SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>SGX lists four stocks mining industrial minerals including tantalite, phosphate, limestone and marble, four coal mining stocks and three gold mining stocks. These 11 stocks are at different stages in the exploration, development, production cycle and have averaged a 19.0% gain in 2017 YTD.</li>
<li>
Of the three segments, mining industrial minerals has been the strongest performer in the 2017 YTD with an average 30.4% gain, led Alliance Minerals Assets. Coal was the next best performer with the four stocks…</li>
</ul>


SGX lists four stocks mining industrial minerals including tantalite, phosphate, limestone and marble, four coal mining stocks and three gold mining stocks. These 11 stocks are at different stages in the exploration, development, production cycle and have averaged a 19.0% gain in 2017 YTD.

Of the three segments, mining industrial minerals has been the strongest performer in the 2017 YTD with an average 30.4% gain, led Alliance Minerals Assets. Coal was the next best performer with the four stocks…


Average 19% YTD Gain in Key Mining Stocks

CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

His Majesty King Bhumibol Adulyadej (Rama IX) passed away at Siriraj Hospital in Bangkok yesterday, 13 October 2016, at 3.52pm. Our condolences to all our Thai friends in your time of grief.Thailand is sailing into unchartered waters, considering that nearly everyone alive has only known one King and that his fiat power was immense, built up over years of devotion to the country.We expect that the Thai stock market will be hurt in the near term, but will eventually stabilize.

His Majesty King Bhumibol Adulyadej (Rama IX) passed away at Siriraj Hospital in Bangkok yesterday, 13 October 2016, at 3.52pm. Our condolences to all our Thai friends in your time of grief.Thailand is sailing into unchartered waters, considering that nearly everyone alive has only known one King and that his fiat power was immense, built up over years of devotion to the country.We expect that the Thai stock market will be hurt in the near term, but will eventually stabilize.

Thailand Mourns Fallen King, Healing Will Take Some Time

Thai Equity - Bottom-up - Equities, Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Pi Research

Thai Equity - Bottom-up - Equities

Leading, full-service investment firm in Thailand

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Pi Securities is a well known securities company with 40 years experience in the industry, serving more than 60,000 clients. We offer one - stop service providing full range of financial products and services including extensive Brokerage, Proprietary Trading (Equities and Bonds), Advisory Services, Structured Products.

Moreover, our new research team tailored for institutional clients to focus on mid to small cap of Thai equities and trading strategies. Our services offered to our premium clients also include arrangement of company or site visits to with the managements of Thai listed companies.

Note: Effective on 1 March 2022, Country Group Securities PCL changed its name to Pi Securities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We upgrade to HOLD (from Sell) with a new TP of Bt16.00, based on 1.50xPBV’23E. The key pillars to our call are (1) an earnings growth recovery in 2023-24 </li>
<li>3Q22 core profit declined YoY and QoQ Excluding extra items,its 3Q22 core profit came in at Bt380m(-5%YoY,-42%QoQ).This put its 9M22 core profit at Bt1.3bn (-28%YoY),accounting for74% of our full-year forecast.</li>
<li>74% of our full-year forecast. The weak QoQ results were attributed to the squeezed margin of 9.7% (2Q22: 13.4%). This was primarily caused by (1) a rise in inventory costs</li>
</ul>


We upgrade to HOLD (from Sell) with a new TP of Bt16.00, based on 1.50xPBV’23E. The key pillars to our call are (1) an earnings growth recovery in 2023-24 
3Q22 core profit declined YoY and QoQ Excluding extra items,its 3Q22 core profit came in at Bt380m(-5%YoY,-42%QoQ).This put its 9M22 core profit at Bt1.3bn (-28%YoY),accounting for74% of our full-year forecast.
74% of our full-year forecast. The weak QoQ results were attributed to the squeezed margin of 9.7% (2Q22: 13.4%). This was primarily caused by (1) a rise in inventory costs


