Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. Nasdaq and SOX Plunged overnight; Nasdaq on Tesla, Neflix; SOX on TSMC Sentiment;   Has something broken?  US Leading Index saying recession near; China deflationary pressures; Russia escalates war</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futures -0.5% disc vs Cash; USDJPY 140.1;  Eyes on BOJ  but indications are no tweak;  Nidec turns it around - strong 1Q; Raft of BUY calls from Street. </li>
<li>NUGGET. Japanese companies are hiring IR professionals as they face greater scrutiny from shareholders, the TSE, and regulators. Positive development that we see as an offshoot of the governance code.</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. Nasdaq and SOX Plunged overnight; Nasdaq on Tesla, Neflix; SOX on TSMC Sentiment;   Has something broken?  US Leading Index saying recession near; China deflationary pressures; Russia escalates war
JAPAN. NKY Futures -0.5% disc vs Cash; USDJPY 140.1;  Eyes on BOJ  but indications are no tweak;  Nidec turns it around - strong 1Q; Raft of BUY calls from Street. 
NUGGET. Japanese companies are hiring IR professionals as they face greater scrutiny from shareholders, the TSE, and regulators. Positive development that we see as an offshoot of the governance code.


Ohayo Japan|Nasdaq, SOX Plunge-Did Something Finally Break?; NUGGET: In Demand in Japan - IR Talent

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  SPX Futs -0.3% as US OFF ON FOR PRESIDENT'S DAY as Biden makes the trip to Ukraine;  Markets still focused inflation/rate hikes; Europe Resource Stocks bid on China Recovery</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs -0.2% vs Cash; USDJPY 134.29; North Korea launches  2 more missiles as Japan cries foul;  Defense stocks in focus today? BOJ March Surprise?  </li>
<li>DAILY NUGGET. Toto(5332) - Bottoming here?  Pricing in all of the US near term downside and ignoring the upside to a China recovery ? </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  SPX Futs -0.3% as US OFF ON FOR PRESIDENT'S DAY as Biden makes the trip to Ukraine;  Markets still focused inflation/rate hikes; Europe Resource Stocks bid on China Recovery
JAPAN. NKY Futs -0.2% vs Cash; USDJPY 134.29; North Korea launches  2 more missiles as Japan cries foul;  Defense stocks in focus today? BOJ March Surprise?  
DAILY NUGGET. Toto(5332) - Bottoming here?  Pricing in all of the US near term downside and ignoring the upside to a China recovery ? 


Good Morning Japan | US Out; Rates Worry Europe Stocks;NKorea Fires 2 More Missiles;Toto -Bottom In?

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  SPX +1.9% to close on highs; Beta-driven rally as Tech rebounds;  Dovish talk from 2 Fed Members;  Google joins the fray slashing 12,000 staff; US Banks not far behind.</li>
<li>JAPAN.  NKY Futs +1.3% vs Cash; USDJPY 129.6;  CORE Inflation hits 4%;  Kishida: too early to discuss BOJ 2% policy exit;  Japan courts global elite grads; Population declines in 2022</li>
<li>DAILY NUGGET.  Change of Direction with new BOJ Leadership? Ha, policy direction has already been decided, and whoever the Govt selects will just continue where Kuroda left off. </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  SPX +1.9% to close on highs; Beta-driven rally as Tech rebounds;  Dovish talk from 2 Fed Members;  Google joins the fray slashing 12,000 staff; US Banks not far behind.
JAPAN.  NKY Futs +1.3% vs Cash; USDJPY 129.6;  CORE Inflation hits 4%;  Kishida: too early to discuss BOJ 2% policy exit;  Japan courts global elite grads; Population declines in 2022
DAILY NUGGET.  Change of Direction with new BOJ Leadership? Ha, policy direction has already been decided, and whoever the Govt selects will just continue where Kuroda left off. 


Good Morning Japan | The Doves Strike Back; Google Joins Layoff Parade; "Too Early for BOJ Exit"

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS:  US MLK Holidays - World markets directionless;  US Equity Futs flat; European Markets bid on Inflation peak;  BOJ decision to lead markets this week.</li>
<li>JAPAN:  NKY Futures +0.2% vs Cash ; USDJPY flat at 128.52 ; BOJ speculation dominates local headlines;  Kuroda heads to Davos = no fireworks? ;  Dec Machine Tools orders +1%YoY</li>
<li>DAILY NUGGET:  Fast Retailing and Sustainability: Set to introduce a new repair service in its domestic stores.</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS:  US MLK Holidays - World markets directionless;  US Equity Futs flat; European Markets bid on Inflation peak;  BOJ decision to lead markets this week.
JAPAN:  NKY Futures +0.2% vs Cash ; USDJPY flat at 128.52 ; BOJ speculation dominates local headlines;  Kuroda heads to Davos = no fireworks? ;  Dec Machine Tools orders +1%YoY
DAILY NUGGET:  Fast Retailing and Sustainability: Set to introduce a new repair service in its domestic stores.


