Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Plenty of Ishiba trades to pickup this morning after yesterday's panic.</li>
<li>Defence related saw some initial profit taking after pricing in some gains, but KHI and NEC remain attractive on the long side.</li>
<li>Selective Inbound tourism, domestic revitalization, and China plays should snap back fairly quickly with Ishiba unlikely to upset voters ahead of elections.</li>
</ul>


Plenty of Ishiba trades to pickup this morning after yesterday's panic.
Defence related saw some initial profit taking after pricing in some gains, but KHI and NEC remain attractive on the long side.
Selective Inbound tourism, domestic revitalization, and China plays should snap back fairly quickly with Ishiba unlikely to upset voters ahead of elections.


Japan Morning Connection: Selective Rebound Expected After Yesterday's Panic

<ul>
<li>Tech selloff overnight on NVDA post-earnings weakness was fairly contained, and SPE related in Japan should continue yesterdays rebound off the morning lows.</li>
<li>Big beat for Dell on the strong outlook for its AI servers outweighing the soft consumer PC market sending it +8% in after-market trading.</li>
<li>News that Tepco plans to spend $3.2bn to upgrade its electricity infrastructure to 2030 positive for wire/cable names and related names.</li>
</ul>


Tech selloff overnight on NVDA post-earnings weakness was fairly contained, and SPE related in Japan should continue yesterdays rebound off the morning lows.
Big beat for Dell on the strong outlook for its AI servers outweighing the soft consumer PC market sending it +8% in after-market trading.
News that Tepco plans to spend $3.2bn to upgrade its electricity infrastructure to 2030 positive for wire/cable names and related names.


Japan Morning Connection: Tech Set to Rebound as Dell After-Market Print Sets Positive Tone

Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>With nominal GDP growing 6%YoY in the latest 3 quarters, Japanese interest rates will be gradually normalized. The JPY rebound, however, precludes the need for rapid BoJ hikes. </li>
<li>Unwinding of Yen carry-trades should take JPY to ¥125/US$ by end-2024, which will contribute to tightening monetary conditions sufficiently, further slowing inflation (from 2.85%YoY in May-Jun'24). </li>
<li>Appreciating JPY is bad for Japanese equities, so stay Underweight, with a defensive portfolio comprising utilities, pharmaceuticals and consumer staples. </li>
</ul>


With nominal GDP growing 6%YoY in the latest 3 quarters, Japanese interest rates will be gradually normalized. The JPY rebound, however, precludes the need for rapid BoJ hikes. 
Unwinding of Yen carry-trades should take JPY to ¥125/US$ by end-2024, which will contribute to tightening monetary conditions sufficiently, further slowing inflation (from 2.85%YoY in May-Jun'24). 
Appreciating JPY is bad for Japanese equities, so stay Underweight, with a defensive portfolio comprising utilities, pharmaceuticals and consumer staples. 


Japan: Normalizing Interest Rates as Nominal GDP Surges, Ending Deflation Era

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Aug 21st. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD28,184m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Kioxia, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Taiyo Yuden, Murata Manufacturing, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial, Mizuho Financial, Lasertec, SoftBank, Tokyo Electron, Toyota Motor.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Aug 21st. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD28,184m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Kioxia, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Taiyo Yuden, Murata Manufacturing, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial, Mizuho Financial, Lasertec, SoftBank, Tokyo Electron, Toyota Motor.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Aug 21st): Kioxia, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Taiyo Yuden, Lasertec

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

<ul>
<li>
OVERSEAS. US Yields spike to hit 16 year high; Stocks rise SPX closed +0.7% with Tech leading; China woes continue as forecasts cut; NVDIA and TSLA rebound on street optimism</li>
<li>
JAPAN.  NKY Futures +0.7% vs Cash; USDJPY 146.2;  BOJ on pace to buy record amt of bonds under new YCC regime;  Foreigners unloading JGBs; Japan DX market &gt; 2trn yen</li>
<li>
Japan X.  Flying Cars - investments pouring into the space globally. Skydrive, Japan's Flying Car beacon bearer, partners with Suzuki to to push the boundries in the space.  </li>
</ul>