<ul>
<li>We keep our SELL rating with a new TP of Bt14.50(+4% from prior TP),as we rollover to 1.41xPBV’23E, which is -2SD of its 5-yrs trading mean.Strong QoQ growth in  2Q22</li>
<li>2Q22 core profit posted strong QoQ Excluding extra items, its core profit was at Bt622m (-14%YoY, +250%QoQ). The strong QoQ rise was far above our expectation</li>
<li>Neutral tone from the analyst meeting The management reaffirmed its sales volume guidance for asphalt at 1.20m tons in 2022E (-3%YoY), while its 1H22 volume is at 0.56m tons.</li>
</ul>


We keep our SELL rating with a new TP of Bt14.50(+4% from prior TP),as we rollover to 1.41xPBV’23E, which is -2SD of its 5-yrs trading mean.Strong QoQ growth in  2Q22
2Q22 core profit posted strong QoQ Excluding extra items, its core profit was at Bt622m (-14%YoY, +250%QoQ). The strong QoQ rise was far above our expectation
Neutral tone from the analyst meeting The management reaffirmed its sales volume guidance for asphalt at 1.20m tons in 2022E (-3%YoY), while its 1H22 volume is at 0.56m tons.


<ul>
<li>Downgrade to SELL from HOLD rating and cut TP by 41% to Bt14, derived from 1.4xPBV’22E, Asia ex-Japan Materials sector. We believe the valuation remains demanding with the stock trading</li>
<li>Its 4Q21 core profit was at Bt175m (-83%YoY,-71%QoQ), plunged due to narrow margin, following crude price surged and higher OPEX.</li>
<li>Excluding extraordinary items, 2021 core profit was at Bt2.9bn, increased 9%YoY, attributed to better EBIT margin from lower SG&amp;A-to-sales ratio</li>
</ul>


Downgrade to SELL from HOLD rating and cut TP by 41% to Bt14, derived from 1.4xPBV’22E, Asia ex-Japan Materials sector. We believe the valuation remains demanding with the stock trading
Its 4Q21 core profit was at Bt175m (-83%YoY,-71%QoQ), plunged due to narrow margin, following crude price surged and higher OPEX.
Excluding extraordinary items, 2021 core profit was at Bt2.9bn, increased 9%YoY, attributed to better EBIT margin from lower SG&amp;A-to-sales ratio


TASCO: Crude Price Hike to Pressure 2022 Earnings

Thailand

Tipco Asphalt Public Company Limited manufactures and distributes asphalt and petroleum products for road construction, maintenance, and paving industries. The company offers a wide range of asphalt products including asphalt cement, emulsion, cutback asphalt, and polymer modified asphalt. Tipco Asphalt also engages in marine logistics and construction services. It was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

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Tipco Asphalt (TASCO TB)

Average 19% YTD Gain in Key Mining Stocks

SGX lists four stocks mining industrial minerals including tantalite, phosphate, limestone and marble, four coal mining stocks and three gold...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Thailand Mourns Fallen King, Healing Will Take Some Time

His Majesty King Bhumibol Adulyadej (Rama IX) passed away at Siriraj Hospital in Bangkok yesterday, 13 October 2016, at 3.52pm. Our condolences to...

A. Stotz Investment Research

TASCO : Better Outlook in 4Q22

We upgrade to HOLD (from Sell) with a new TP of Bt16.00, based on 1.50xPBV’23E. The key pillars to our call are (1) an earnings growth recovery in...

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

TASCO : Earnings to Slow Down in 2H22

We keep our SELL rating with a new TP of Bt14.50 (+4% from prior TP), as we rollover to 1.41xPBV’23E, which is -2SD of its 5-yrs trading mean....

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

TASCO: Crude Price Hike to Pressure 2022 Earnings

Downgrade to SELL from HOLD rating and cut TP by 41% to Bt14, derived from 1.4xPBV’22E, Asia ex-Japan Materials sector. We believe the valuation...

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

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