Good Morning Japan |US Off = Directionless; BOJ in Focus +2trn JGB Buying; Kuroda off to Davos

'Quantamental' Japan Specialist, LightStream Research

Campbell Gunn

'Quantamental' Japan Specialist

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<p style="text-align: center;"><strong>• BEST &amp; WORST •</strong></p><p style="text-align: left;">Drugstore <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cawachi-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19359:1" rel="noopener">Cawachi (2664 JP)</a> had the 'best' trailing results announcement; however, our scoring methodology highlights the decline in earnings momentum - while the revised full-year forecasts fall short of TTM implying pre-COVID levels of profitability. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-steel-mfg-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16195:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Steel (5423 JP)</a> is the obvious 'worst' pick. Both, however, should be of interest to Japan value investors.</p><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/184/319/original/2021-01-25_05-29-27.png?1611520184" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="184319"></figure></section><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/184/320/original/2021-01-25_05-40-08.png?1611520819" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="184320"></figure></section><div class="content-caption"> Source for all charts &amp; tables: Japan Analytics</div>

• BEST &amp; WORST •Drugstore Cawachi (2664 JP) had the 'best' trailing results announcement; however, our scoring methodology highlights the decline in earnings momentum - while the revised full-year forecasts fall short of TTM implying pre-COVID levels of profitability. Tokyo Steel (5423 JP) is the obvious 'worst' pick. Both, however, should be of interest to Japan value investors. Source for all charts &amp; tables: Japan Analytics

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions ​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​01/​​​​​​​​22 - Cawachi & Tokyo Steel

Japan

TOKYO STEEL MANUFACTURING CO., LTD. is an electric furnace steel manufacturer. The Company manufactures and sells steel bars, varieties of steel materials, and specialized steel products, including H beams, universal plates, and I beams. Tokyo Steel also operates financial, real estate, insurance, restaurant, and sports complex management businesses.

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Tokyo Steel Mfg (5423 JP)

Ohayo Japan|Nasdaq, SOX Plunge-Did Something Finally Break?; NUGGET: In Demand in Japan - IR Talent

US tech sell off; Has something broken ? NKY Futures -0.5% disc vs Cash; USDJPY 140.1; Eyes on BOJ but indications are no tweak; Nidec turns it...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan | US Out; Rates Worry Europe Stocks;NKorea Fires 2 More Missiles;Toto -Bottom In?

North Korea launches 2 more missiles as Japan cries foul; Defense stocks in focus today? BOJ March Surprise? . STOCK FOCUS TODAY: Toto the...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan | The Doves Strike Back; Google Joins Layoff Parade; "Too Early for BOJ Exit"

SPX +1.9% to close on highs; Beta-driven rally. NKY Futs +1.3% vs Cash; JP CORE Inflation hits 4%; Kishida: too early to discuss BOJ 2% policy...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan |US Off = Directionless; BOJ in Focus +2trn JGB Buying; Kuroda off to Davos

NKY Futures +0.2% vs Cash ; USDJPY flat; BOJ speculation dominates as Kuroda heads to Davos ; Dec Machine Tools +1%YoY. Global stealth rally...

Mark Chadwick

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 01/22 - Cawachi & Tokyo Steel

Drugstore Cawachi (2664 JP) had the 'best' trailing results announcement; however, our scoring methodology highlights the decline in earnings...

Campbell Gunn

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Ohayo Japan|Nasdaq, SOX Plunge-Did Something Finally Break?; NUGGET: In Demand in Japan - IR Talent

US tech sell off; Has something broken ? NKY Futures -0.5% disc vs Cash; USDJPY 140.1; Eyes on BOJ but indications are no tweak; Nidec turns it...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan | US Out; Rates Worry Europe Stocks;NKorea Fires 2 More Missiles;Toto -Bottom In?

North Korea launches 2 more missiles as Japan cries foul; Defense stocks in focus today? BOJ March Surprise? . STOCK FOCUS TODAY: Toto the...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan | The Doves Strike Back; Google Joins Layoff Parade; "Too Early for BOJ Exit"

SPX +1.9% to close on highs; Beta-driven rally. NKY Futs +1.3% vs Cash; JP CORE Inflation hits 4%; Kishida: too early to discuss BOJ 2% policy...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan |US Off = Directionless; BOJ in Focus +2trn JGB Buying; Kuroda off to Davos

NKY Futures +0.2% vs Cash ; USDJPY flat; BOJ speculation dominates as Kuroda heads to Davos ; Dec Machine Tools +1%YoY. Global stealth rally...

Mark Chadwick

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions ​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​01/​​​​​​​​22 - Cawachi & Tokyo Steel

Drugstore Cawachi (2664 JP) had the 'best' trailing results announcement; however, our scoring methodology highlights the decline in earnings...

Campbell Gunn

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 01/22 - Cawachi & Tokyo Steel