ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

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<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/media-nusantara-citra-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6881:1" rel="noopener">Media Nusantara Citra (MNCN IJ)</a> released a strong set of 1H2021 results with overall revenues up by +23% YoY to IDR4,863,1bn, driven by advertising revenue growth of +27% YoY. Free-to-Air Television advertising revenues grew by +16% YoY to IDR4,595.1bn, whilst digital advertising revenues grew by +117% YoY to IDR889.2bn.</p>
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<p>There was also a strong performance from e-commerce players such as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lazada-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26148:1" rel="noopener">Lazada Group</a>, Shopee (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd (SE US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">Gojek</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokopedia-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24239:1" rel="noopener">Tokopedia</a>, and BliBli.com, which block-booked primetime slots for entertainment variety shows and promotional events. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/media-nusantara-citra-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6881:1" rel="noopener"></a>Content is King</p>
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<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/media-nusantara-citra-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6881:1" rel="noopener">Media Nusantara Citra (MNCN IJ)</a> continues to see strong performance from its prime-time blocking programs, which are predominantly for e-commerce companies but also players such as Telkomsel. </p>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/media-nusantara-citra-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6881:1" rel="noopener">Media Nusantara Citra (MNCN IJ)</a> continues to see explosive growth from its digital adverting efforts, which saw revenues rise +117% in 1H2021.</p>
<p>Management is also very excited about the prospects for the company's RCTI+ super app, which had 39.8m MAUs at the end of 1H2021 versus 9.5m a year ago, and already hit 50m MAUs in August, with expectations of 60-70m by year-end.</p>
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<p>Management is optimistic that 2H2021 can see even stronger growth and the lack of European Cup costs should see better margins at the same time. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/media-nusantara-citra-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6881:1" rel="noopener">Media Nusantara Citra (MNCN IJ)</a> looks very attractive from a valuation perspective trading on 5.3x FY21E PER and 4.4x FY22E PER versus a 5-year average of 9.3x forward PER.</p>
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Media Nusantara Citra (MNCN IJ) released a strong set of 1H2021 results with overall revenues up by +23% YoY to IDR4,863,1bn, driven by advertising revenue growth of +27% YoY. Free-to-Air Television advertising revenues grew by +16% YoY to IDR4,595.1bn, whilst digital advertising revenues grew by +117% YoY to IDR889.2bn.

There was also a strong performance from e-commerce players such as Lazada Group, Shopee (Sea Ltd (SE US), Gojek &amp; Tokopedia, and BliBli.com, which block-booked primetime slots for entertainment variety shows and promotional events. Content is King

Media Nusantara Citra (MNCN IJ) continues to see strong performance from its prime-time blocking programs, which are predominantly for e-commerce companies but also players such as Telkomsel. 
Media Nusantara Citra (MNCN IJ) continues to see explosive growth from its digital adverting efforts, which saw revenues rise +117% in 1H2021.
Management is also very excited about the prospects for the company's RCTI+ super app, which had 39.8m MAUs at the end of 1H2021 versus 9.5m a year ago, and already hit 50m MAUs in August, with expectations of 60-70m by year-end.




Management is optimistic that 2H2021 can see even stronger growth and the lack of European Cup costs should see better margins at the same time. Media Nusantara Citra (MNCN IJ) looks very attractive from a valuation perspective trading on 5.3x FY21E PER and 4.4x FY22E PER versus a 5-year average of 9.3x forward PER.










Media Nusantara Citra (MNCN IJ) - Increasingly Digital with Gaming to Boot

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<p>A rare post-results call with leading Indonesian consumer staples company <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mayora-indah-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15131:1" rel="noopener">Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ)</a></strong> management revealed a company well-positioned to take advantage of the recovery in 2H2021, with a good number of new products launches likely to help drive growth both domestically and overseas.</p>
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<p>Rising commodity prices are a potential threat to margins but management has outlined a number of strategies to cope with this including price increases.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mayora-indah-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15131:1" rel="noopener">Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ)</a> saw strong growth in sales and operating profits reflecting the strength of the recovery domestically and especially in the export of its products. </p>
<p>The company continues to gain market share in a number of categories and especially in biscuits, wafers, and coffee. It continues to broaden the range of products available in export markets such as the Philippines and Thailand.</p>
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<section class="figure"><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mayora-indah-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15131:1" rel="noopener">Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ)</a>'s valuations look attractive versus history with the company trading on 19.6x FY21E PER and 17.2x FY22E PER versus its 5-year average forward PER of 27x.</section>


A rare post-results call with leading Indonesian consumer staples company Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ) management revealed a company well-positioned to take advantage of the recovery in 2H2021, with a good number of new products launches likely to help drive growth both domestically and overseas.

Rising commodity prices are a potential threat to margins but management has outlined a number of strategies to cope with this including price increases.
Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ) saw strong growth in sales and operating profits reflecting the strength of the recovery domestically and especially in the export of its products. 
The company continues to gain market share in a number of categories and especially in biscuits, wafers, and coffee. It continues to broaden the range of products available in export markets such as the Philippines and Thailand.

Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ)'s valuations look attractive versus history with the company trading on 19.6x FY21E PER and 17.2x FY22E PER versus its 5-year average forward PER of 27x.

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<li>The ironically named warung-tech segment in Indonesia has seen a recent spate of layoffs by a number of key players, as the path to profitability becomes the key focus. </li>
<li>One company that stands out as a potential beneficiary is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak</a>, which is already the dominant player in this space through its Mitra business, especially outside Tier 1 cities. </li>
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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak</a> saw some dramatic improvements in both take rates and contribution margins in 3Q2022, with more to come in 4Q2022 and beyond, from both its Mitra and Specialty store segments.</li>
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The ironically named warung-tech segment in Indonesia has seen a recent spate of layoffs by a number of key players, as the path to profitability becomes the key focus. 
One company that stands out as a potential beneficiary is Bukalapak, which is already the dominant player in this space through its Mitra business, especially outside Tier 1 cities. 

Bukalapak saw some dramatic improvements in both take rates and contribution margins in 3Q2022, with more to come in 4Q2022 and beyond, from both its Mitra and Specialty store segments.


Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) - Opportunity from Adversity

Research from Tech in Asia, Tech in Asia

Tech in Asia

Research from Tech in Asia

Tech in Asia (YC W15) is the largest English-language technology media company that focuses on Asia. From the latest news to the hottest trends and the boldest startups to the strongest titans, we cover everything tech in the region. Our goal is to build and serve Asia’s tech and startup community.

News from Tech in Asia

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Southeast Asia’s digital economy is poised to hit US$200 billion in gross merchandise value (GMV) in 2022 – three years earlier than predicted.</li><li>Over the past three years, 100 million users have come online in Southeast Asia, with the region housing over 460 million internet users.</li><li>However, the report stated that after years of acceleration and growth, digital players are more concerned about deepening engagement with current consumers rather than acquiring new ones.</li></ul>

Southeast Asia’s digital economy is poised to hit US$200 billion in gross merchandise value (GMV) in 2022 – three years earlier than predicted.Over the past three years, 100 million users have come online in Southeast Asia, with the region housing over 460 million internet users.However, the report stated that after years of acceleration and growth, digital players are more concerned about deepening engagement with current consumers rather than acquiring new ones.

SEA Digital Economy to Grow in 2022 Despite Headwinds: Report

Matahari Department Store / Equity Bottom-Up

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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-matahari-department-store" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5230:1" rel="noopener">Matahari Department Store (LPPF IJ)</a> reports another positive set of results confirming the success of its ongoing transformation with the promise of an even stronger quarter ahead.</li>
<li>Footwear and menswear continued to lead but womenswear, cosmetics, and babywear were also strong, with private labels Nevada Sports, Nevada Denim, Coles, and New Connections booking vibrant sales.</li>
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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-matahari-department-store" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5230:1" rel="noopener">Matahari Department Stores</a> omnichannel initiatives are bearing fruit with another marketplace soon to come on stream whilst store opening and renovations will accelerate 2H2022, helping to drive growth.</li>
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Matahari Department Store (LPPF IJ) reports another positive set of results confirming the success of its ongoing transformation with the promise of an even stronger quarter ahead.
Footwear and menswear continued to lead but womenswear, cosmetics, and babywear were also strong, with private labels Nevada Sports, Nevada Denim, Coles, and New Connections booking vibrant sales.

Matahari Department Stores omnichannel initiatives are bearing fruit with another marketplace soon to come on stream whilst store opening and renovations will accelerate 2H2022, helping to drive growth.


Matahari Department Store (LPPF IJ) - New Boots and Pants

Indonesia

Tokopedia PT provides e-commerce services. The Company owns and operates an online e-commerce platform that allows individuals and small-to-mid-sized business owners to start their online stores.

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Tokopedia PT (1087142D IJ)

Media Nusantara Citra (MNCN IJ) - Increasingly Digital with Gaming to Boot

MNCN continues to dominate audience share in FTA TV in Indonesia, which is yielding positive advertising returns but it is also growing its digital...

Angus Mackintosh

Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ) - Lovely Biscuits

Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ) is one of the best quality consumer companies in Indonesia leading in categories such as biscuits, candies, cereal, and...

Angus Mackintosh

Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) - Opportunity from Adversity

Bukalapak saw some dramatic improvements in both take rates and contribution margins in 3Q2022, with more to come in 4Q2022 and beyond, from both...

Angus Mackintosh

SEA Digital Economy to Grow in 2022 Despite Headwinds: Report

Southeast Asia’s digital economy is poised to hit US$200 billion in gross merchandise value (GMV) in 2022 – three years earlier than predicted.

Tech in Asia

Matahari Department Store (LPPF IJ) - New Boots and Pants

Matahari Department Store reported another positive set of results confirming the success of its ongoing transformation with the promise of an even...

Angus Mackintosh

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