational recovery.Raise FY26F net profit estimates by +34.1% to Rp4.51tr as firmer tin ASP lifts gross margin to 34.3%, despite lower sales volume. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Timah (TINS.IJ) Operational Comeback Drives 1H26 Beat; Firm ASP to Support 2H26 Earnings

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Macro Strategy: The Fed Tightens: Can BI Hold the Line? The curve prices in another hike, but historical patterns suggest a more measured yield adjustment than in 2022–23.</li><li>We revisit our study on Indonesia’s three differentials, finding that policy carry provides the strongest ST buffer.</li><li>Earlier hikes also strengthened BI’s policy buffer, allowing targeted measures to take priority rather than another rate hike. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Macro Strategy: The Fed Tightens: Can BI Hold the Line? The curve prices in another hike, but historical patterns suggest a more measured yield adjustment than in 2022–23.We revisit our study on Indonesia’s three differentials, finding that policy carry provides the strongest ST buffer.Earlier hikes also strengthened BI’s policy buffer, allowing targeted measures to take priority rather than another rate hike. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Macro Strategy: The Fed Tightens: Can BI Hold the Line?

<ul><li>Macro Strategy 2027 Proposed Budget: The Growth-Fiscal Trade-Off Growth increasingly relies on private demand and investment as government spending growth moderates in 2027.</li><li>Fiscal priorities are being rebalanced toward education and social protection, following the broad spending ramp-up seen in 2026.</li><li>A stronger primary balance improves financing flexibility, but higher FX and oil sensitivity raise fiscal vulnerability. The 2027 Budget: Three Key Takeaways.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Macro Strategy 2027 Proposed Budget: The Growth-Fiscal Trade-Off Growth increasingly relies on private demand and investment as government spending growth moderates in 2027.Fiscal priorities are being rebalanced toward education and social protection, following the broad spending ramp-up seen in 2026.A stronger primary balance improves financing flexibility, but higher FX and oil sensitivity raise fiscal vulnerability. The 2027 Budget: Three Key Takeaways.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Macro Strategy: 2027 Proposed Budget: The Growth-Fiscal Trade-Off

<ul><li>Metal Mining2Q26F Preview: Selective Earnings Momentum, Diverging FY26F Delivery We expect the sector’s 2Q26F revenue of US$4.5bn (+12% q-q/ +38% y-y), driven more by pricing and mix than volume recovery.</li><li>Margins should normalize on elevated fuel and sulfur costs, with AMMN and INCO being the names posting q-q earnings growth.</li><li>We overweight the sector, preferring AMMN &gt; INCO for 2Q26F momentum and ANTM &gt; TINS for 2H26F stability. Top-line resilience, but margin normalization. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Metal Mining2Q26F Preview: Selective Earnings Momentum, Diverging FY26F Delivery We expect the sector’s 2Q26F revenue of US$4.5bn (+12% q-q/ +38% y-y), driven more by pricing and mix than volume recovery.Margins should normalize on elevated fuel and sulfur costs, with AMMN and INCO being the names posting q-q earnings growth.We overweight the sector, preferring AMMN &gt; INCO for 2Q26F momentum and ANTM &gt; TINS for 2H26F stability. Top-line resilience, but margin normalization. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Metal Mining: 2Q26F Preview: Selective Earnings Momentum, Diverging FY26F Delivery (OVERWEIGHT)

<ul><li>Metal Mining: Moderating Regulatory Risks. We believe the regulatory risks for the sector are moderating as the punitive proposals are becoming more accommodative.</li><li>Single-SOE exporter (DSI) remains a key overhang as goods ownership, pricing, settlement and implementation remain unclear.</li><li>We prefer ANTM and TINS, given limited exposure to DSI, resilient demand drivers, and improving earnings visibility. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Metal Mining: Moderating Regulatory Risks. We believe the regulatory risks for the sector are moderating as the punitive proposals are becoming more accommodative.Single-SOE exporter (DSI) remains a key overhang as goods ownership, pricing, settlement and implementation remain unclear.We prefer ANTM and TINS, given limited exposure to DSI, resilient demand drivers, and improving earnings visibility. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Metal Mining: Moderating Regulatory Risks (OVERWEIGHT)

Indonesia

PT Timah Tbk is an Indonesian state-owned enterprise primarily engaged in integrated tin mining and smelting operations, including exploration, processing, and marketing of tin metal and its derivatives. The company also produces non-tin products such as coal, nickel, and quartz sand, and is involved in industrial, trading, transportation, and various services. Headquartered in Pangkalpinang, Bangka, Indonesia, the company was founded on August 2, 1976.

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Timah (TINS IJ)

Timah (TINS.IJ) Operational Comeback Drives 1H26 Beat; Firm ASP to Support 2H26 Earnings

Maintain Buy with higher TP of Rp4,800, based on 8.0x FY26F P/E (+1 s.d. 3-year mean) amid structural global tin deficits.

BRI Danareksa Research

Macro Strategy: The Fed Tightens: Can BI Hold the Line?

The Fed Tightens: Can BI Hold the Line? The curve prices in another hike, but historical patterns suggest a more measured yield adjustment than in...

BRI Danareksa Research

Macro Strategy: 2027 Proposed Budget: The Growth-Fiscal Trade-Off

Macro Strategy 2027 Proposed Budget: The Growth-Fiscal Trade-Off Growth increasingly relies on private demand and investment as government spending...

BRI Danareksa Research

Metal Mining: 2Q26F Preview: Selective Earnings Momentum, Diverging FY26F Delivery (OVERWEIGHT)

We overweight the sector, preferring AMMN > INCO for 2Q26F momentum and ANTM > TINS for 2H26F stability. Top-line resilience, but margin...

BRI Danareksa Research

Metal Mining: Moderating Regulatory Risks (OVERWEIGHT)

Metal Mining: Moderating Regulatory Risks. We believe the regulatory risks for the sector are moderating as the punitive proposals are becoming...

BRI Danareksa Research

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