Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the live IPOs front, the two Japanese IPOs, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-metro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40930:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rigaku-holdings-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43950:1" rel="noopener">Rigaku Holdings (268A JP)</a> appeared attractively priced. The same couldn't be said about <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40900:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor India</a>.</li>
<li>On the placements front, there were deals in Hong Kong, Japan and India. </li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the live IPOs front, the two Japanese IPOs, Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) and Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) appeared attractively priced. The same couldn't be said about Hyundai Motor India.
On the placements front, there were deals in Hong Kong, Japan and India. 


ECM Weekly (14th Oct 2024) - Tokyo Metro, Rigaku, Hyundai, China Res, Swiggy, USS, Akeso, Shiyue

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Dimitris Ioannidis

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rigaku-holdings-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43950:1" rel="noopener">Rigaku Holdings (268A JP)</a> is scheduled to be listed at the Tokyo Stock Exchange on 25 October 2024 at a valuation of ~$1.9bn.</li>
<li>The company's modest market capitalization fails fast-entry but easily surpasses the quarterly small cap thresholds of both main global indices.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rigaku-holdings-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43950:1" rel="noopener">Rigaku Holdings (268A JP)</a>  is expected to be added at the May and June 2025 quarterly reviews with the potential greenshoe exercise increasing the passive fund demand upon inclusion.</li>
</ul>



Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) is scheduled to be listed at the Tokyo Stock Exchange on 25 October 2024 at a valuation of ~$1.9bn.
The company's modest market capitalization fails fast-entry but easily surpasses the quarterly small cap thresholds of both main global indices.

Rigaku Holdings (268A JP)  is expected to be added at the May and June 2025 quarterly reviews with the potential greenshoe exercise increasing the passive fund demand upon inclusion.


Rigaku Holdings (268A JP): Low, Slow and Steady in Global Indices

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-metro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40930:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)</a>'s listing has been approved by the JPX and the stock is expected to start trading on the Prime Market from 23 October.</li>
<li>At the reported indicative IPO price of JPY 1100/share, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-metro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40930:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)</a> will be valued at JPY 639.1bn (US$4.49bn).</li>
<li>The stock should be added to one global index on 29 October, to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-stock-exchange-tokyo-price-index-topix" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22910:1" rel="noopener">TOPIX INDEX</a> on 28 November, while another global index inclusion will need to wait till February.</li>
</ul>



Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)'s listing has been approved by the JPX and the stock is expected to start trading on the Prime Market from 23 October.
At the reported indicative IPO price of JPY 1100/share, Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) will be valued at JPY 639.1bn (US$4.49bn).
The stock should be added to one global index on 29 October, to the TOPIX INDEX on 28 November, while another global index inclusion will need to wait till February.


Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO:  TPX Inclusion in November; Global Indices: One in October, One in Feb

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>Tokyo Metro set the IPO price range at 1,100 to 1,200 Yen per share. At the top end of the range, Tokyo Metro would raise 349 billion yen ($2.35 billion).</li>
<li><em><strong>Our base case valuation of Tokyo Metro is implied target price of 1,178 yen per share. This is within the top end of the IPO price range (1,200 yen). </strong></em></li>
<li>Given the lack of upside relative to the IPO price range, we have a Negative view of this IPO. </li>
</ul>


Tokyo Metro set the IPO price range at 1,100 to 1,200 Yen per share. At the top end of the range, Tokyo Metro would raise 349 billion yen ($2.35 billion).
Our base case valuation of Tokyo Metro is implied target price of 1,178 yen per share. This is within the top end of the IPO price range (1,200 yen). 
Given the lack of upside relative to the IPO price range, we have a Negative view of this IPO. 


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-metro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40930:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)</a>'s shareholders aim to raise up to US$2.4bn in its Japan IPO.</li>
<li>Tokyo Metro (TKM) is one of the two metro network operators in the Tokyo region. It operates nine subway lines with a total of 180 stations.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.</li>
</ul>



Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)'s shareholders aim to raise up to US$2.4bn in its Japan IPO.
Tokyo Metro (TKM) is one of the two metro network operators in the Tokyo region. It operates nine subway lines with a total of 180 stations.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.


Tokyo Metro IPO - Will Price at the Top, but Isn’t Particularly Cheap

Japan

Tokyo Metro Co., Ltd. operates railway businesses. The Company conducts passenger rail transportation, urban design and lifestyle creation, real estate, and other projects. Tokyo Metro serves customers in Japan.

Price Gauge
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Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)

ECM Weekly (14th Oct 2024) - Tokyo Metro, Rigaku, Hyundai, China Res, Swiggy, USS, Akeso, Shiyue

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Rigaku Holdings (268A JP): Low, Slow and Steady in Global Indices

Rigaku Holdings fails fast-entry but is set for quarterly inclusion in the small cap segments of both main global indices in May and June 2025...

Dimitris Ioannidis