OVERSEAS. US Yields spike to hit 16 year high; Stocks rise SPX closed +0.7% with Tech leading; China woes continue as forecasts cut; NVDIA and TSLA rebound on street optimism

JAPAN.  NKY Futures +0.7% vs Cash; USDJPY 146.2;  BOJ on pace to buy record amt of bonds under new YCC regime;  Foreigners unloading JGBs; Japan DX market &gt; 2trn yen

Japan X.  Flying Cars - investments pouring into the space globally. Skydrive, Japan's Flying Car beacon bearer, partners with Suzuki to to push the boundries in the space.  


Ohayo Japan|Yields Spike and Stocks UP?! Japan X: Flying Cars-Suzuki and SkyDrive's Aerial Ambitions

Japan

Tokyo Electric Power Company, Incorporated generates, transmits, and distributes electricity.  The Company uses hydroelectric, thermal, and nuclear power sources.  Tokyo Electric Power distributes electricity in the Kanto area, which includes the Tokyo metro area, Kanagawa, Chiba, and Saitama prefectures.

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Tokyo Electric Power (TEPCO) (9501 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: Selective Rebound Expected After Yesterday's Panic

Opportunities in Ishiba trades this morning, particularly in defence-related stocks, inbound tourism, domestic revitalization, and China plays.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Tech Set to Rebound as Dell After-Market Print Sets Positive Tone

Tech selloff contained, Dell beats with strong outlook for AI servers, Tepco's $3.2bn upgrade plan positive for wire/cable names.

Andrew Jackson

Japan: Normalizing Interest Rates as Nominal GDP Surges, Ending Deflation Era

Japanese interest rates are set to normalize amid robust nominal GDP. But a rebounding JPY (at ¥125/US$ by end'24) precludes further BoJ hikes,...

Prasenjit K. Basu

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Aug 21st): Kioxia, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Taiyo Yuden, Lasertec

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Kioxia (285A JP), Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (8306 JP), Taiyo Yuden...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Ohayo Japan|Yields Spike and Stocks UP?! Japan X: Flying Cars-Suzuki and SkyDrive's Aerial Ambitions

Yields Spike and Stocks Up?! Huh? NKY Futures +0.7% vs Cash; USDJPY 146.2; BOJ on pace to buy record amt of bonds under new YCC regime; ...

Mark Chadwick

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Morning Connection: Selective Rebound Expected After Yesterday's Panic

Opportunities in Ishiba trades this morning, particularly in defence-related stocks, inbound tourism, domestic revitalization, and China plays.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Tech Set to Rebound as Dell After-Market Print Sets Positive Tone

​Tech selloff contained, Dell beats with strong outlook for AI servers, Tepco's $3.2bn upgrade plan positive for wire/cable names.

Andrew Jackson

Japan: Normalizing Interest Rates as Nominal GDP Surges, Ending Deflation Era

​Japanese interest rates are set to normalize amid robust nominal GDP. But a rebounding JPY (at ¥125/US$ by end'24) precludes further BoJ hikes,...

Prasenjit K. Basu

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Aug 21st): Kioxia, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Taiyo Yuden, Lasertec

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Kioxia (285A JP), Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (8306 JP), Taiyo Yuden...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Ohayo Japan|Yields Spike and Stocks UP?! Japan X: Flying Cars-Suzuki and SkyDrive's Aerial Ambitions

Yields Spike and Stocks Up?! Huh? NKY Futures +0.7% vs Cash; USDJPY 146.2; BOJ on pace to buy record amt of bonds under new YCC regime; ...

Mark Chadwick

Tech selloff contained, Dell beats with strong outlook for AI servers, Tepco's $3.2bn upgrade plan positive for wire/cable names.

Japanese interest rates are set to normalize amid robust nominal GDP. But a rebounding JPY (at ¥125/US$ by end'24) precludes further BoJ hikes,...