HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

Tongcheng Travel Holdings  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tongcheng-travel-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27363:1" rel="noopener">Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK)</a> has a solid FY23 and 4Q23 with massive net profit recovery. Earnings momentum for FY24 and FY25 look to stay impressive.</li>
<li>FY23 is a record year of profit, demonstrating its ability to gain market share after COVID-19 disruption. Further volume growth will lead to better operating leverage.</li>
<li>Net cash reached Rmb2.3bn, up 90.4% YoY, showcasing its cash-generating ability. The first-time dividend payout also reflected management's confidence on the outlook.</li>
</ul>



Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK) has a solid FY23 and 4Q23 with massive net profit recovery. Earnings momentum for FY24 and FY25 look to stay impressive.
FY23 is a record year of profit, demonstrating its ability to gain market share after COVID-19 disruption. Further volume growth will lead to better operating leverage.
Net cash reached Rmb2.3bn, up 90.4% YoY, showcasing its cash-generating ability. The first-time dividend payout also reflected management's confidence on the outlook.


Tongcheng Travel (780 HK): Riding the High Tide

CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Five stock remains, nine stocks added to our portfolio</li>
<li>Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 188% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 68%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology
Portfolio changes: Five stock remains, nine stocks added to our portfolio
Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 188% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 68%


External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>The three-day Qingming Festival holiday embraced booming demand, with domestic tourist trips +11.5% and tourism revenue +12.7% (both vs. the 2019 level), according to the Ministry of Culture and Tourism.</li><li>Tongcheng Travel (TC) kept its strong momentum during the Qingming Festival, with above-industry growth and solid ASP &amp; take rate trends.</li><li>Its domestic hotel room nights surged 70% YoY, and transportation ticketing volume was resilient at &gt;20% YoY.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The three-day Qingming Festival holiday embraced booming demand, with domestic tourist trips +11.5% and tourism revenue +12.7% (both vs. the 2019 level), according to the Ministry of Culture and Tourism.Tongcheng Travel (TC) kept its strong momentum during the Qingming Festival, with above-industry growth and solid ASP &amp; take rate trends.Its domestic hotel room nights surged 70% YoY, and transportation ticketing volume was resilient at &gt;20% YoY.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tongcheng Travel (780 HK) - Continued Outperformance During Qingming

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

<ul>
<li>Chinese outbound travel demand continued to recover nicely in February</li>
<li>Major airlines' decision to slow capacity rebuild now looks very prudent</li>
<li>But the airlines have underperformed, surprisingly; Buy Trip.com below US$43</li>
</ul>


Chinese outbound travel demand continued to recover nicely in February
Major airlines' decision to slow capacity rebuild now looks very prudent
But the airlines have underperformed, surprisingly; Buy Trip.com below US$43


Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | Decision to Slow Capacity Rebuild in Mid-2023 Now Looks Prudent

<ul><li>We reiterate Tongcheng Travel (TC) as one of our top picks, for its resilient organic growth, M&amp;A synergies, outbound expansion and capital return.</li><li>After another upbeat quarter, we think TC has continuously demonstrated its share gain and solid travel consumption.</li><li>Looking ahead, we keep positive on its core OTA performance (forecasting revenue +25% YoY in FY24E), driven by multichannel strategy and overseas expansion. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We reiterate Tongcheng Travel (TC) as one of our top picks, for its resilient organic growth, M&amp;A synergies, outbound expansion and capital return.After another upbeat quarter, we think TC has continuously demonstrated its share gain and solid travel consumption.Looking ahead, we keep positive on its core OTA performance (forecasting revenue +25% YoY in FY24E), driven by multichannel strategy and overseas expansion. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tongcheng Travel (780 HK) - More Synergies from Consolidation of Tourism

China

Tongcheng Travel Holdings Limited operates as an online travel agency. The Company provides transportation ticketing, accommodation reservation, value added travel products sales, and other services. Tongcheng Travel Holdings provides its services throughout China.

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Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK)

Tongcheng Travel (780 HK): Riding the High Tide

According to www.fliggy.com, outbound travel bookings during the 5-day Labour Day holiday have doubled this year. This was achieved on a high base...

Osbert Tang, CFA

The Stocks to Own in Asia – Vol. 44

We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology. Portfolio changes: Five stock remains, nine stocks added...

A. Stotz Investment Research

Tongcheng Travel (780 HK) - Continued Outperformance During Qingming

Tongcheng Travel (TC) kept its strong momentum during the Qingming Festival, with above-industry growth and solid ASP & take rate trends.

CMB International

Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | Decision to Slow Capacity Rebuild in Mid-2023 Now Looks Prudent

February outbound travel demand continued to recovery nicely, and the major airlines' decision to slow their capacity rebuild in H223 now appears...

Tracking Traffic

Tongcheng Travel (780 HK) - More Synergies from Consolidation of Tourism

We reiterate Tongcheng Travel (TC) as one of our top picks, for its resilient organic growth, M&A synergies, outbound expansion and capital return.

CMB International

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