Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Decent Onsemi numbers point to a more broad-based recovery, but the end of the Nexperia disruption may be seen as negative for  Rohm and Renesas</li>
<li>Socionext +17% on Fri on Google's Willow news but likely to give it all back on poor guidance</li>
<li>SEI, TDK, Lasertec and TEL all pointing up, Screen down on timing issue</li>
</ul>


Decent Onsemi numbers point to a more broad-based recovery, but the end of the Nexperia disruption may be seen as negative for  Rohm and Renesas
Socionext +17% on Fri on Google's Willow news but likely to give it all back on poor guidance
SEI, TDK, Lasertec and TEL all pointing up, Screen down on timing issue


Japan Morning Connection: AI Related Earnings from Fri and a Strong Tape Set to Send JP Higher

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>In our prior Int'l Compass (Oct. 16) we discussed how the pullback was testing the uptrend, and we were buyers; this worked out well with indexes back at all-time highs.</li>
<li>Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S. remain our only overweights, but India is becoming more attractive as well -- add selective exposure. Many buy ideas highlighted in these countries.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
In our prior Int'l Compass (Oct. 16) we discussed how the pullback was testing the uptrend, and we were buyers; this worked out well with indexes back at all-time highs.
Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S. remain our only overweights, but India is becoming more attractive as well -- add selective exposure. Many buy ideas highlighted in these countries.


India Finally Showing Signs of Life; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>Windows 10's End-of-Life Becomes Apple's Windfall as Second Fastest Growing Computer Brand</li>
<li>Eyes on Yageo Results Coming October 30 After 35% 1-Week Surge</li>
<li>China Tightens Rare Earth Grip: TSMC Says It's Prepared with Inventory</li>
</ul>


Windows 10's End-of-Life Becomes Apple's Windfall as Second Fastest Growing Computer Brand
Eyes on Yageo Results Coming October 30 After 35% 1-Week Surge
China Tightens Rare Earth Grip: TSMC Says It's Prepared with Inventory


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple's Macbook Windfall; Yageo's Rally; TSMC's Massive Rare Earth Stockpile

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

<ul>
<li>LRCX reported September 2025 quarter revenues of $5.32 billion, marginally above the guided midpoint, up 3% QoQ and up 27.7% YoY.</li>
<li>LRCX is forecasting current quarter revenues of $5.2 billion at the midpoint, slightly down sequentially, but up 18% YoY. In other words, the AI boost is coming, just not yet.</li>
<li>The elephant in the room was once again revenue mix from China which accounted for a whopping 43% of sales, up from 35% in the prior quarter. Oh my!</li>
</ul>


LRCX reported September 2025 quarter revenues of $5.32 billion, marginally above the guided midpoint, up 3% QoQ and up 27.7% YoY.
LRCX is forecasting current quarter revenues of $5.2 billion at the midpoint, slightly down sequentially, but up 18% YoY. In other words, the AI boost is coming, just not yet.
The elephant in the room was once again revenue mix from China which accounted for a whopping 43% of sales, up from 35% in the prior quarter. Oh my!


LRCX Q325. Solid Results, Outlook But China Exposure Is A Glaring Red Flag

<ul>
<li>Lam Research beat, but with 43% of revs still coming from China the market reaction is muted.</li>
<li>Japan's newly minted PM calls for defence spending 2-years ahead of schedule.</li>
<li>Samsung and S&amp;S Tech filing patents for EUV mask blanks the end for Hoya?</li>
</ul>


Lam Research beat, but with 43% of revs still coming from China the market reaction is muted.
Japan's newly minted PM calls for defence spending 2-years ahead of schedule.
Samsung and S&amp;S Tech filing patents for EUV mask blanks the end for Hoya?


Japan Morning Connection: Tesla Front Loading and IBM's Red Hat Failing to Impress Markets

Japan

Tokyo Electron Limited manufactures and sells industrial electronics products, such as semiconductor manufacturing machines, computer system, and electronic components.  The Company products are sold in US, Taiwan, and others as well as in Japan.

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Tokyo Electron (8035 JP)

India Finally Showing Signs of Life; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.

India's $SENSEX Finally Showing Signs of Life; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI; Actionable...

Vermilion Research

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple's Macbook Windfall; Yageo's Rally; TSMC's Massive Rare Earth Stockpile

Windows 10's end-of-life is benefiting Apple. Yageo's results ahead after a 35% surge, while TSMC is prepared for China's tightening grip on rare...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

LRCX Q325. Solid Results, Outlook But China Exposure Is A Glaring Red Flag

The elephant in the room was once again revenue mix from China which accounted for a whopping 43% of sales, up from 35% in the prior quarter. Oh my!

William Keating

Japan Morning Connection: Tesla Front Loading and IBM's Red Hat Failing to Impress Markets

Foreign Minister Moteigi's comments may lift drone companies. IBM falling after earnings may dent sentiment for the likes of Fujitsu and NEC.

Andrew Jackson

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Japan Morning Connection: AI Related Earnings from Fri and a Strong Tape Set to Send JP Higher

Any weakness for Screen may be an opportunity to buy. Socionext's poor earnings may lead it to give back its large gains from Friday. SEI expected...

Andrew Jackson

India Finally Showing Signs of Life; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.

India's $SENSEX Finally Showing Signs of Life; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI; Actionable...

Vermilion Research

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple's Macbook Windfall; Yageo's Rally; TSMC's Massive Rare Earth Stockpile

​Windows 10's end-of-life is benefiting Apple. Yageo's results ahead after a 35% surge, while TSMC is prepared for China's tightening grip on rare...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

LRCX Q325. Solid Results, Outlook But China Exposure Is A Glaring Red Flag

The elephant in the room was once again revenue mix from China which accounted for a whopping 43% of sales, up from 35% in the prior quarter. Oh my!

William Keating

Japan Morning Connection: Tesla Front Loading and IBM's Red Hat Failing to Impress Markets

Foreign Minister Moteigi's comments may lift drone companies. IBM falling after earnings may dent sentiment for the likes of Fujitsu and NEC.

Andrew Jackson

Windows 10's end-of-life is benefiting Apple. Yageo's results ahead after a 35% surge, while TSMC is prepared for China's tightening grip on rare...